NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	104		Excitement	6.5 [520]		MVP	Isaiah Stewart (DET): +10.0%
Detroit Pistons	113		Comeback	6.0 [330]		LVP	Cade Cunningham (DET): -16.8%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bruce Brown	0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.09	0.01	0.05	12	65%	0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Immanuel Quickley	0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.11	-0.01	0.07	19	54%	0.03	0	0.00	8	87%	0.03
Jontay Porter	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.05	-0.01	0.03	6	62%	0.02	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.05
Kelly Olynyk	0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.02	11	79%	0.12	6	-0.12	2	50%	-0.01
Jordan Nwora	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.02	0.00	11	55%	0.04	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jalen McDaniels	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	11	35%	-0.02	1	-0.05	1	0%	-0.03
Gradey Dick	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.08	-0.02	-0.02	13	35%	-0.03	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Ochai Agbaji	-0.09	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jahmi'us Ramsey	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	7	25%	-0.10	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Isaiah Stewart	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.12	0.02	0.04	6	100%	0.16	2	-0.06	3	67%	0.01
Jalen Duren	0,0,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.10	0.02	0.03	9	86%	0.20	5	-0.11	10	80%	0.02
Jaden Ivey	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.11	0.10	-0.07	13	44%	0.10	5	-0.04	6	67%	-0.02
Stanley Umude	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.03	0.02	4	50%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Marcus Sasser	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.01	12	46%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Evan Fournier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Wiseman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0.00	4	75%	0.04	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Simone Fontecchio	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	11	46%	0.00	3	-0.06	4	100%	0.01
Quentin Grimes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.1,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	0.00	6	31%	-0.05	1	-0.04	4	75%	-0.00
Cade Cunningham	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.04,-0.1,-0.09,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.06	-0.09	0.02	20	45%	-0.07	3	-0.09	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.3	2.3	24.6	15.2	36.0	1.6	35.6	138.7
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +20.7%

DET +11.1%

DET +36.6%

TOR -20.3%

DET +2.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	DET	NBA	TOR	DET	NBA
this game	12.3	13.7	14.5	92.9	102.7	113.9
season	14.0	14.2		111.3	108.4
opponent	14.3	14.7		117.6	117.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	15.8	10.0	12.2	11.8	12.3
DET	14.2	14.8	13.0	12.6	13.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jalen McDaniels	49	49	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.16	5	-14	19	12.4	12.3	0.11	13.6	13.7	-0.04
Ochai Agbaji	59	58	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.09	-8	-1	-7	12.4	12.2	0.15	14.3	12.9	1.39
Jontay Porter	49	49	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.38	7	-16	23	12.5	12.1	0.37	13.4	13.8	-0.41
Jordan Nwora	48	46	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.11	-3	-6	3	12.6	12.0	0.60	13.2	14.0	-0.83
Gradey Dick	75	76	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.19	-3	-6	3	12.0	13.0	-1.04	14.1	12.6	1.54
Kelly Olynyk	74	71	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.09	-8	-1	-7	11.6	13.6	-1.93	13.5	13.9	-0.42
Immanuel Quickley	84	82	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.11	-9	0	-9	12.3	12.3	-0.02	13.7	13.6	0.11
Jahmi'us Ramsey	43	41	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	-0.15	-10	1	-11	13.7	11.5	2.19	13.8	13.6	0.28
Bruce Brown	79	78	-0.54	0.04	-0.59	-0.07	-16	7	-23	12.1	12.8	-0.73	13.2	14.9	-1.72

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Simone Fontecchio	89	90	0.70	-0.20	0.90	0.20	17	-8	25	13.5	14.2	-0.72	12.2	12.6	-0.41
Jaden Ivey	85	86	0.44	0.06	0.37	0.17	9	0	9	13.8	13.1	0.74	12.1	12.8	-0.71
Jalen Duren	66	68	0.30	0.20	0.11	0.04	9	0	9	13.8	13.5	0.33	11.7	13.2	-1.41
Marcus Sasser	50	51	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.30	0	9	-9	13.6	13.7	-0.14	12.2	12.4	-0.23
Isaiah Stewart	77	78	0.28	0.22	0.07	0.05	8	1	7	13.4	14.2	-0.71	11.9	13.1	-1.17
Stanley Umude	34	37	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.11	5	4	1	12.7	14.1	-1.37	12.1	12.4	-0.25
James Wiseman	42	42	0.19	0.31	-0.11	0.22	-1	10	-11	14.0	13.4	0.64	13.7	11.5	2.18
Cade Cunningham	61	62	0.17	0.33	-0.15	-0.03	7	2	5	14.3	12.8	1.47	12.8	11.7	1.09
Evan Fournier	11	10	-0.04	0.54	-0.59	0.01	-2	11	-13	14.3	13.6	0.69	12.6	12.3	0.33
Quentin Grimes	35	36	-0.10	0.60	-0.71	0.10	-7	16	-23	13.0	13.9	-0.92	12.6	12.2	0.37

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.57,0.45,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.63,0.6,0.53,0.42,0.38,0.35,0.35,0.29,0.22,0.14,0.2,0.24,0.37,0.38,0.45,0.61,0.64,0.55,0.48,0.59,0.55,0.52,0.49,0.56,0.66,0.66,0.7,0.76,0.85,0.92,0.91,0.97,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 87, POR 101	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.48,0.53,0.59,0.59,0.59,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.51,0.49,0.4,0.35,0.39,0.34,0.3,0.34,0.31,0.2,0.22,0.3,0.34,0.45,0.51,0.39,0.52,0.55,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.6,0.56,0.62,0.58,0.56,0.83,0.85,0.94,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1	93.1%
MEM 75, NOH 88	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.45,0.4,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.42,0.35,0.3,0.27,0.29,0.29,0.25,0.33,0.42,0.37,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.58,0.61,0.55,0.62,0.7,0.56,0.64,0.74,0.82,0.86,0.76,0.84,0.9,0.95,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1	92.4%
DAL 76, PHI 84	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.54,0.56,0.6,0.61,0.57,0.55,0.47,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.48,0.47,0.44,0.31,0.28,0.23,0.33,0.46,0.43,0.51,0.58,0.52,0.58,0.55,0.59,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.66,0.74,0.75,0.71,0.72,0.73,0.8,0.93,0.97,1,1,1,1	92.3%