NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	76		Excitement	6.0 [577]		MVP	Andre Miller (PHI): +14.9%
Philadelphia 76ers	84		Comeback	3.4 [221]		LVP	Dirk Nowitzki (DAL): -18.0%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Juwan Howard	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jose Juan Barea	-0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.02	0.01	11	54%	0.01	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Eddie Jones	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	6	42%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Devean George	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	12	42%	-0.01	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
DeSagana Diop	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Josh Howard	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.01	-0.02	0.03	13	55%	0.03	3	-0.08	5	60%	-0.02
Brandon Bass	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07	0.00	-0.06	0.01	8	44%	-0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jason Terry	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.09	-0.03	-0.01	10	35%	0.00	3	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Dirk Nowitzki	-0.18	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.17,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.15	-0.08	-0.04	15	37%	-0.06	4	-0.12	10	70%	-0.01

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andre Miller	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.17,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.09	0.07	0.01	15	60%	0.17	1	-0.03	5	80%	0.01
Jason Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	2	100%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Carney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.01	-0.00	4	62%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Thaddeus Young	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	-0.01	-0.02	6	67%	0.05	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Willie Green	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	11	50%	0.04	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Kevin Ollie	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lou Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.07	0.04	-0.04	14	35%	0.03	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.02
Samuel Dalembert	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.01	0.00	9	35%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Reggie Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.07	-0.03	0.00	3	29%	-0.04	2	-0.06	1	0%	-0.02
Andre Iguodala	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.1,-0.1,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.16,-0.18,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.14	-0.06	-0.03	17	37%	-0.02	4	-0.15	4	0%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.3	1.6	29.4	16.3	22.3	2.0	30.0	126.0
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +48.3%

DAL -4.5%

DAL -1.9%

PHI +7.9%

PHI +0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	PHI	NBA	DAL	PHI	NBA
this game	17.6	14.4	15.4	83.5	94.4	105.7
season	16.1	15.2		108.9	104.0
opponent	16.2	15.4		104.2	105.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	17.2	14.7	23.7	16.1	17.6
PHI	14.7	12.0	14.2	17.4	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Devean George	60	59	0.06	-0.56	0.62	-0.03	3	-11	14	18.4	16.0	2.42	13.9	15.3	-1.40
Juwan Howard	7	8	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-9	10	12.1	18.0	-5.87	13.7	14.5	-0.72
Josh Howard	71	68	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.08	-4	-4	0	18.5	14.3	4.18	13.4	17.6	-4.21
DeSagana Diop	48	48	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	0.02	-8	0	-8	19.1	15.9	3.22	13.9	15.0	-1.10
Jason Terry	56	53	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.33	2	-10	12	17.0	18.5	-1.46	15.0	13.5	1.52
Jose Juan Barea	43	44	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.01	-11	3	-14	18.3	16.9	1.41	15.2	13.6	1.67
Dirk Nowitzki	75	72	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.14	-7	-1	-6	17.3	19.0	-1.75	14.4	14.3	0.14
Brandon Bass	54	51	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.29	-6	-2	-4	17.7	17.4	0.35	14.9	13.8	1.07
Eddie Jones	41	42	-0.73	0.23	-0.95	-0.43	-10	2	-12	14.3	20.3	-5.99	15.1	13.8	1.35

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andre Miller	82	83	0.46	0.04	0.41	0.28	6	2	4	14.6	12.4	2.14	17.8	14.6	3.22
Reggie Evans	52	52	0.45	0.05	0.41	0.25	7	1	6	14.1	14.9	-0.83	15.4	20.5	-5.08
Lou Williams	49	52	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.36	3	5	-2	15.4	13.1	2.28	14.7	21.4	-6.65
Andre Iguodala	64	65	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.24	4	4	0	15.1	12.6	2.51	19.1	13.7	5.36
Thaddeus Young	46	46	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.03	10	-2	12	14.7	14.1	0.65	20.8	14.3	6.52
Samuel Dalembert	68	72	0.20	0.30	-0.11	0.17	1	7	-6	14.3	14.8	-0.47	17.8	16.6	1.17
Willie Green	43	43	0.18	0.32	-0.13	-0.05	8	0	8	13.0	15.7	-2.76	20.2	15.2	5.07
Kevin Ollie	7	8	0.04	0.46	-0.41	-0.01	2	6	-4	12.4	14.6	-2.14	14.6	17.8	-3.22
Rodney Carney	19	20	0.03	0.47	-0.43	0.06	-1	9	-10	13.6	14.6	-1.05	13.5	18.7	-5.20
Jason Smith	15	14	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.00	0	8	-8	13.9	14.5	-0.57	14.9	18.1	-3.19

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.54,0.56,0.6,0.61,0.57,0.55,0.47,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.48,0.47,0.44,0.31,0.28,0.23,0.33,0.46,0.43,0.51,0.58,0.52,0.58,0.55,0.59,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.66,0.74,0.75,0.71,0.72,0.73,0.8,0.93,0.97,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MEM 86, CHI 96	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.54,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.36,0.29,0.28,0.3,0.27,0.27,0.37,0.37,0.36,0.42,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.63,0.48,0.52,0.7,0.66,0.59,0.62,0.63,0.69,0.81,0.91,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,1	92.8%
POR 101, DEN 109	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.58,0.57,0.52,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.57,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.52,0.44,0.39,0.36,0.39,0.42,0.41,0.4,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.59,0.67,0.58,0.7,0.7,0.79,0.8,0.73,0.79,0.88,0.94,1,0.99,1,1,1	92.7%
DAL 97, PHX 109	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.62,0.62,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.46,0.36,0.31,0.36,0.39,0.41,0.5,0.42,0.45,0.51,0.48,0.61,0.48,0.48,0.58,0.56,0.57,0.64,0.66,0.81,0.71,0.72,0.68,0.83,0.76,0.78,0.75,0.96,0.99,1,1	92.6%