NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	86		Excitement	7.3 [376]		MVP	Kirk Hinrich (CHI): +18.1%
Chicago Bulls	96		Comeback	2.9 [726]		LVP	Tyrus Thomas (CHI): -17.9%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kyle Lowry	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.07	-0.00	0.01	5	75%	0.09	1	-0.04	6	100%	0.05
Hakim Warrick	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.06	-0.02	0.00	13	60%	0.07	1	-0.04	4	100%	0.03
Darko Milicic	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.02	-0.00	9	35%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Quinton Ross	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Darrell Arthur	-0.06	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.01	0.02	3	40%	-0.03	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.02
Mike Conley	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	0.01	5	50%	-0.00	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.03
O.J. Mayo	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	15	53%	0.08	5	-0.15	0	0%	0.00
Marc Gasol	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.00	6	21%	-0.06	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Rudy Gay	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09	-0.05	-0.06	-0.02	19	45%	0.00	3	-0.10	6	50%	-0.01

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kirk Hinrich	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.10	0.08	-0.01	13	67%	0.20	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Derrick Rose	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.07	0.06	-0.00	20	59%	0.19	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.02
Ben Gordon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,0.04,0.1,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.01	0.07	-0.00	10	46%	0.09	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.03
Andres Nocioni	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	-0.00	-0.01	9	50%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Aaron Gray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	0.00	1	50%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Thabo Sefolosha	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.03	-0.01	0.01	5	67%	0.03	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Drew Gooden	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	0.03	-0.00	8	35%	0.00	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.01
Joakim Noah	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Luol Deng	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.10	-0.04	-0.00	13	33%	-0.08	2	-0.05	7	43%	-0.08
Tyrus Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.12	-0.06	0.00	5	21%	-0.07	3	-0.11	4	75%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.9	2.3	28.3	15.4	30.3	1.8	35.2	139.4
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +25.3%

CHI +3.0%

CHI +9.7%

CHI +11.8%

CHI +0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	CHI	NBA	MEM	CHI	NBA
this game	15.0	16.1	15.5	92.5	104.3	106.4
season	16.1	14.8		101.7	106.3
opponent	15.7	15.3		107.2	107.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	16.0	15.0	14.1	14.9	15.0
CHI	13.4	15.0	17.2	19.4	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Quinton Ross	39	38	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	0.00	-2	-8	6	13.3	16.3	-3.01	15.3	16.7	-1.44
Marc Gasol	44	45	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.07	-3	-7	4	15.8	14.3	1.45	16.9	15.3	1.57
Darrell Arthur	26	25	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	0.06	-8	-2	-6	16.6	14.4	2.14	14.0	16.9	-2.95
Mike Conley	35	34	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	0.03	-8	-2	-6	16.4	14.2	2.19	14.8	16.9	-2.04
Hakim Warrick	68	67	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.23	-2	-8	6	14.4	16.7	-2.31	16.9	14.0	2.95
Kyle Lowry	58	58	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.23	-2	-8	6	14.2	16.4	-2.19	16.9	14.8	2.04
Darko Milicic	48	47	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.17	-7	-3	-4	14.4	15.7	-1.36	15.3	16.9	-1.57
Rudy Gay	64	64	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.16	-8	-2	-6	16.0	12.8	3.20	16.2	16.0	0.21
O.J. Mayo	83	82	-0.55	0.05	-0.61	-0.26	-10	0	-10	15.1	14.6	0.48	16.5	13.3	3.15

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Drew Gooden	70	70	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.13	11	-1	12	16.5	14.7	1.82	15.4	13.9	1.49
Derrick Rose	69	70	0.42	0.08	0.33	0.18	8	2	6	16.7	14.5	2.17	15.5	13.7	1.83
Luol Deng	64	66	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.20	4	6	-2	17.0	14.2	2.77	15.3	14.4	0.88
Andres Nocioni	55	54	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.18	4	6	-2	16.6	15.3	1.31	15.0	15.1	-0.08
Thabo Sefolosha	25	25	0.28	0.22	0.07	-0.07	12	-2	14	13.8	17.0	-3.12	16.3	14.6	1.71
Kirk Hinrich	48	48	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.15	3	7	-4	17.5	14.6	2.91	13.7	16.5	-2.82
Tyrus Thomas	50	54	0.22	0.28	-0.05	-0.07	10	0	10	14.7	17.8	-3.09	15.6	14.3	1.34
Ben Gordon	43	42	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.17	1	9	-8	14.7	17.4	-2.69	14.7	15.3	-0.62
Aaron Gray	20	21	0.15	0.35	-0.19	0.13	1	9	-8	17.2	15.8	1.46	13.8	15.4	-1.58
Joakim Noah	16	15	-0.10	0.60	-0.69	0.02	-4	14	-18	12.9	16.8	-3.91	13.1	15.4	-2.26

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.54,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.36,0.29,0.28,0.3,0.27,0.27,0.37,0.37,0.36,0.42,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.63,0.48,0.52,0.7,0.66,0.59,0.62,0.63,0.69,0.81,0.91,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 99, IND 103	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.57,0.54,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.55,0.6,0.58,0.46,0.44,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.43,0.37,0.36,0.36,0.41,0.41,0.36,0.3,0.37,0.34,0.34,0.45,0.42,0.55,0.52,0.38,0.56,0.56,0.68,0.7,0.66,0.57,0.56,0.53,0.64,0.81,0.78,0.96,0.93,0.99,0.95,1	93.6%
DAL 76, PHI 84	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.54,0.56,0.6,0.61,0.57,0.55,0.47,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.48,0.47,0.44,0.31,0.28,0.23,0.33,0.46,0.43,0.51,0.58,0.52,0.58,0.55,0.59,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.66,0.74,0.75,0.71,0.72,0.73,0.8,0.93,0.97,1,1,1,1	92.8%
MIL 101, BOS 112	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.55,0.54,0.56,0.62,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.42,0.37,0.34,0.29,0.26,0.19,0.18,0.3,0.4,0.31,0.28,0.42,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.69,0.56,0.63,0.6,0.46,0.57,0.48,0.43,0.58,0.79,0.76,0.93,0.92,0.96,0.99,1,1	92.6%