inpredictable
Powered by Blogger.
NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Memphis Grizzlies 75 Excitement5.2 [617] MVPCarl Landry (NOH): +17.7%
New Orleans Hornets 88 Comeback3.1 [153] LVPO.J. Mayo (MEM): -21.1%


Memphis Grizzlies
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Rudy Gay0.070,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.060.020.011763%0.164-0.104100%0.01
Gilbert Arenas0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.060.000.003100%0.0700.0000%0.00
Marc Gasol0.010,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.000.01-0.01652%0.072-0.06978%0.01
Hamed Haddadi0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0200%0.0010.0000%0.00
Jeremy Pargo0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Josh Selby0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.030.00-0.0320%0.0000.0000%0.00
Dante Cunningham0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Zach Randolph-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.00-0.000.01250%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Marreese Speights-0.060,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.00-0.001040%-0.022-0.0400%0.00
Quincy Pondexter-0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.04-0.040.00633%-0.041-0.0400%0.00
Tony Allen-0.110,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.06-0.040.01440%-0.032-0.082100%0.01
Mike Conley-0.110,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.09-0.04-0.02828%-0.042-0.072100%0.02
O.J. Mayo-0.210,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21-0.19-0.05-0.031234%-0.056-0.16862%-0.01

New Orleans Hornets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Carl Landry0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.180.180.090.090.001067%0.201-0.024100%0.02
Eric Gordon0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.090.040.03969%0.131-0.028100%0.05
Al-Farouq Aminu0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.020.000.00955%0.0210.004100%0.03
Xavier Henry0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.010.010.00540%0.0000.0000%0.00
Lance Thomas00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jason Smith0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0-0.000.02-0.000.021354%0.021-0.0200%0.00
Chris Kaman0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.04-0.01-0.03267%0.033-0.052100%0.01
Marco Belinelli0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.040.00-0.01932%-0.0300.001100%0.01
Gustavo Ayon0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.03-0.000.00450%0.032-0.0700%0.00
Jerome Dyson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.06-0.020.00250%0.013-0.0900%0.00
Greivis Vasquez0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.09-0.01-0.011036%-0.013-0.082100%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game22.52.326.315.829.02.534.2132.6
league avg25.52.329.814.226.92.333.6136.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
NOH +27.9%
NOH +1.4%
NOH +2.8%
NOH +22.0%
MEM -4.2%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMEMNOHNBAMEMNOHNBA
this game17.115.515.685.298.9102.8
season15.616.3102.099.2
opponent15.715.7103.4100.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MEM18.617.316.416.017.1
NOH14.118.714.315.315.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Gilbert Arenas19180.23-0.730.96-0.0710-233316.617.2-0.5418.014.93.14
Hamed Haddadi230.00-0.500.50-0.062-15179.017.2-8.249.315.7-6.38
Jeremy Pargo230.00-0.500.50-0.062-15179.017.2-8.249.315.7-6.38
Josh Selby230.00-0.500.50-0.062-15179.017.2-8.249.315.7-6.38
Marreese Speights4645-0.02-0.480.46-0.020-131317.017.1-0.0315.815.20.57
Quincy Pondexter3739-0.07-0.430.36-0.070-131315.118.5-3.4616.914.42.50
Zach Randolph4142-0.13-0.370.25-0.07-2-11916.217.8-1.6116.814.32.54
O.J. Mayo4950-0.21-0.290.08-0.03-6-7116.417.9-1.5116.514.22.29
Dante Cunningham1918-0.33-0.17-0.16-0.10-8-5-318.216.71.4712.816.2-3.34
Marc Gasol5153-0.38-0.12-0.26-0.06-11-2-918.215.52.6214.816.5-1.69
Mike Conley5454-0.500.00-0.500.06-196-2517.915.72.2015.216.0-0.79
Rudy Gay6868-0.520.02-0.530.04-196-2517.415.81.6315.415.9-0.54
Tony Allen5049-0.570.07-0.65-0.10-163-1918.115.72.3214.416.8-2.46

New Orleans Hornets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Greivis Vasquez69680.52-0.020.54-0.0419-62515.017.3-2.3917.415.91.50
Jason Smith49490.470.030.43-0.1822-93115.515.50.0418.015.92.04
Al-Farouq Aminu53530.400.100.30-0.1318-52315.116.1-0.9917.316.60.71
Eric Gordon51530.340.160.18-0.1617-42115.215.9-0.7417.815.91.99
Carl Landry48480.230.27-0.050.23013-1315.715.20.5116.617.6-1.04
Marco Belinelli40390.170.33-0.150.09310-716.714.52.2816.217.8-1.58
Chris Kaman36360.150.35-0.20-0.0367-114.816.0-1.2018.516.02.49
Xavier Henry43400.140.36-0.220.32-619-2515.915.10.7516.217.8-1.62
Gustavo Ayon30300.100.40-0.300.22-417-2116.215.11.0616.117.6-1.50
Lance Thomas320.000.50-0.500.06-215-179.315.7-6.389.017.2-8.24
Jerome Dyson2322-0.020.52-0.540.21-821-2916.315.21.0915.317.7-2.38


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.45,0.4,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.42,0.35,0.3,0.27,0.29,0.29,0.25,0.33,0.42,0.37,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.58,0.61,0.55,0.62,0.7,0.56,0.64,0.74,0.82,0.86,0.76,0.84,0.9,0.95,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
DAL 94, NYK 1040.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.38,0.42,0.33,0.31,0.37,0.41,0.48,0.42,0.39,0.41,0.49,0.42,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.68,0.62,0.7,0.63,0.72,0.74,0.82,0.82,0.76,0.84,0.83,0.94,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,193.7%
TOR 84, NJN 980.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.42,0.43,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.41,0.36,0.31,0.29,0.28,0.3,0.37,0.34,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.55,0.52,0.59,0.68,0.63,0.61,0.75,0.78,0.78,0.79,0.91,0.94,0.94,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.98,1,1,193.6%
PHX 94, DAL 1040.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.47,0.43,0.51,0.47,0.42,0.49,0.5,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.41,0.37,0.39,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.37,0.42,0.58,0.52,0.62,0.68,0.68,0.59,0.63,0.68,0.85,0.78,0.75,0.86,0.88,0.79,0.91,0.93,0.95,0.99,1,1,193.5%