inpredictable
Powered by Blogger.
NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Dallas Mavericks 94 Excitement6.5 [486] MVPJ.R. Smith (NYK): +18.7%
New York Knicks 104 Comeback2.3 [766] LVPDarren Collison (DAL): -21.8%


Dallas Mavericks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Chris Kaman0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.020.01787%0.141-0.042100%0.00
Brandan Wright0.100,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.060.040.00765%0.1000.003100%0.03
Bernard James0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jared Cunningham0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Dahntay Jones-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.00-0.00450%-0.011-0.002100%0.00
O.J. Mayo-0.010,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.03-0.03-0.051664%0.198-0.204100%0.03
Elton Brand-0.020,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.020.01-0.020.01553%0.031-0.04580%0.00
Rodrigue Beaubois-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.040.00-0.02733%0.011-0.021100%0.01
Dominique Jones-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.020.00-0.000.02250%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Vince Carter-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.020.01-0.030.001447%-0.0200.00450%-0.03
Troy Murphy-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.01-0.0030%-0.0500.0000%0.00
Jae Crowder-0.070,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.08-0.02-0.03844%0.004-0.0700%0.00
Darren Collison-0.220,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.18,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22-0.16-0.05-0.00822%-0.104-0.122100%0.01

New York Knicks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
J.R. Smith0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.18,0.22,0.24,0.24,0.22,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.190.190.130.080.031663%0.1900.003100%0.02
Ronnie Brewer0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.050.00-0.011052%0.0600.00560%-0.02
Jason Kidd0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.040.010.00375%0.0600.002100%0.01
Steve Novak0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.05-0.020.05-0.02642%0.071-0.0200%0.00
Carmelo Anthony0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.02,0.09,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.040.00-0.012253%0.083-0.031464%-0.04
Marcus Camby0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.020.030.000100%0.0500.002100%0.02
Rasheed Wallace0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.02-0.020.00643%-0.001-0.042100%0.01
Pablo Prigioni0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.03-0.010.0020%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Tyson Chandler0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.00-0.050.01852%-0.032-0.04560%-0.01
Raymond Felton0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.12-0.11-0.04-0.031130%-0.052-0.06540%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game26.22.335.516.630.52.434.2147.8
league avg24.82.329.514.026.82.333.1134.3
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
NYK +6.8%
NYK +5.6%
NYK +8.9%
NYK +30.7%
DAL -2.1%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDALNYKNBADALNYKNBA
this game14.215.415.496.9107.2104.1
season14.516.2104.3107.9
opponent15.515.6103.8105.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DAL15.413.514.114.014.2
NYK15.215.314.117.315.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Bernard James11-0.00-0.500.500.03-1-9820.014.25.8110.015.5-5.50
Jared Cunningham11-0.00-0.500.500.03-1-9820.014.25.8110.015.5-5.50
Dominique Jones76-0.02-0.480.470.07-3-7415.914.11.7312.715.6-2.96
Chris Kaman5555-0.09-0.410.32-0.307-172413.814.9-1.0816.514.02.50
Brandan Wright3838-0.11-0.390.290.01-4-6214.813.90.9315.215.6-0.47
Dahntay Jones3435-0.13-0.370.24-0.10-1-9813.614.6-1.0615.615.30.29
Rodrigue Beaubois2930-0.16-0.340.18-0.13-1-9813.014.8-1.8315.715.30.32
Troy Murphy4039-0.20-0.300.10-0.11-3-7413.914.5-0.5914.815.9-1.13
Jae Crowder6363-0.28-0.22-0.06-0.13-5-5013.815.1-1.2515.315.7-0.36
O.J. Mayo5657-0.30-0.20-0.10-0.15-5-5014.314.10.2216.114.51.65
Darren Collison6161-0.32-0.18-0.15-0.15-6-4-214.713.51.1415.615.20.44
Elton Brand4949-0.44-0.06-0.380.06-177-2414.913.51.4014.616.4-1.80
Vince Carter5150-0.45-0.05-0.40-0.16-100-1014.613.80.7615.315.6-0.21

New York Knicks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Ronnie Brewer76750.61-0.110.720.0519-92815.216.5-1.3214.214.3-0.03
Raymond Felton76760.58-0.080.650.0817-72415.116.8-1.7414.612.91.71
Tyson Chandler61600.410.090.31-0.0014-41814.916.3-1.4215.112.82.37
J.R. Smith65660.380.120.260.2937-416.114.21.8713.615.6-1.96
Carmelo Anthony69700.300.200.110.011001015.315.8-0.4814.812.91.88
Steve Novak30330.180.32-0.130.21-111-1216.814.81.9613.314.7-1.39
Jason Kidd33310.160.34-0.17-0.0473414.515.9-1.4515.613.61.96
Rasheed Wallace36350.030.47-0.450.14-414-1815.715.30.4013.514.7-1.15
Marcus Camby1818-0.080.58-0.650.16-818-2615.715.40.3412.314.7-2.35
Pablo Prigioni2121-0.080.58-0.650.13-717-2416.815.11.7412.914.6-1.71


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.38,0.42,0.33,0.31,0.37,0.41,0.48,0.42,0.39,0.41,0.49,0.42,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.68,0.62,0.7,0.63,0.72,0.74,0.82,0.82,0.76,0.84,0.83,0.94,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
NOH 93, POR 1020.5,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.57,0.51,0.47,0.43,0.46,0.43,0.47,0.44,0.38,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.53,0.48,0.42,0.46,0.46,0.5,0.46,0.48,0.45,0.55,0.58,0.65,0.55,0.59,0.76,0.72,0.75,0.81,0.81,0.86,0.87,0.81,0.83,0.91,0.9,0.94,0.99,1,1,194.3%
LAC 81, POR 940.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.5,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.48,0.44,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.64,0.61,0.65,0.62,0.67,0.67,0.75,0.78,0.84,0.85,0.94,0.81,0.88,0.91,0.99,1,1,1,1,194.2%
ORL 78, DET 890.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.62,0.53,0.58,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.37,0.35,0.36,0.34,0.39,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.42,0.54,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.55,0.68,0.69,0.59,0.63,0.72,0.7,0.78,0.82,0.8,0.81,0.83,0.85,0.87,0.93,0.93,0.99,0.99,194.1%