NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	84		Excitement	5.4 [589]		MVP	Gerald Green (NJN): +23.1%
New Jersey Nets	98		Comeback	3.0 [402]		LVP	Jordan Farmar (NJN): -15.0%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ed Davis	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.06	0.03	0.00	3	80%	0.09	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
James Johnson	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	0.00	0.02	10	67%	0.07	2	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Jerryd Bayless	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	11	62%	0.07	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.01
Leandro Barbosa	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	11	48%	0.04	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01
Aaron Gray	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Linas Kleiza	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	6	17%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gary Forbes	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	0.00	3	30%	-0.03	2	-0.06	4	75%	0.00
DeMar DeRozan	-0.11	0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.08	-0.04	-0.00	15	35%	-0.11	1	-0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Amir Johnson	-0.12	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.06	-0.04	0.01	7	37%	-0.04	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Andrea Bargnani	-0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.08	-0.04	0.00	13	36%	-0.06	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gerald Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.19,0.19,0.22,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.23	0.17	0.06	0.00	13	74%	0.25	1	-0.02	9	78%	0.02
Anthony Morrow	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.10	0.06	-0.01	10	75%	0.19	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Johan Petro	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.05	0.04	-0.00	6	71%	0.12	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Shelden Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	1	100%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kris Humphries	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.08	0.03	-0.04	18	42%	0.05	3	-0.05	2	100%	0.02
Sundiata Gaines	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0	-0.00	0.02	-0.00	0.02	8	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeShawn Stevenson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
MarShon Brooks	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.05	-0.03	0.01	11	41%	-0.03	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Farmar	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.1,-0.13,-0.17,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.15,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.10	-0.03	0.02	9	45%	-0.02	5	-0.13	4	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.4	2.3	25.3	14.8	24.5	2.7	34.3	126.3
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NJN +67.2%

TOR -4.6%

NJN +1.6%

TOR -11.7%

TOR -2.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	NJN	NBA	TOR	NJN	NBA
this game	15.1	16.3	15.6	92.3	106.5	102.8
season	16.5	16.2		98.9	101.3
opponent	15.2	15.2		107.6	102.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	16.0	16.1	16.8	12.2	15.1
NJN	17.6	15.9	15.3	16.6	16.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Amir Johnson	46	46	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	-0.04	-1	-13	12	16.4	13.9	2.48	16.8	15.8	1.00
James Johnson	52	53	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	-0.06	-1	-13	12	14.7	15.7	-1.05	17.4	14.9	2.48
Aaron Gray	18	18	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.04	-4	-10	6	15.5	15.1	0.45	13.7	17.0	-3.24
Jerryd Bayless	72	73	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.05	-6	-8	2	14.9	16.1	-1.22	17.1	13.4	3.66
DeMar DeRozan	64	64	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.01	-9	-5	-4	15.3	14.7	0.62	17.3	14.0	3.29
Gary Forbes	19	19	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.03	-8	-6	-2	16.1	14.9	1.22	13.4	17.1	-3.66
Andrea Bargnani	60	63	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	0.04	-11	-3	-8	15.3	14.8	0.51	17.0	14.9	2.04
Linas Kleiza	26	26	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.03	-9	-5	-4	14.9	15.2	-0.36	13.7	17.4	-3.72
Leandro Barbosa	55	56	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.06	-11	-3	-8	13.9	17.1	-3.26	15.7	17.3	-1.61
Ed Davis	43	42	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.16	-10	-4	-6	15.5	14.8	0.70	15.6	17.0	-1.39

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Johan Petro	50	48	0.60	-0.10	0.71	0.08	18	-4	22	14.7	18.3	-3.65	15.0	15.3	-0.30
Sundiata Gaines	47	43	0.59	-0.09	0.69	-0.05	22	-8	30	14.9	17.9	-3.02	14.6	15.6	-1.02
Anthony Morrow	55	53	0.55	-0.05	0.61	0.06	17	-3	20	15.5	17.5	-1.94	14.3	16.3	-2.06
Gerald Green	52	51	0.48	0.02	0.46	-0.02	17	-3	20	15.0	18.0	-3.01	13.9	16.7	-2.73
Kris Humphries	70	71	0.30	0.20	0.09	0.09	7	7	0	17.1	14.0	3.06	15.4	14.1	1.27
Jordan Williams	25	24	0.16	0.34	-0.19	0.04	4	10	-6	14.7	16.9	-2.26	14.2	15.5	-1.21
DeShawn Stevenson	39	39	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.11	-3	17	-20	17.9	15.1	2.82	16.9	13.8	3.12
Shelden Williams	36	37	-0.05	0.55	-0.61	0.03	-3	17	-20	19.3	14.4	4.94	16.0	14.6	1.44
MarShon Brooks	37	38	-0.05	0.55	-0.61	0.03	-3	17	-20	17.5	15.5	1.94	16.3	14.3	2.06
Jordan Farmar	49	51	-0.09	0.59	-0.69	0.08	-6	20	-26	17.1	15.4	1.70	15.0	15.3	-0.37

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.42,0.43,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.41,0.36,0.31,0.29,0.28,0.3,0.37,0.34,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.55,0.52,0.59,0.68,0.63,0.61,0.75,0.78,0.78,0.79,0.91,0.94,0.94,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.98,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 84, WAS 93	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.43,0.48,0.47,0.45,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.49,0.47,0.36,0.34,0.36,0.33,0.37,0.4,0.43,0.42,0.52,0.45,0.52,0.59,0.62,0.63,0.78,0.72,0.85,0.87,0.94,0.89,0.91,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.98,1,1	94.3%
PHX 94, DAL 104	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.47,0.43,0.51,0.47,0.42,0.49,0.5,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.41,0.37,0.39,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.37,0.42,0.58,0.52,0.62,0.68,0.68,0.59,0.63,0.68,0.85,0.78,0.75,0.86,0.88,0.79,0.91,0.93,0.95,0.99,1,1,1	94.0%
MIN 78, MIA 89	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.38,0.38,0.41,0.37,0.45,0.4,0.38,0.35,0.42,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.44,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.36,0.3,0.27,0.35,0.31,0.31,0.36,0.45,0.52,0.65,0.65,0.73,0.71,0.72,0.78,0.78,0.86,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,1,1	93.7%