NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	84		Excitement	5.5 [710]		MVP	Paul Pierce (WAS): +12.3%
Washington Wizards	93		Comeback	2.4 [896]		LVP	Enes Kanter (UTA): -16.7%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Alec Burks	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.05	-0.00	0.03	11	63%	0.09	3	-0.08	8	75%	-0.02
Jeremy Evans	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	3	43%	0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Dante Exum	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	-0.00	2	75%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ian Clark	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joe Ingles	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Hood	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.06	0.00	-0.03	5	25%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Trey Burke	-0.03	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.03	-0.03	16	47%	0.04	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Rudy Gobert	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.03	-0.03	5	58%	0.05	3	-0.08	2	50%	-0.01
Gordon Hayward	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.04	-0.02	0.03	14	43%	-0.04	2	-0.05	9	89%	0.01
Trevor Booker	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1	-0.04	-0.05	0.01	7	40%	-0.06	1	-0.04	6	33%	-0.06
Enes Kanter	-0.17	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.13	-0.05	-0.01	14	36%	-0.04	4	-0.12	0	0%	0.00

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Paul Pierce	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.09	0.04	0.00	8	75%	0.15	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Andre Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.08	0.02	-0.01	6	83%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nene	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.02	-0.00	8	59%	0.08	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01
Bradley Beal	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.07	0.00	0.02	17	61%	0.10	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Garrett Temple	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rasual Butler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	-0.01	-0.01	7	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kris Humphries	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	4	25%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Otto Porter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	4	25%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
John Wall	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.08	-0.02	-0.03	15	50%	0.06	5	-0.12	2	0%	-0.05
Kevin Seraphin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.01	0.01	7	27%	-0.05	1	-0.03	1	0%	-0.00
Marcin Gortat	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.12	-0.04	-0.01	8	28%	-0.07	3	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.7	1.7	27.9	15.0	23.3	2.3	31.4	125.2
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +30.2%

UTA -1.9%

WAS +5.6%

WAS +13.8%

WAS +2.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	WAS	NBA	UTA	WAS	NBA
this game	15.9	15.1	15.1	89.4	101.1	104.2
season	16.2	15.1		103.8	102.9
opponent	15.3	15.3		101.7	103.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	18.2	14.8	16.2	14.3	15.9
WAS	12.9	14.0	14.4	19.0	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ian Clark	2	3	0.01	-0.51	0.51	-0.02	1	-10	11	21.0	15.8	5.22	22.3	14.8	7.51
Jeremy Evans	10	10	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	0.02	-3	-6	3	15.0	16.0	-1.00	17.0	14.8	2.17
Joe Ingles	18	18	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	-0.02	-3	-6	3	17.1	15.6	1.51	18.1	14.3	3.79
Dante Exum	24	22	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	-0.08	-2	-7	5	14.5	16.4	-1.82	16.4	14.7	1.71
Gordon Hayward	67	65	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.20	0	-9	9	15.2	17.6	-2.38	14.7	15.9	-1.17
Trevor Booker	48	47	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.14	-2	-7	5	15.4	16.4	-1.06	16.2	13.9	2.35
Enes Kanter	65	65	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.20	-1	-8	7	16.8	13.9	2.89	14.2	17.1	-2.84
Rodney Hood	36	35	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.13	-7	-2	-5	15.7	16.0	-0.32	13.4	16.1	-2.73
Alec Burks	67	67	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.15	-7	-2	-5	16.4	14.7	1.62	15.6	13.8	1.79
Trey Burke	68	67	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.14	-8	-1	-7	16.2	15.0	1.18	14.3	17.1	-2.77
Rudy Gobert	65	61	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	-0.12	-13	4	-17	15.5	16.7	-1.20	14.7	15.9	-1.22

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marcin Gortat	61	64	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.06	12	-3	15	14.0	17.3	-3.31	16.3	15.0	1.31
Bradley Beal	73	74	0.41	0.09	0.31	0.14	9	0	9	14.4	17.8	-3.43	15.9	16.0	-0.14
John Wall	70	72	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.18	5	4	1	14.0	18.3	-4.28	15.8	16.1	-0.32
Kris Humphries	50	51	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.03	9	0	9	13.7	16.7	-2.95	17.0	14.6	2.33
Paul Pierce	49	52	0.29	0.21	0.08	-0.06	12	-3	15	13.4	17.0	-3.59	16.9	14.7	2.17
Rasual Butler	43	42	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.30	-3	12	-15	17.0	13.4	3.59	14.7	16.9	-2.17
Nene	42	43	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.20	0	9	-9	16.7	13.7	2.95	14.6	17.0	-2.33
Andre Miller	22	22	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.05	4	5	-1	18.3	14.0	4.28	16.1	15.8	0.32
Otto Porter	19	20	0.09	0.41	-0.31	0.09	0	9	-9	17.8	14.4	3.43	16.0	15.9	0.14
Kevin Seraphin	30	30	0.09	0.41	-0.33	0.15	-2	11	-13	17.1	14.1	3.07	15.0	16.3	-1.31
Garrett Temple	1	0	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	10	-11	21.0	15.0	6.00	0.0	15.9	-15.89

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.43,0.48,0.47,0.45,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.49,0.47,0.36,0.34,0.36,0.33,0.37,0.4,0.43,0.42,0.52,0.45,0.52,0.59,0.62,0.63,0.78,0.72,0.85,0.87,0.94,0.89,0.91,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.98,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 96, POR 107	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.47,0.47,0.43,0.41,0.35,0.42,0.46,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.41,0.44,0.42,0.35,0.37,0.42,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.62,0.66,0.73,0.84,0.81,0.87,0.92,0.85,0.89,0.88,0.94,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1	94.5%
PHI 85, BOS 101	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.38,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.41,0.44,0.44,0.36,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.35,0.34,0.36,0.36,0.42,0.52,0.65,0.59,0.56,0.67,0.75,0.85,0.87,0.92,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.3%
PHI 86, NOH 101	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.48,0.44,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.55,0.53,0.46,0.43,0.41,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.39,0.41,0.44,0.34,0.33,0.31,0.25,0.3,0.45,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.61,0.58,0.62,0.59,0.67,0.78,0.64,0.74,0.85,0.93,0.96,0.99,0.97,0.94,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,1,1	94.3%