NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	86		Excitement	5.2 [787]		MVP	Thaddeus Young (PHI): +15.0%
New Orleans Hornets	101		Comeback	3.0 [495]		LVP	Lou Williams (PHI): -14.9%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Thaddeus Young	0.15	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.12	0.05	0.01	16	69%	0.17	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Samuel Dalembert	0.05	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.00	-0.01	4	100%	0.09	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Evans	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	67%	0.02	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.01
Marreese Speights	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Royal Ivey	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Willie Green	-0.05	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	6	42%	-0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Elton Brand	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.09	0.00	-0.02	3	0%	-0.03	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Andre Miller	-0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.02	-0.03	0.03	10	68%	0.09	6	-0.16	8	62%	-0.05
Andre Iguodala	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1	-0.01	-0.06	0.02	14	53%	0.02	4	-0.12	4	50%	-0.02
Lou Williams	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.11	-0.04	-0.01	12	39%	-0.05	4	-0.10	4	75%	0.00

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Peja Stojakovic	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.03,0.07,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.13	0.04	0.02	18	72%	0.20	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Chris Paul	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.13	0.04	0.03	13	71%	0.22	4	-0.09	12	100%	0.05
James Posey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.05	0.02	12	50%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Antonio Daniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	-0.01	7	50%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Rasual Butler	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	-0.01	0.01	9	65%	0.06	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.00
Morris Peterson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Bowen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sean Marks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	4	50%	0.02	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Hilton Armstrong	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.03	0.01	5	46%	-0.01	2	-0.06	3	67%	0.01
Julian Wright	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.01	0.01	4	25%	-0.03	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.2	2.3	26.6	16.6	27.2	2.8	38.0	135.8
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOH +9.0%

NOH +18.1%

NOH +9.4%

NOH +14.3%

PHI -0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	NOH	NBA	PHI	NOH	NBA
this game	14.5	17.9	15.5	96.6	113.5	106.4
season	15.5	16.6		105.3	105.9
opponent	15.6	15.9		106.0	105.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	14.8	14.7	16.6	12.3	14.5
NOH	17.3	15.9	20.2	18.4	17.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marreese Speights	5	6	0.05	-0.55	0.61	-0.03	3	-18	21	12.8	14.6	-1.81	23.0	17.5	5.52
Lou Williams	54	53	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.07	-1	-14	13	13.2	16.5	-3.26	17.7	18.1	-0.48
Elton Brand	35	35	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	-0.13	0	-15	15	13.3	15.3	-1.92	18.7	17.3	1.37
Royal Ivey	22	21	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	0.08	-9	-6	-3	13.2	14.9	-1.76	17.5	18.0	-0.43
Reggie Evans	22	21	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.02	-6	-9	3	16.1	14.0	2.11	16.8	18.2	-1.43
Andre Miller	67	68	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.14	-6	-9	3	14.9	13.2	1.76	18.0	17.5	0.43
Thaddeus Young	78	77	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.04	-10	-5	-5	14.4	14.9	-0.46	17.5	19.8	-2.29
Willie Green	35	36	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	0.01	-14	-1	-13	16.5	13.2	3.26	18.1	17.7	0.48
Andre Iguodala	77	77	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.00	-14	-1	-13	14.4	15.0	-0.57	18.0	17.0	0.99
Samuel Dalembert	50	51	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	0.05	-18	3	-21	15.0	13.9	1.13	17.4	18.5	-1.08

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Paul	79	79	0.52	-0.02	0.53	0.08	15	0	15	17.8	18.2	-0.39	14.4	15.3	-0.89
Peja Stojakovic	76	77	0.49	0.00	0.49	0.08	14	1	13	18.1	16.4	1.72	14.3	15.8	-1.53
Rasual Butler	65	64	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.02	11	4	7	17.8	17.9	-0.09	13.9	16.1	-2.19
Hilton Armstrong	43	45	0.26	0.24	0.01	-0.07	11	4	7	17.5	18.2	-0.66	15.9	13.1	2.84
Antonio Daniels	25	24	0.25	0.25	-0.00	0.04	7	8	-1	17.9	17.8	0.09	15.0	14.3	0.68
Julian Wright	36	37	0.23	0.27	-0.04	-0.00	8	7	1	17.9	17.8	0.01	17.9	12.1	5.89
Ryan Bowen	13	14	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.10	3	12	-9	19.8	17.5	2.33	13.5	14.7	-1.19
James Posey	65	65	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.03	5	10	-5	17.6	18.7	-1.11	13.2	18.0	-4.78
Sean Marks	33	30	0.05	0.45	-0.39	0.02	1	14	-13	17.5	18.1	-0.54	12.9	15.3	-2.47
Morris Peterson	10	10	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	-0.02	0	15	-15	18.2	17.8	0.39	15.3	14.4	0.89

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.48,0.44,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.55,0.53,0.46,0.43,0.41,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.39,0.41,0.44,0.34,0.33,0.31,0.25,0.3,0.45,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.61,0.58,0.62,0.59,0.67,0.78,0.64,0.74,0.85,0.93,0.96,0.99,0.97,0.94,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 88, MEM 106	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.43,0.41,0.41,0.43,0.42,0.36,0.4,0.38,0.34,0.33,0.27,0.29,0.39,0.34,0.39,0.31,0.3,0.25,0.3,0.38,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.56,0.52,0.65,0.59,0.66,0.74,0.68,0.85,0.87,0.82,0.86,0.95,0.96,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.5%
UTA 84, WAS 93	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.43,0.48,0.47,0.45,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.49,0.47,0.36,0.34,0.36,0.33,0.37,0.4,0.43,0.42,0.52,0.45,0.52,0.59,0.62,0.63,0.78,0.72,0.85,0.87,0.94,0.89,0.91,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.98,1,1	94.3%
SAS 101, GSW 116	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.57,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.54,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.4,0.47,0.49,0.44,0.47,0.39,0.42,0.36,0.32,0.33,0.37,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.61,0.68,0.55,0.52,0.63,0.63,0.75,0.7,0.87,0.93,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1	93.6%