NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Denver Nuggets	88		Excitement	5.2 [763]		MVP	Stromile Swift (MEM): +7.0%
Memphis Grizzlies	106		Comeback	3.1 [665]		LVP	Nene (DEN): -10.9%

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andre Miller	0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	-0.00	0.01	12	58%	0.02	0	0.00	9	78%	-0.00
Ryan Bowen	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nikoloz Tskitishvili	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Francisco Elson	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Camby	-0.01	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.01	8	50%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Rodney White	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.06	0.01	-0.02	9	33%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Carmelo Anthony	-0.04	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.00	-0.00	0.05	17	64%	0.09	5	-0.13	5	80%	-0.00
Chris Andersen	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	2	37%	-0.05	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Earl Boykins	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.04	13	43%	-0.03	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Voshon Lenard	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	7	43%	-0.01	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Nene	-0.11	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.10	-0.03	-0.01	6	36%	-0.06	3	-0.05	2	50%	-0.02

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Stromile Swift	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.02	0.00	7	88%	0.17	3	-0.10	3	100%	0.02
James Posey	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.02	0.00	6	71%	0.08	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.03
Lorenzen Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.03	0.00	11	55%	0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Bo Outlaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.06	-0.00	0.02	4	85%	0.04	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.01
Mike Miller	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	0.00	0.01	9	67%	0.07	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jake Tsakalidis	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Earl Watson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.06	0.04	-0.02	5	50%	0.05	3	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Pau Gasol	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.02	8	60%	-0.01	0	0.00	9	78%	0.01
Bonzi Wells	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.12,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	0.03	11	65%	0.06	4	-0.10	4	50%	-0.01
Dahntay Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.10	-0.00	-0.05	3	25%	-0.03	3	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03
Jason Williams	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.08	-0.01	-0.03	10	29%	-0.04	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.4	2.6	29.3	15.7	32.0	0.2	28.2	131.4
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MEM +41.5%

MEM +4.8%

MEM +5.6%

DEN -3.7%

MEM +1.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DEN	MEM	NBA	DEN	MEM	NBA
this game	15.1	15.4	15.7	92.6	112.8	100.5
season	14.9	15.3		101.6	102.3
opponent	15.7	15.4		100.5	101.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DEN	15.5	13.2	16.2	15.5	15.1
MEM	15.1	15.0	13.8	18.0	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ryan Bowen	19	19	0.18	-0.68	0.85	-0.06	8	-26	34	12.5	15.7	-3.25	15.9	15.3	0.61
Francisco Elson	27	27	0.10	-0.60	0.70	0.01	3	-21	24	12.6	16.1	-3.47	16.7	14.9	1.88
Nikoloz Tskitishvili	7	6	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-18	18	12.6	15.3	-2.70	14.3	15.5	-1.14
Chris Andersen	29	28	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.05	0	-18	18	13.3	15.9	-2.59	14.6	15.7	-1.14
Marcus Camby	44	45	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.01	-7	-11	4	16.3	14.0	2.36	15.4	15.4	-0.05
Voshon Lenard	53	52	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.04	-9	-9	0	16.2	13.6	2.65	15.8	14.9	0.99
Rodney White	24	25	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.03	-7	-11	4	13.2	15.7	-2.50	15.4	15.4	-0.06
Earl Boykins	55	54	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	0.08	-11	-7	-4	13.9	16.7	-2.77	15.4	15.4	0.01
Nene	63	62	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	0.03	-20	2	-22	16.2	12.8	3.41	14.9	16.4	-1.57
Andre Miller	78	77	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	0.04	-21	3	-24	15.8	11.8	3.96	15.5	15.1	0.35
Carmelo Anthony	76	75	-0.68	0.18	-0.85	0.09	-26	8	-34	15.7	12.5	3.25	15.3	15.9	-0.61

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
James Posey	70	70	0.44	0.06	0.39	-0.17	21	-3	24	16.1	13.5	2.61	15.6	13.7	1.84
Bonzi Wells	55	56	0.37	0.13	0.23	-0.01	13	5	8	15.5	15.3	0.21	14.2	16.3	-2.05
Jason Williams	61	62	0.33	0.17	0.16	-0.17	17	1	16	15.7	14.8	0.95	15.9	13.5	2.39
Pau Gasol	56	57	0.33	0.17	0.16	-0.17	17	1	16	15.7	14.9	0.81	16.1	13.6	2.49
Mike Miller	49	50	0.32	0.18	0.15	0.09	8	10	-2	14.3	16.6	-2.25	15.8	14.3	1.45
Stromile Swift	33	33	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.01	10	8	2	13.0	16.7	-3.75	14.9	15.2	-0.30
Lorenzen Wright	49	50	0.22	0.28	-0.05	0.05	6	12	-6	16.6	14.1	2.44	15.3	14.8	0.48
Bo Outlaw	44	44	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.04	5	13	-8	15.8	15.1	0.74	14.1	15.9	-1.83
Earl Watson	34	34	0.12	0.38	-0.25	0.15	-1	19	-20	14.4	16.0	-1.60	13.4	16.0	-2.63
Jake Tsakalidis	5	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	18	-18	15.8	15.4	0.42	12.6	15.2	-2.61
Dahntay Jones	14	14	-0.13	0.63	-0.77	0.04	-6	24	-30	15.5	15.4	0.11	13.6	15.3	-1.76

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.43,0.41,0.41,0.43,0.42,0.36,0.4,0.38,0.34,0.33,0.27,0.29,0.39,0.34,0.39,0.31,0.3,0.25,0.3,0.38,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.56,0.52,0.65,0.59,0.66,0.74,0.68,0.85,0.87,0.82,0.86,0.95,0.96,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 84, LAL 97	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.48,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.37,0.33,0.42,0.36,0.35,0.37,0.32,0.31,0.38,0.35,0.39,0.37,0.39,0.28,0.28,0.3,0.37,0.43,0.43,0.52,0.58,0.48,0.52,0.65,0.65,0.63,0.63,0.75,0.7,0.82,0.82,0.91,0.95,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	95.0%
PHI 86, NOH 101	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.48,0.44,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.55,0.53,0.46,0.43,0.41,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.39,0.41,0.44,0.34,0.33,0.31,0.25,0.3,0.45,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.61,0.58,0.62,0.59,0.67,0.78,0.64,0.74,0.85,0.93,0.96,0.99,0.97,0.94,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,1,1	94.5%
WAS 72, DEN 88	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.37,0.38,0.38,0.33,0.33,0.31,0.36,0.32,0.26,0.26,0.21,0.25,0.29,0.3,0.27,0.27,0.28,0.26,0.25,0.27,0.34,0.4,0.45,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.62,0.73,0.7,0.68,0.78,0.87,0.79,0.89,0.93,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.3%