NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	94		Excitement	6.6 [544]		MVP	Richaun Holmes (PHX): +19.9%
Dallas Mavericks	104		Comeback	2.5 [854]		LVP	T.J. Warren (PHX): -20.9%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Richaun Holmes	0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.14	0.06	0.00	8	84%	0.20	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Mikal Bridges	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	4	75%	0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Quincy Acy	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Elie Okobo	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	-0.01	-0.03	10	50%	0.05	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Troy Daniels	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	3	14%	-0.06	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Josh Jackson	-0.07	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	0.04	-0.07	0.04	13	61%	0.01	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.00
De'Anthony Melton	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	5	40%	-0.01	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Kelly Oubre Jr.	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.04	-0.01	14	44%	-0.02	3	-0.07	4	50%	-0.04
Deandre Ayton	-0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.01	-0.00	7	33%	-0.01	3	-0.09	4	100%	0.03
T.J. Warren	-0.21	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.06	-0.08	0.07	20	43%	-0.16	2	-0.05	7	57%	-0.04

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Wesley Matthews	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.14	0.04	0.04	5	100%	0.15	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Luka Doncic	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.12	0.01	0.03	14	68%	0.23	4	-0.12	16	62%	-0.03
Maxi Kleber	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.09	0.00	0.03	7	76%	0.08	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.02
Harrison Barnes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.03	0.01	11	53%	0.09	1	-0.03	10	100%	0.06
Jalen Brunson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	0.00	6	58%	0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Dwight Powell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.02	0.00	2	33%	0.02	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.05
Dorian Finney-Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.08	-0.00	-0.03	6	29%	-0.04	2	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Devin Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
DeAndre Jordan	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.02	-0.01	8	50%	0.02	4	-0.10	6	50%	-0.02
J.J. Barea	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.19,-0.18,-0.18,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.13	0.00	0.00	9	30%	-0.02	4	-0.10	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.1	2.5	27.4	14.6	31.0	1.4	31.5	137.5
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +24.1%

DAL +9.8%

PHX -4.9%

PHX -3.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	DAL	NBA	PHX	DAL	NBA
this game	14.3	14.8	14.3	94.0	106.1	109.3
season	14.4	14.7		104.8	108.5
opponent	14.1	14.0		109.7	114.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	14.3	13.2	15.7	14.1	14.3
DAL	13.9	15.6	13.6	15.9	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Deandre Ayton	43	41	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.06	2	-12	14	14.6	14.2	0.40	14.9	14.7	0.15
De'Anthony Melton	49	48	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	-0.02	0	-10	10	14.6	14.1	0.55	16.1	13.5	2.66
Troy Daniels	25	23	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.11	1	-11	12	13.2	14.7	-1.56	13.8	15.1	-1.23
Mikal Bridges	46	44	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	0.01	-6	-4	-2	15.3	13.5	1.84	15.0	14.5	0.51
Quincy Acy	21	21	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.10	-3	-7	4	13.1	14.7	-1.56	12.6	15.4	-2.79
Josh Jackson	61	61	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.05	-9	-1	-8	14.8	13.7	1.09	14.8	14.8	0.01
T.J. Warren	79	77	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.11	-7	-3	-4	14.7	13.1	1.56	15.4	12.6	2.79
Kelly Oubre Jr.	68	68	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.26	-6	-4	-2	13.7	15.7	-1.95	14.9	14.5	0.43
Elie Okobo	51	50	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	-0.18	-10	0	-10	14.1	14.6	-0.55	13.5	16.1	-2.66
Richaun Holmes	57	57	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	-0.14	-12	2	-14	14.2	14.6	-0.40	14.7	14.9	-0.15

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Harrison Barnes	70	72	0.64	-0.14	0.77	0.11	18	-8	26	14.5	15.5	-0.98	14.9	12.9	2.05
Luka Doncic	72	73	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.13	10	0	10	15.1	13.7	1.41	14.6	13.5	1.16
DeAndre Jordan	62	64	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.07	12	-2	14	14.9	14.6	0.24	15.2	12.9	2.30
Wesley Matthews	57	58	0.38	0.12	0.27	0.06	11	-1	12	14.5	15.1	-0.66	14.9	13.5	1.43
Maxi Kleber	65	66	0.35	0.15	0.21	0.09	9	1	8	15.0	14.3	0.65	15.5	12.0	3.53
J.J. Barea	39	39	0.14	0.36	-0.21	0.14	0	10	-10	14.6	14.8	-0.21	13.4	14.9	-1.55
Dwight Powell	36	36	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.14	-2	12	-14	14.6	14.9	-0.24	12.9	15.2	-2.30
Dorian Finney-Smith	39	40	0.04	0.46	-0.43	0.15	-4	14	-18	14.6	14.9	-0.25	12.7	15.4	-2.76
Jalen Brunson	30	32	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.12	-3	13	-16	15.8	14.3	1.49	13.2	14.9	-1.73
Devin Harris	20	20	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	0.03	-1	11	-12	13.4	15.1	-1.65	12.4	14.8	-2.35

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.47,0.43,0.51,0.47,0.42,0.49,0.5,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.41,0.37,0.39,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.37,0.42,0.58,0.52,0.62,0.68,0.68,0.59,0.63,0.68,0.85,0.78,0.75,0.86,0.88,0.79,0.91,0.93,0.95,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 87, VAN 101	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.47,0.42,0.36,0.39,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.53,0.54,0.53,0.56,0.53,0.51,0.42,0.44,0.39,0.36,0.39,0.39,0.41,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.39,0.45,0.52,0.65,0.59,0.62,0.66,0.67,0.71,0.74,0.74,0.71,0.76,0.77,0.86,0.85,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1	94.3%
TOR 84, NJN 98	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.42,0.43,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.41,0.36,0.31,0.29,0.28,0.3,0.37,0.34,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.55,0.52,0.59,0.68,0.63,0.61,0.75,0.78,0.78,0.79,0.91,0.94,0.94,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.98,1,1,1	94.0%
NYK 83, NJN 89	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.41,0.49,0.51,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.64,0.58,0.62,0.65,0.62,0.59,0.67,0.75,0.85,0.8,0.82,0.89,0.88,0.9,0.88,0.93,0.95,0.99,1,0.98,1	93.7%