NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	87		Excitement	5.5 [700]		MVP	Lucious Harris (NJN): +26.6%
Portland Trail Blazers	101		Comeback	4.4 [595]		LVP	Keith Van Horn (NJN): -15.1%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lucious Harris	0.27	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.17,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27	0.12	0.14	0.00	5	110%	0.27	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kerry Kittles	0.02	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	0.01	0.02	6	67%	0.06	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jamie Feick	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	-0.01	0.00	5	60%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jim McIlvaine	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Elliot Perry	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Johnny Newman	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	8	50%	0.00	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kendall Gill	-0.10	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.12	-0.01	-0.04	14	39%	-0.08	2	-0.01	8	75%	0.00
Evan Eschmeyer	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.04	-0.05	0.02	1	100%	0.00	3	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Stephon Marbury	-0.12	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.03,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.01	-0.01	21	47%	0.04	6	-0.16	3	67%	-0.01
Keith Van Horn	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.08	-0.05	0.02	15	49%	-0.03	4	-0.12	5	80%	0.01

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Greg Anthony	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.04	0.11	-0.02	3	150%	0.24	4	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Arvydas Sabonis	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.07	0.01	0.00	14	68%	0.13	2	-0.05	3	100%	0.02
Steven Smith	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	0.01	0.02	10	67%	0.08	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.03
Scottie Pippen	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.03	0.03	-0.01	8	50%	0.05	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Detlef Schrempf	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.02	5	60%	0.04	1	-0.03	5	60%	-0.02
Bonzi Wells	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.02	-0.01	0.04	7	62%	0.01	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.00
Brian Grant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.07	-0.00	-0.03	2	0%	-0.02	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Rasheed Wallace	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.07,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	0.00	-0.03	16	45%	0.01	2	-0.06	6	83%	0.01
Damon Stoudamire	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	12	46%	0.02	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.0	1.6	27.4	15.6	24.2	1.4	28.3	119.5
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +25.5%

POR +8.7%

POR +13.7%

POR +1.7%

POR +0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	POR	NBA	NJN	POR	NBA
this game	15.2	15.3	15.2	91.6	107.4	101.7
season	15.5	15.9		102.1	105.9
opponent	15.7	14.7		99.1	103.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	14.6	15.2	16.2	15.0	15.2
POR	14.8	15.5	14.4	16.3	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Elliot Perry	7	7	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.06	-2	-12	10	10.7	15.6	-4.87	17.6	15.1	2.50
Evan Eschmeyer	41	42	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.10	1	-15	16	13.8	16.3	-2.45	14.6	15.8	-1.19
Jim McIlvaine	22	21	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	0.07	-7	-7	0	13.8	15.6	-1.83	15.5	15.2	0.28
Kerry Kittles	55	55	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.03	-5	-9	4	15.6	14.7	0.86	15.0	15.6	-0.53
Jamie Feick	52	49	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.01	-7	-7	0	15.6	14.8	0.83	15.7	14.7	1.00
Johnny Newman	35	36	-0.21	-0.28	0.07	-0.10	-4	-10	6	16.0	14.8	1.23	16.0	14.8	1.21
Lucious Harris	30	30	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.09	-5	-9	4	16.1	14.8	1.33	14.7	15.5	-0.82
Kendall Gill	71	69	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.00	-10	-4	-6	14.4	17.5	-3.11	15.5	14.7	0.78
Stephon Marbury	81	80	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.15	-14	0	-14	15.4	13.9	1.52	15.0	16.5	-1.46
Keith Van Horn	81	81	-0.60	0.10	-0.70	-0.10	-17	3	-20	16.0	10.7	5.29	15.1	16.2	-1.04

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Scottie Pippen	68	68	0.60	-0.10	0.69	0.16	15	-1	16	15.0	15.8	-0.82	15.4	14.7	0.77
Rasheed Wallace	70	70	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.05	15	-1	16	14.7	17.0	-2.34	16.0	13.0	3.01
Steven Smith	65	67	0.42	0.08	0.34	-0.08	17	-3	20	15.1	15.7	-0.58	14.8	16.1	-1.31
Damon Stoudamire	56	57	0.41	0.09	0.32	-0.03	15	-1	16	14.6	16.2	-1.65	15.5	14.9	0.59
Arvydas Sabonis	54	54	0.22	0.28	-0.07	-0.02	8	6	2	14.7	15.9	-1.21	14.9	15.7	-0.77
Brian Grant	45	47	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.13	0	14	-14	16.2	14.4	1.81	15.0	15.5	-0.48
Greg Anthony	38	38	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.12	-1	15	-16	16.2	14.6	1.65	14.9	15.5	-0.59
Bonzi Wells	38	38	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.12	-1	15	-16	16.2	14.6	1.65	14.9	15.5	-0.59
Detlef Schrempf	36	36	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.00	2	12	-10	15.7	15.0	0.76	15.2	15.3	-0.09

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.48,0.53,0.59,0.59,0.59,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.51,0.49,0.4,0.35,0.39,0.34,0.3,0.34,0.31,0.2,0.22,0.3,0.34,0.45,0.51,0.39,0.52,0.55,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.6,0.56,0.62,0.58,0.56,0.83,0.85,0.94,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
IND 89, MIL 96	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.61,0.65,0.63,0.61,0.61,0.6,0.55,0.47,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.47,0.39,0.31,0.31,0.28,0.3,0.33,0.29,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.53,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.69,0.75,0.89,0.9,0.94,0.91,0.95,0.96,0.9,0.94,0.99,1	93.4%
ATL 98, ORL 112	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.54,0.61,0.61,0.65,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.58,0.47,0.42,0.4,0.35,0.32,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.39,0.36,0.27,0.35,0.43,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.52,0.52,0.38,0.44,0.4,0.44,0.54,0.62,0.52,0.66,0.85,0.92,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1	92.8%
SAC 91, UTA 103	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.53,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.38,0.42,0.44,0.35,0.37,0.34,0.36,0.39,0.31,0.3,0.33,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.48,0.52,0.62,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.4,0.48,0.58,0.66,0.57,0.67,0.88,0.96,0.99,1,0.98,0.99,1,1,1	92.7%