NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	98		Excitement	5.6 [679]		MVP	Vince Carter (ORL): +28.4%
Orlando Magic	112		Comeback	3.0 [754]		LVP	Marvin Williams (ATL): -3.1%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Al Horford	0.18	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.21,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.15	0.07	0.04	13	75%	0.21	1	-0.03	6	100%	0.04
Josh Smith	0.08	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.01,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	-0.07	0.06	-0.09	15	50%	0.20	5	-0.12	6	100%	0.05
Jamal Crawford	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.07	0.01	0.02	18	55%	0.08	1	-0.02	6	100%	0.03
Jason Collins	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Bibby	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.01	2	75%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joe Johnson	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	-0.01	-0.02	16	49%	0.04	1	-0.04	7	100%	0.04
Zaza Pachulia	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Randolph Morris	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Maurice Evans	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marvin Williams	-0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	8	41%	-0.03	0	0.00	6	83%	0.02

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Vince Carter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.21,0.17,0.17,0.26,0.26,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28	0.28	0.13	0.16	-0.00	16	67%	0.32	1	-0.04	4	100%	0.03
Dwight Howard	0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.16	0.05	0.01	9	81%	0.28	4	-0.07	18	72%	0.01
Jameer Nelson	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.09	0.09	0.04	14	61%	0.16	1	-0.02	5	80%	0.01
Rashard Lewis	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.13	0.02	0.02	13	67%	0.13	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Matt Barnes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.04	0.00	3	67%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mickael Pietrus	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	-0.03	-0.02	8	54%	0.05	1	-0.05	8	37%	-0.08
Marcin Gortat	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
JJ Redick	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Bass	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	31.7	2.0	34.1	20.3	35.4	0.7	36.6	160.8
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +49.6%

ATL -5.4%

ATL -5.5%

ORL +10.2%

ORL +1.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	ORL	NBA	ATL	ORL	NBA
this game	16.9	16.6	15.3	114.0	130.2	106.0
season	16.0	15.4		109.4	110.1
opponent	15.9	15.8		101.9	106.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	18.3	16.9	16.4	16.1	16.9
ORL	16.9	16.6	15.5	17.4	16.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Randolph Morris	11	10	0.23	-0.73	0.96	-0.07	10	-24	34	17.5	16.8	0.64	16.8	16.6	0.23
Jason Collins	3	3	0.01	-0.51	0.53	-0.02	1	-15	16	19.0	16.8	2.18	14.3	16.7	-2.34
Maurice Evans	22	21	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	-0.13	3	-17	20	17.2	16.8	0.45	15.1	17.1	-1.98
Jamal Crawford	63	62	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	-0.17	4	-18	22	16.6	17.8	-1.27	16.4	17.1	-0.74
Zaza Pachulia	13	13	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	0.04	-9	-5	-4	17.2	16.8	0.30	14.3	17.0	-2.69
Al Horford	68	68	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.09	-6	-8	2	16.7	17.7	-0.98	17.1	14.7	2.37
Joe Johnson	78	77	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.03	-9	-5	-4	16.6	19.5	-2.87	16.8	15.2	1.53
Mike Bibby	23	24	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	0.08	-18	4	-22	17.8	16.6	1.27	17.1	16.4	0.74
Marvin Williams	72	74	-0.66	0.16	-0.82	-0.01	-22	8	-30	17.1	15.9	1.15	16.9	15.0	1.85
Josh Smith	77	78	-0.75	0.25	-1.01	-0.05	-24	10	-34	16.9	17.1	-0.24	16.6	16.5	0.10

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rashard Lewis	82	82	0.66	-0.16	0.82	0.04	21	-7	28	16.5	19.0	-2.52	16.9	16.7	0.15
Dwight Howard	70	71	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.00	21	-7	28	16.4	17.6	-1.19	16.8	17.5	-0.69
Vince Carter	77	78	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.11	13	1	12	16.6	16.4	0.17	16.9	16.4	0.57
Matt Barnes	33	34	0.40	0.10	0.30	-0.07	16	-2	18	15.1	17.5	-2.39	17.5	16.5	0.95
Jason Williams	20	19	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.22	2	12	-10	16.6	16.6	0.07	18.5	16.4	2.03
Jameer Nelson	66	67	0.22	0.28	-0.06	-0.13	12	2	10	16.6	16.6	-0.07	16.4	18.5	-2.03
Mickael Pietrus	53	52	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.16	-2	16	-18	17.5	15.1	2.39	16.5	17.5	-0.95
JJ Redick	9	8	0.01	0.49	-0.48	-0.02	1	13	-12	16.4	16.6	-0.17	16.4	16.9	-0.57
Marcin Gortat	15	13	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.09	-4	18	-22	17.1	16.5	0.65	17.2	16.8	0.40
Brandon Bass	1	2	-0.09	0.59	-0.67	0.00	-3	17	-20	24.0	16.5	7.49	19.0	16.8	2.15
Ryan Anderson	4	4	-0.16	0.66	-0.82	0.05	-7	21	-28	19.0	16.5	2.52	16.7	16.9	-0.15

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.54,0.61,0.61,0.65,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.58,0.47,0.42,0.4,0.35,0.32,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.39,0.36,0.27,0.35,0.43,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.52,0.52,0.38,0.44,0.4,0.44,0.54,0.62,0.52,0.66,0.85,0.92,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 89, UTA 94	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.64,0.61,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.6,0.57,0.6,0.54,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.33,0.3,0.33,0.35,0.38,0.45,0.42,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.44,0.44,0.48,0.4,0.46,0.52,0.52,0.67,0.81,0.83,0.92,0.95,0.9,0.95,0.95,0.98,1	94.1%
PHI 87, LAL 101	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.54,0.56,0.55,0.59,0.61,0.57,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.34,0.32,0.34,0.4,0.37,0.41,0.37,0.36,0.31,0.38,0.36,0.33,0.35,0.43,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.45,0.41,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.36,0.46,0.62,0.57,0.72,0.81,0.9,0.94,0.98,1,1,1,1,1	93.1%
NJN 87, POR 101	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.48,0.53,0.59,0.59,0.59,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.51,0.49,0.4,0.35,0.39,0.34,0.3,0.34,0.31,0.2,0.22,0.3,0.34,0.45,0.51,0.39,0.52,0.55,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.6,0.56,0.62,0.58,0.56,0.83,0.85,0.94,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1	92.8%