NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	89		Excitement	6.2 [617]		MVP	Raja Bell (UTA): +8.3%
Utah Jazz	94		Comeback	2.9 [729]		LVP	Keith McLeod (UTA): -18.9%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mo Williams	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.08	0.06	0.02	-0.01	12	68%	0.13	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.03
Toni Kukoc	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.00	-0.00	6	93%	0.15	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Calvin Booth	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zaza Pachulia	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	-0.01	0.02	3	71%	-0.00	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Dan Gadzuric	-0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Goldwire	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joe Smith	-0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	5	43%	-0.04	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Desmond Mason	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	0.00	15	44%	-0.04	1	-0.03	6	100%	0.02
Michael Redd	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08	-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	14	42%	-0.05	1	-0.04	5	60%	-0.03
Marcus Fizer	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	10	50%	0.01	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Erick Strickland	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.07	-0.05	-0.01	3	33%	-0.04	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Raja Bell	0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.12,0.08	0.08	0.04	0.02	-0.02	17	57%	0.09	1	-0.01	6	83%	0.00
Matt Harpring	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.02	0.00	8	63%	0.07	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Kris Humphries	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.02	-0.01	9	68%	0.08	2	-0.03	7	43%	-0.06
Gordan Giricek	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.01	0.02	7	76%	0.10	2	-0.06	3	100%	0.03
Ben Handlogten	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.01	-0.00	4	78%	0.06	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Curtis Borchardt	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mehmet Okur	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.06	0.04	-0.01	8	45%	0.03	2	-0.05	4	75%	0.00
Kirk Snyder	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Howard Eisley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.15,-0.17,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.06	-0.05	0.00	4	62%	0.05	4	-0.16	0	0%	0.00
Keith McLeod	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.19,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.19	-0.19	-0.17	-0.04	-0.03	10	23%	-0.15	2	-0.04	6	67%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.0	2.5	27.6	15.8	27.1	2.4	37.3	136.6
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +21.8%

UTA +6.3%

UTA +22.5%

MIL -4.4%

UTA +3.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	UTA	NBA	MIL	UTA	NBA
this game	16.4	16.0	15.5	100.0	105.6	104.0
season	16.0	16.7		104.4	102.3
opponent	15.1	15.0		106.7	107.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	18.5	15.0	18.3	14.1	16.4
UTA	14.2	20.2	16.0	14.2	16.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marcus Fizer	39	39	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.20	3	-8	11	15.2	17.3	-2.13	17.8	14.5	3.23
Dan Gadzuric	9	10	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	0.09	-7	2	-9	21.0	15.9	5.11	14.3	16.2	-1.86
Mo Williams	62	61	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.11	-1	-4	3	17.3	14.4	2.87	15.3	17.4	-2.05
Calvin Booth	45	45	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.15	0	-5	5	16.8	16.0	0.80	17.5	14.3	3.19
Michael Redd	62	60	-0.15	-0.34	0.19	-0.15	0	-5	5	17.1	14.7	2.39	15.1	17.7	-2.57
Zaza Pachulia	33	31	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.28	3	-8	11	15.3	17.1	-1.75	15.7	16.1	-0.38
Desmond Mason	51	50	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.12	-3	-2	-1	16.6	16.1	0.57	15.0	17.2	-2.23
Toni Kukoc	40	42	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.24	-3	-2	-1	15.5	17.1	-1.60	16.0	15.9	0.09
Erick Strickland	27	29	-0.34	-0.15	-0.19	-0.20	-5	0	-5	14.7	17.1	-2.39	17.7	15.1	2.57
Anthony Goldwire	27	28	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.24	-4	-1	-3	14.4	17.3	-2.87	17.4	15.3	2.05
Joe Smith	50	50	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.16	-8	3	-11	17.3	15.2	2.13	14.5	17.8	-3.23

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ben Handlogten	38	39	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.45	4	1	3	16.2	15.7	0.49	14.6	17.8	-3.14
Kirk Snyder	22	22	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.21	9	-4	13	16.3	15.9	0.42	15.3	16.8	-1.44
Gordan Giricek	45	44	0.43	0.07	0.37	0.37	2	3	-1	15.2	16.7	-1.53	14.4	18.3	-3.90
Mehmet Okur	54	55	0.30	0.20	0.11	0.42	-4	9	-13	15.9	16.1	-0.26	14.8	19.0	-4.20
Howard Eisley	29	30	0.29	0.21	0.07	0.32	-1	6	-7	17.8	15.1	2.68	15.5	16.9	-1.36
Keith McLeod	60	59	0.21	0.29	-0.07	0.04	6	-1	7	15.1	17.8	-2.68	16.9	15.5	1.36
Raja Bell	62	62	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.15	-1	6	-7	15.8	16.2	-0.38	16.8	15.4	1.38
Matt Harpring	52	52	0.01	0.49	-0.48	-0.02	1	4	-3	15.7	16.3	-0.59	17.6	14.7	2.87
Curtis Borchardt	5	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	5	-5	20.2	15.7	4.50	16.0	16.4	-0.43
Kris Humphries	48	47	-0.13	0.63	-0.75	-0.13	0	5	-5	16.7	15.1	1.64	18.5	14.0	4.46

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.64,0.61,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.6,0.57,0.6,0.54,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.33,0.3,0.33,0.35,0.38,0.45,0.42,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.44,0.44,0.48,0.4,0.46,0.52,0.52,0.67,0.81,0.83,0.92,0.95,0.9,0.95,0.95,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 98, ORL 112	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.54,0.61,0.61,0.65,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.58,0.47,0.42,0.4,0.35,0.32,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.39,0.36,0.27,0.35,0.43,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.52,0.52,0.38,0.44,0.4,0.44,0.54,0.62,0.52,0.66,0.85,0.92,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.1%
LAL 89, BOS 96	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.5,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.57,0.53,0.58,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.36,0.33,0.36,0.46,0.45,0.37,0.45,0.33,0.33,0.39,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.56,0.4,0.42,0.48,0.53,0.62,0.77,0.86,0.91,0.88,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.99,1	93.5%
MIA 84, NOH 95	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.6,0.62,0.61,0.54,0.57,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.57,0.58,0.63,0.6,0.58,0.55,0.49,0.4,0.32,0.36,0.36,0.43,0.43,0.36,0.46,0.38,0.42,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.59,0.56,0.6,0.54,0.57,0.67,0.75,0.88,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.86,0.89,0.97,0.97,1	93.4%