NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	87		Excitement	6.3 [562]		MVP	Jeremy Lin (LAL): +28.7%
Los Angeles Lakers	101		Comeback	2.6 [638]		LVP	Ish Smith (PHI): -18.1%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Thomas Robinson	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.12	0.04	-0.00	8	87%	0.17	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Robert Covington	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.05	0.01	-0.05	9	52%	0.11	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Luc Mbah a Moute	0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.03	0.05	-0.01	12	50%	0.09	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Hollis Thompson	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.01	0.01	7	71%	0.06	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Richardson	0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.02	0.03	-0.01	7	36%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Furkan Aldemir	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.03
Jerami Grant	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.00	-0.03	0.00	6	50%	0.00	1	-0.04	6	67%	-0.02
Nerlens Noel	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.00	-0.02	0.02	9	45%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
JaKarr Sampson	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	2	17%	-0.04	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.02
Isaiah Canaan	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.04	-0.04	12	12%	-0.15	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ish Smith	-0.18	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.19,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.16	-0.05	-0.02	14	29%	-0.09	4	-0.09	3	100%	0.01

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jeremy Lin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.15,0.17,0.22,0.22,0.27,0.27,0.28,0.26,0.28,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29	0.29	0.16	0.13	-0.00	16	72%	0.33	2	-0.04	8	87%	0.01
Wayne Ellington	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.04	0.04	-0.01	9	56%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Hill	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.10	0.01	0.01	7	80%	0.10	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Ed Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.02	0.06	0.00	8	47%	0.07	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.03
Wesley Johnson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.02	-0.01	9	56%	0.08	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Jabari Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.02	0.01	0.02	6	56%	0.05	1	-0.05	6	83%	0.00
Carlos Boozer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.02	-0.00	8	50%	0.04	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Kelly	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	5	33%	-0.04	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
Tarik Black	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	5	20%	-0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Clarkson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.13,-0.16,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.10	-0.05	-0.00	8	40%	-0.04	4	-0.11	4	100%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.5	2.4	26.4	16.4	28.5	2.5	36.5	137.1
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +49.5%

LAL +3.1%

LAL +12.0%

PHI -15.8%

LAL +1.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	LAL	NBA	PHI	LAL	NBA
this game	16.5	14.9	15.1	95.6	108.6	104.2
season	14.9	15.5		94.3	101.9
opponent	14.7	14.8		108.9	103.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	17.4	16.5	16.5	15.5	16.5
LAL	14.7	15.5	14.1	15.1	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Richardson	39	39	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	0.10	-6	-8	2	16.6	16.3	0.31	15.9	14.1	1.87
Furkan Aldemir	27	29	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	-0.09	-1	-13	12	16.5	16.5	0.03	14.7	14.9	-0.25
JaKarr Sampson	25	25	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.07	-7	-7	0	16.1	16.6	-0.53	15.8	14.5	1.29
Hollis Thompson	28	30	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	0.03	-6	-8	2	14.9	17.1	-2.21	16.5	14.1	2.47
Luc Mbah a Moute	56	55	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.04	-7	-7	0	16.6	16.3	0.29	15.9	13.3	2.61
Isaiah Canaan	41	44	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.16	-1	-13	12	16.5	16.4	0.05	14.1	15.6	-1.50
Robert Covington	49	51	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.11	-6	-8	2	16.7	16.2	0.46	13.2	16.9	-3.77
Ish Smith	55	55	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	0.12	-15	1	-16	16.2	16.9	-0.75	15.3	14.2	1.10
Thomas Robinson	30	32	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.18	-5	-9	4	16.8	16.3	0.46	13.3	15.7	-2.31
Jerami Grant	41	41	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.26	-3	-11	8	17.3	15.8	1.56	14.1	15.4	-1.28
Nerlens Noel	64	64	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	0.01	-13	-1	-12	16.5	16.5	-0.03	14.9	14.7	0.25

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jeremy Lin	56	54	0.45	0.05	0.39	0.15	10	4	6	14.2	15.9	-1.67	16.7	16.2	0.50
Ed Davis	45	44	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.13	10	4	6	13.7	16.0	-2.27	15.3	17.5	-2.17
Carlos Boozer	49	48	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.22	6	8	-2	14.2	15.6	-1.34	16.8	16.0	0.79
Jabari Brown	50	47	0.36	0.14	0.23	0.16	7	7	0	14.0	15.8	-1.77	15.8	17.2	-1.44
Ryan Kelly	45	42	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.13	7	7	0	15.0	14.7	0.23	16.0	16.8	-0.81
Wesley Johnson	53	54	0.16	0.34	-0.17	-0.10	9	5	4	14.5	15.3	-0.73	16.5	16.4	0.14
Jordan Clarkson	43	44	0.14	0.36	-0.23	-0.07	7	7	0	15.8	14.0	1.77	17.2	15.8	1.44
Jordan Hill	39	38	0.10	0.40	-0.30	-0.08	6	8	-2	15.9	14.1	1.87	16.4	16.5	-0.11
Tarik Black	48	47	0.08	0.42	-0.34	-0.04	4	10	-6	16.0	13.7	2.27	17.5	15.3	2.17
Wayne Ellington	37	37	0.05	0.45	-0.39	-0.06	4	10	-6	15.9	14.2	1.67	16.2	16.7	-0.50

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.54,0.56,0.55,0.59,0.61,0.57,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.34,0.32,0.34,0.4,0.37,0.41,0.37,0.36,0.31,0.38,0.36,0.33,0.35,0.43,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.45,0.41,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.36,0.46,0.62,0.57,0.72,0.81,0.9,0.94,0.98,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 82, SAS 96	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.55,0.57,0.56,0.59,0.58,0.57,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.42,0.36,0.23,0.25,0.28,0.3,0.28,0.29,0.28,0.31,0.39,0.27,0.37,0.4,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.45,0.41,0.48,0.53,0.52,0.64,0.5,0.62,0.57,0.67,0.77,0.83,0.91,0.91,0.93,0.98,1,1,1	93.5%
ATL 98, ORL 112	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.54,0.61,0.61,0.65,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.58,0.47,0.42,0.4,0.35,0.32,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.39,0.36,0.27,0.35,0.43,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.52,0.52,0.38,0.44,0.4,0.44,0.54,0.62,0.52,0.66,0.85,0.92,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1	93.1%
POR 96, IND 105	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.38,0.35,0.36,0.32,0.32,0.36,0.4,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.34,0.27,0.26,0.41,0.39,0.42,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.48,0.38,0.38,0.41,0.37,0.36,0.5,0.62,0.66,0.76,0.88,0.83,0.85,0.94,0.95,1,0.98,1,1	92.8%