NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	96		Excitement	6.3 [543]		MVP	Jonathan Bender (IND): +20.2%
Indiana Pacers	105		Comeback	2.9 [425]		LVP	Austin Croshere (IND): -16.2%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ruben Patterson	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.09	0.06	-0.02	7	78%	0.17	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Dale Davis	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.08	0.01	0.03	6	81%	0.07	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Steve Kerr	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	2	100%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derek Anderson	0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.07	-0.00	0.02	14	58%	0.04	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Zach Randolph	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.02	0.00	1	100%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Kemp	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	4	25%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Rasheed Wallace	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.02	-0.01	16	35%	-0.07	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Bonzi Wells	-0.12	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12	-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	12	58%	-0.00	5	-0.11	2	0%	-0.06
Damon Stoudamire	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.08	-0.06	0.02	5	25%	-0.11	1	-0.05	2	50%	-0.02
Scottie Pippen	-0.16	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.10	-0.07	-0.01	8	65%	0.06	7	-0.21	4	50%	-0.03

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jonathan Bender	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.13	0.06	-0.01	9	83%	0.20	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Al Harrington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.06,0.08,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.09	0.10	0.00	8	82%	0.22	1	-0.03	6	100%	0.05
Reggie Miller	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.04	-0.00	15	53%	0.12	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Travis Best	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.02	-0.00	7	65%	0.05	1	-0.00	9	89%	0.01
Primoz Brezec	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Foster	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jermaine O'Neal	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	0.01	10	50%	0.01	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Jalen Rose	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.04	-0.01	15	54%	0.02	3	-0.08	5	60%	0.01
Jamaal Tinsley	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.10	-0.03	0.00	8	25%	-0.07	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Austin Croshere	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.10	-0.06	-0.00	7	29%	-0.10	2	-0.06	3	67%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.1	2.5	27.2	15.4	26.6	2.5	35.5	130.7
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +10.5%

IND +14.3%

IND +9.0%

IND +14.2%

IND +1.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	IND	NBA	POR	IND	NBA
this game	14.1	17.5	15.6	105.5	115.4	102.3
season	16.0	15.3		105.0	101.6
opponent	15.4	15.6		100.9	102.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	14.0	14.3	14.0	14.2	14.1
IND	18.7	17.8	17.3	16.4	17.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dale Davis	60	60	0.19	-0.69	0.89	-0.19	13	-22	35	14.3	13.8	0.53	18.5	15.7	2.76
Zach Randolph	4	3	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	0.04	-3	-6	3	13.2	14.2	-0.91	11.0	17.7	-6.75
Derek Anderson	77	76	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.18	4	-13	17	13.4	18.2	-4.84	17.6	17.2	0.39
Steve Kerr	12	13	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	0.07	-6	-3	-3	15.5	13.9	1.59	14.2	18.1	-3.94
Bonzi Wells	72	75	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.29	-1	-8	7	14.0	14.6	-0.58	17.8	16.2	1.63
Shawn Kemp	23	25	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.11	-7	-2	-5	15.3	13.7	1.64	17.8	17.4	0.43
Damon Stoudamire	37	35	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	0.02	-14	5	-19	13.9	14.3	-0.34	17.3	17.7	-0.35
Rasheed Wallace	65	64	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.16	-10	1	-11	14.2	14.0	0.22	16.8	19.3	-2.46
Ruben Patterson	36	34	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.05	-14	5	-19	15.2	13.4	1.87	18.4	17.0	1.32
Scottie Pippen	69	70	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.35	-7	-2	-5	13.8	15.2	-1.40	17.5	17.6	-0.06

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jermaine O'Neal	80	78	0.80	-0.30	1.10	0.18	21	-12	33	16.6	24.2	-7.57	14.6	11.4	3.19
Travis Best	57	58	0.55	-0.04	0.59	0.16	13	-4	17	17.1	18.3	-1.18	14.3	13.8	0.57
Al Harrington	52	51	0.52	-0.02	0.55	0.35	6	3	3	17.9	17.0	0.97	12.5	16.2	-3.80
Austin Croshere	37	37	0.29	0.21	0.07	0.11	6	3	3	18.8	16.6	2.21	15.2	13.4	1.75
Reggie Miller	65	64	0.28	0.22	0.06	-0.01	10	-1	11	17.1	18.6	-1.47	14.2	13.9	0.38
Jonathan Bender	35	36	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.22	2	7	-5	18.7	16.8	1.84	13.8	14.3	-0.48
Jalen Rose	64	63	0.08	0.42	-0.35	0.02	2	7	-5	17.0	18.9	-1.94	14.6	13.1	1.52
Jamaal Tinsley	29	30	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.10	-5	14	-19	18.0	17.3	0.64	13.3	14.5	-1.22
Primoz Brezec	6	6	-0.11	0.61	-0.71	0.07	-6	15	-21	24.2	17.1	7.11	11.2	14.3	-3.16
Jeff Foster	30	32	-0.13	0.63	-0.77	-0.02	-4	13	-17	17.5	17.5	0.01	14.6	13.9	0.73

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.38,0.35,0.36,0.32,0.32,0.36,0.4,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.34,0.27,0.26,0.41,0.39,0.42,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.48,0.38,0.38,0.41,0.37,0.36,0.5,0.62,0.66,0.76,0.88,0.83,0.85,0.94,0.95,1,0.98,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 114, SAS 122	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.4,0.4,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.31,0.33,0.36,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.32,0.41,0.28,0.37,0.3,0.36,0.58,0.57,0.75,0.83,0.86,0.92,0.96,0.98,0.9,0.95,1,1,1	92.9%
PHI 87, LAL 101	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.54,0.56,0.55,0.59,0.61,0.57,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.34,0.32,0.34,0.4,0.37,0.41,0.37,0.36,0.31,0.38,0.36,0.33,0.35,0.43,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.45,0.41,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.36,0.46,0.62,0.57,0.72,0.81,0.9,0.94,0.98,1,1,1,1,1	92.8%
ATL 90, DEN 100	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.4,0.41,0.35,0.37,0.36,0.4,0.4,0.32,0.34,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.32,0.29,0.36,0.36,0.41,0.46,0.5,0.48,0.51,0.45,0.42,0.36,0.45,0.41,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.32,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.67,0.71,0.83,0.8,0.9,0.8,0.9,0.97,1,1	92.7%