NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	89		Excitement	5.8 [669]		MVP	Michael Redd (MIL): +40.2%
Milwaukee Bucks	96		Comeback	3.0 [724]		LVP	Peja Stojakovic (IND): -12.6%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Fred Jones	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.13	0.04	0.05	6	108%	0.14	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Danny Granger	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.02	0.05	-0.02	7	50%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Scot Pollard	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jermaine O'Neal	0.04	0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04	0.12	-0.01	0.07	16	71%	0.13	4	-0.09	6	83%	0.01
Jeff Foster	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
David Harrison	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.01	0.00	3	40%	-0.01	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.03
Anthony Johnson	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	5	20%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamaal Tinsley	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	10	65%	0.13	7	-0.21	3	67%	-0.02
Sarunas Jasikevicius	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	6	29%	-0.09	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Peja Stojakovic	-0.13	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.08	-0.04	-0.00	13	31%	-0.10	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Michael Redd	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,0.07,0.1,0.16,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.25,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.4,0.38,0.35,0.35,0.4,0.4	0.40	0.22	0.19	0.00	29	64%	0.40	0	0.00	3	67%	0.00
Charlie Bell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06	0.06	0.07	0.02	0.03	6	71%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Mo Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.04	0.02	13	46%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
T.J. Ford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.01	4	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Simmons	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	5	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dan Gadzuric	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	4	20%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Andrew Bogut	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.01	14	44%	-0.02	1	-0.02	6	50%	-0.05
Joe Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	5	20%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamaal Magloire	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	8	30%	-0.07	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.03
Toni Kukoc	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.08	-0.03	-0.01	6	17%	-0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.3	2.4	27.4	15.7	25.1	2.6	33.2	130.6
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL +4.9%

IND -11.1%

MIL +20.0%

MIL +35.2%

MIL +1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	MIL	NBA	IND	MIL	NBA
this game	15.8	17.3	15.6	102.3	110.3	104.4
season	16.0	15.5		102.3	104.6
opponent	15.5	15.5		106.0	100.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	14.2	15.4	18.2	15.5	15.8
MIL	17.1	19.8	14.5	17.9	17.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Scot Pollard	10	9	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	0.04	-2	-5	3	16.1	15.8	0.31	21.4	16.8	4.65
David Harrison	30	30	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.25	4	-11	15	16.0	15.8	0.21	15.6	18.2	-2.56
Jamaal Tinsley	53	54	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.28	5	-12	17	15.6	16.2	-0.57	17.9	16.2	1.76
Sarunas Jasikevicius	23	22	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.10	-2	-5	3	15.3	16.0	-0.71	18.3	16.9	1.40
Danny Granger	45	45	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.21	0	-7	7	16.0	15.6	0.45	17.6	17.0	0.58
Anthony Johnson	37	36	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.07	-5	-2	-3	16.0	15.7	0.35	16.7	17.7	-1.04
Jeff Foster	41	41	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.01	-8	1	-9	16.5	15.2	1.25	17.9	16.7	1.23
Jermaine O'Neal	69	69	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.28	-5	-2	-3	15.8	16.0	-0.22	17.0	18.4	-1.40
Peja Stojakovic	66	67	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	-0.17	-10	3	-13	15.2	17.8	-2.55	17.2	17.6	-0.42
Fred Jones	61	62	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	-0.14	-12	5	-17	16.1	15.2	0.91	16.7	18.8	-2.08

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andrew Bogut	63	63	0.72	-0.22	0.94	0.19	18	-11	29	16.9	18.3	-1.46	16.8	13.2	3.67
Michael Redd	74	73	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.31	9	-2	11	16.5	21.5	-4.92	16.0	15.1	0.90
Bobby Simmons	54	53	0.33	0.17	0.15	0.09	8	-1	9	16.2	19.1	-2.88	15.9	15.8	0.10
T.J. Ford	44	45	0.32	0.18	0.13	-0.01	11	-4	15	15.9	18.7	-2.72	16.6	15.0	1.69
Toni Kukoc	35	35	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.24	0	7	-7	18.4	16.5	1.88	15.3	16.2	-0.91
Jamaal Magloire	51	50	0.21	0.29	-0.07	0.04	6	1	5	16.0	19.0	-2.99	16.7	14.6	2.15
Charlie Bell	44	43	0.19	0.31	-0.11	0.31	-4	11	-15	18.6	15.9	2.71	14.7	17.0	-2.28
Mo Williams	43	42	0.18	0.32	-0.13	0.30	-4	11	-15	18.7	15.9	2.72	15.0	16.6	-1.69
Dan Gadzuric	10	12	0.02	0.48	-0.47	-0.04	2	5	-3	21.3	16.8	4.55	15.0	16.0	-0.96
Joe Smith	17	19	-0.28	0.78	-1.06	0.04	-11	18	-29	21.0	16.4	4.63	13.5	16.5	-2.94

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.61,0.65,0.63,0.61,0.61,0.6,0.55,0.47,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.47,0.39,0.31,0.31,0.28,0.3,0.33,0.29,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.53,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.69,0.75,0.89,0.9,0.94,0.91,0.95,0.96,0.9,0.94,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 87, POR 101	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.48,0.53,0.59,0.59,0.59,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.51,0.49,0.4,0.35,0.39,0.34,0.3,0.34,0.31,0.2,0.22,0.3,0.34,0.45,0.51,0.39,0.52,0.55,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.6,0.56,0.62,0.58,0.56,0.83,0.85,0.94,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1	93.4%
DAL 87, HOU 100	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.54,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.38,0.37,0.41,0.34,0.34,0.33,0.28,0.36,0.42,0.45,0.37,0.33,0.42,0.55,0.45,0.48,0.41,0.56,0.6,0.72,0.7,0.66,0.79,0.89,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.96,0.99,1,1,1	93.3%
ATL 117, NJN 125	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.57,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.53,0.45,0.47,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.36,0.31,0.31,0.3,0.22,0.23,0.31,0.33,0.33,0.42,0.42,0.48,0.45,0.56,0.63,0.68,0.66,0.78,0.79,0.8,0.91,0.96,0.99,0.96,0.95,0.99,1,0.99,1	92.9%