inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Dallas Mavericks 87 Excitement5.8 [623] MVPKevin Willis (HOU): +19.5%
Houston Rockets 100 Comeback3.0 [660] LVPErick Strickland (DAL): -18.4%


Dallas Mavericks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Michael Finley0.000,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0-0.030.03-0.011646%0.001-0.00367%0.00
Martin Muursepp0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Bubba Wells0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.010.000.01175%0.0000.00250%0.00
Eric Riley-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.01-0.010.001100%0.031-0.042100%0.01
Khalid Reeves-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.040.01-0.02657%0.093-0.102100%0.02
A.C. Green-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.05-0.01-0.01125%-0.031-0.01250%-0.02
Shawn Bradley-0.060,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.04-0.010.00633%-0.021-0.0400%0.00
Hubert Davis-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.01-0.010.03750%-0.041-0.022100%0.02
Dennis Scott-0.080,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.05-0.03-0.011348%-0.023-0.06367%0.02
Samaki Walker-0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.06,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.04-0.08-0.032053%0.013-0.10967%-0.03
Erick Strickland-0.180,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.17,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18-0.11-0.050.03917%-0.151-0.0400%0.00

Houston Rockets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kevin Willis0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.190.190.120.090.022068%0.232-0.034100%0.02
Brent Price0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.04-0.040.04-0.03650%0.072-0.032100%0.02
Emanual Davis0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.060.03-0.02736%0.042-0.0500%0.00
Mario Elie0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.02-0.00-0.00954%0.011-0.038100%0.04
Eddie Johnson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.04-0.01-0.03530%-0.021-0.0000%0.00
Matt Bullard0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.040.12-0.030.13983%-0.001-0.0400%0.00
Othella Harrington0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.05-0.01-0.00343%-0.032-0.031100%0.00
Charles Barkley0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.08-0.03-0.011046%-0.062-0.04862%-0.01
Rodrick Rhodes0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17-0.17-0.11-0.06-0.001236%-0.122-0.05450%-0.02
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game28.62.025.216.424.42.333.4132.3
league avg29.92.836.815.626.02.143.0157.7
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
HOU +21.7%
HOU +4.5%
HOU +17.0%
HOU +10.1%
DAL -3.4%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDALHOUNBADALHOUNBA
this game15.116.615.695.6109.9102.5
season15.815.798.3104.5
opponent15.215.5105.7104.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DAL16.513.816.613.715.1
HOU17.015.016.917.716.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Martin Muursepp230.00-0.500.50-0.062-151712.015.1-3.1515.016.6-1.63
Bubba Wells230.00-0.500.50-0.062-151712.015.1-3.1515.016.6-1.63
Michael Finley5859-0.09-0.410.32-0.06-1-121114.016.9-2.8718.413.25.22
Erick Strickland5051-0.13-0.370.240.02-5-8313.816.6-2.7516.516.6-0.10
Shawn Bradley3637-0.20-0.300.10-0.03-6-7116.813.92.8617.016.30.77
Eric Riley2625-0.21-0.290.09-0.09-4-9515.215.00.1617.216.30.81
Hubert Davis4647-0.23-0.270.04-0.05-6-7113.816.4-2.5315.617.6-2.02
A.C. Green4139-0.26-0.24-0.020.00-9-4-515.814.51.2417.316.01.33
Dennis Scott6664-0.32-0.18-0.13-0.17-5-8315.913.02.9216.217.6-1.40
Khalid Reeves4747-0.38-0.12-0.25-0.05-11-2-914.915.2-0.3415.317.9-2.55
Samaki Walker8180-0.690.19-0.87-0.04-229-3115.79.76.0416.219.1-2.87

Houston Rockets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Kevin Willis74750.65-0.150.790.0321-82916.716.10.6315.314.11.16
Mario Elie63630.490.010.48-0.0117-42116.217.4-1.2415.015.3-0.35
Brent Price57580.460.040.410.16103716.317.0-0.6814.616.0-1.40
Charles Barkley60590.260.240.030.0676116.217.3-1.0414.915.3-0.36
Othella Harrington33350.220.28-0.070.16211-917.216.20.9116.214.41.82
Emanual Davis46450.170.33-0.160.20-114-1516.716.50.2114.315.8-1.51
Matt Bullard46450.130.37-0.25-0.1494517.415.71.7515.015.2-0.20
Rodrick Rhodes48470.120.38-0.270.0049-515.817.4-1.6115.514.60.94
Eddie Johnson28280.010.49-0.480.13-417-2117.416.21.2415.315.00.35


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.54,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.38,0.37,0.41,0.34,0.34,0.33,0.28,0.36,0.42,0.45,0.37,0.33,0.42,0.55,0.45,0.48,0.41,0.56,0.6,0.72,0.7,0.66,0.79,0.89,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.96,0.99,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
SAS 76, CHA 920.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.53,0.51,0.46,0.53,0.49,0.4,0.33,0.42,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.42,0.4,0.37,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.38,0.48,0.48,0.59,0.63,0.68,0.78,0.81,0.88,0.93,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,193.8%
VAN 96, UTA 1040.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.55,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.36,0.35,0.33,0.37,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.39,0.5,0.4,0.37,0.36,0.42,0.53,0.61,0.52,0.52,0.44,0.56,0.71,0.74,0.84,0.88,0.83,0.81,0.92,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,0.99,193.7%
POR 89, ATL 1040.5,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.53,0.54,0.58,0.55,0.6,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.44,0.52,0.51,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.35,0.31,0.36,0.31,0.28,0.34,0.33,0.28,0.21,0.27,0.33,0.36,0.45,0.29,0.45,0.59,0.63,0.64,0.62,0.74,0.85,0.91,0.91,0.92,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,193.6%