NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	89		Excitement	5.9 [669]		MVP	Tyler Cavanaugh (ATL): +15.8%
Atlanta Hawks	104		Comeback	4.4 [228]		LVP	Jusuf Nurkic (POR): -11.7%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Evan Turner	0.02	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	9	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shabazz Napier	0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.05	-0.01	0.02	15	62%	0.10	3	-0.08	4	100%	0.01
Maurice Harkless	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.00	3	100%	0.06	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Ed Davis	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.00	-0.01	-0.02	5	80%	0.07	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Noah Vonleh	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jake Layman	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Al-Farouq Aminu	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	9	50%	0.03	3	-0.07	2	50%	-0.00
Pat Connaughton	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	5	42%	-0.03	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.00
Zach Collins	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.08	-0.03	-0.02	6	17%	-0.06	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
CJ McCollum	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.06	-0.03	0.02	21	40%	-0.07	2	-0.05	3	33%	-0.01
Jusuf Nurkic	-0.12	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.11	-0.02	-0.01	11	33%	-0.01	4	-0.11	2	100%	0.01

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tyler Cavanaugh	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.11	0.09	0.04	7	93%	0.19	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Dennis Schroder	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.09	0.05	0.05	17	59%	0.12	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.01
Taurean Prince	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.02	-0.01	8	75%	0.13	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Marco Belinelli	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	-0.00	0.00	10	61%	0.08	1	-0.04	3	67%	-0.00
Malcolm Delaney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.03	7	36%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Taylor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.04	3	67%	0.04	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Miles Plumlee	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.01	-0.00	2	67%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.02
Tyler Dorsey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kent Bazemore	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	10	50%	0.03	3	-0.08	4	75%	-0.01
John Collins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	8	29%	-0.05	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Ersan Ilyasova	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.02	-0.05	0.04	15	41%	-0.11	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.3	2.5	26.4	14.8	26.1	2.5	24.4	121.0
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +37.2%

POR -0.7%

POR -5.3%

ATL +17.1%

ATL +1.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	ATL	NBA	POR	ATL	NBA
this game	15.8	14.7	14.7	93.7	110.6	107.5
season	15.2	14.6		107.8	104.2
opponent	14.4	14.3		109.8	105.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	14.7	16.4	15.6	16.7	15.8
ATL	14.1	14.9	12.6	17.6	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Noah Vonleh	5	6	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.09	3	-18	21	10.2	16.1	-5.90	23.8	14.1	9.78
Jake Layman	5	6	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.09	3	-18	21	10.2	16.1	-5.90	23.8	14.1	9.78
Jusuf Nurkic	52	53	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	0.18	-7	-8	1	14.3	17.6	-3.27	13.1	16.7	-3.59
Pat Connaughton	38	39	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.17	2	-17	19	15.8	15.8	-0.04	16.5	13.4	3.09
Zach Collins	29	29	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.27	4	-19	23	17.0	15.2	1.79	16.9	13.7	3.15
Maurice Harkless	31	30	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.13	-3	-12	9	17.6	14.9	2.71	16.6	13.8	2.87
Shabazz Napier	71	70	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.08	-5	-10	5	15.7	16.0	-0.34	15.0	13.8	1.14
Evan Turner	66	65	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	0.18	-17	2	-19	15.3	17.0	-1.74	13.0	18.3	-5.30
Al-Farouq Aminu	66	65	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.21	-19	4	-23	15.2	17.0	-1.79	13.7	16.9	-3.15
Ed Davis	38	35	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.15	-11	-4	-7	18.6	13.9	4.61	15.5	14.2	1.28
CJ McCollum	74	72	-0.63	0.13	-0.75	0.11	-25	10	-35	16.0	15.1	0.83	13.3	19.1	-5.82

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marco Belinelli	39	41	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.10	14	1	13	14.6	14.7	-0.07	17.4	14.6	2.82
Tyler Cavanaugh	40	42	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.01	16	-1	17	16.1	13.6	2.56	17.2	14.7	2.51
John Collins	46	47	0.43	0.07	0.35	0.25	6	9	-3	15.9	13.5	2.41	16.5	15.1	1.39
Malcolm Delaney	28	29	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.22	3	12	-9	18.1	13.2	4.88	17.4	15.1	2.39
Dennis Schroder	70	69	0.27	0.23	0.04	-0.11	13	2	11	13.5	18.2	-4.68	15.1	17.5	-2.36
Isaiah Taylor	24	26	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.17	2	13	-11	18.2	13.5	4.68	17.5	15.1	2.36
Taurean Prince	66	65	0.22	0.28	-0.07	-0.14	12	3	9	13.2	18.1	-4.88	15.1	17.3	-2.16
Miles Plumlee	41	41	0.06	0.44	-0.38	-0.06	4	11	-7	13.4	15.7	-2.33	15.3	16.2	-0.87
Ersan Ilyasova	61	60	0.03	0.47	-0.44	-0.09	4	11	-7	13.7	16.5	-2.87	14.6	17.8	-3.23
Tyler Dorsey	3	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	17	-19	29.3	14.2	15.14	7.0	16.0	-8.98
Kent Bazemore	52	53	-0.03	0.53	-0.57	-0.12	3	12	-9	13.9	15.7	-1.83	14.8	17.0	-2.21

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.53,0.54,0.58,0.55,0.6,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.44,0.52,0.51,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.35,0.31,0.36,0.31,0.28,0.34,0.33,0.28,0.21,0.27,0.33,0.36,0.45,0.29,0.45,0.59,0.63,0.64,0.62,0.74,0.85,0.91,0.91,0.92,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DET 87, OKC 103	0.5,0.49,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.6,0.57,0.55,0.6,0.49,0.45,0.44,0.46,0.38,0.34,0.36,0.4,0.4,0.35,0.31,0.24,0.2,0.21,0.3,0.3,0.24,0.28,0.27,0.33,0.42,0.45,0.38,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.6,0.7,0.7,0.85,0.87,0.93,0.92,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	94.0%
DAL 87, HOU 100	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.54,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.38,0.37,0.41,0.34,0.34,0.33,0.28,0.36,0.42,0.45,0.37,0.33,0.42,0.55,0.45,0.48,0.41,0.56,0.6,0.72,0.7,0.66,0.79,0.89,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.96,0.99,1,1,1	93.6%
SAC 80, HOU 89	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.59,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.44,0.51,0.45,0.46,0.4,0.35,0.36,0.31,0.29,0.36,0.39,0.33,0.23,0.34,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.48,0.55,0.52,0.63,0.67,0.71,0.81,0.78,0.88,0.95,0.99,0.97,0.98,0.98,1,1,0.98,1,1	93.5%