NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	117		Excitement	5.9 [612]		MVP	Vince Carter (NJN): +37.1%
New Jersey Nets	125		Comeback	5.0 [232]		LVP	Mike Bibby (ATL): -13.1%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Al Horford	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.03	0.02	11	83%	0.17	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Zaza Pachulia	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.06	0.05	-0.00	7	58%	0.11	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.01
Acie Law	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.02	-0.00	3	67%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Childress	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.00	3	67%	0.07	1	-0.03	6	100%	0.04
Joe Johnson	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.05	0.00	0.04	18	56%	0.08	2	-0.06	7	86%	0.00
Marvin Williams	0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.07	-0.02	0.04	9	71%	0.07	2	-0.06	3	100%	0.02
Mario West	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Smith	-0.08	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	0.01	-0.05	0.04	14	56%	0.03	4	-0.10	8	75%	-0.00
Mike Bibby	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13	-0.07	-0.05	0.02	15	47%	-0.01	4	-0.12	2	100%	0.00

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Vince Carter	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.24,0.24,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.21,0.21,0.24,0.3,0.27,0.31,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.37,0.37,0.37	0.37	0.26	0.14	0.02	26	70%	0.37	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Richard Jefferson	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.21,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.19	0.06	0.03	17	75%	0.26	3	-0.04	10	90%	0.03
Devin Harris	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.11	0.02	0.02	15	68%	0.16	3	-0.06	8	87%	0.01
Bostjan Nachbar	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.07	0.00	-0.02	7	79%	0.12	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Josh Boone	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.01	-0.01	5	46%	0.04	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Marcus Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.02	0.00	2	75%	0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Darrell Armstrong	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trenton Hassell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stromile Swift	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sean Williams	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.02	0.01	4	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
DeSagana Diop	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.7	1.7	28.1	15.5	29.6	2.3	31.7	134.6
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NJN +54.7%

ATL -11.4%

ATL -8.2%

NJN +17.8%

ATL -2.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	NJN	NBA	ATL	NJN	NBA
this game	15.1	15.6	15.4	124.5	133.0	105.7
season	15.4	15.4		104.2	101.8
opponent	15.5	15.7		107.1	107.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	15.3	15.7	16.2	13.3	15.1
NJN	16.0	18.6	13.8	14.3	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mario West	1	0	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	0.02	-2	-6	4	0.0	15.2	-15.23	0.0	15.6	-15.57
Acie Law	22	22	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.06	-4	-4	0	16.6	14.6	1.99	15.1	15.7	-0.57
Joe Johnson	74	74	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.26	1	-9	10	14.9	15.8	-0.94	16.2	13.3	2.83
Josh Smith	76	77	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.20	-2	-6	4	14.7	16.8	-2.12	15.8	14.8	0.99
Mike Bibby	71	72	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.22	-2	-6	4	14.8	15.9	-1.07	15.7	15.1	0.57
Zaza Pachulia	27	27	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.14	-5	-3	-2	15.8	14.8	1.05	14.6	16.0	-1.33
Josh Childress	65	62	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.20	-3	-5	2	15.8	13.5	2.24	15.6	15.5	0.16
Al Horford	79	79	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.21	-7	-1	-6	15.1	14.8	0.31	15.5	15.7	-0.19
Marvin Williams	55	57	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.05	-16	8	-24	14.6	15.7	-1.03	15.0	16.5	-1.50

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Vince Carter	85	85	0.53	-0.03	0.55	0.23	10	-2	12	15.5	16.7	-1.21	15.2	13.9	1.30
Devin Harris	81	80	0.50	-0.00	0.51	0.18	11	-3	14	15.4	16.8	-1.39	15.0	15.4	-0.43
Josh Boone	71	72	0.38	0.12	0.27	0.12	9	-1	10	15.7	15.1	0.59	15.3	14.2	1.09
Richard Jefferson	80	78	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.20	6	2	4	15.2	17.4	-2.18	15.2	14.6	0.60
Stromile Swift	14	16	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.11	8	0	8	17.1	15.3	1.84	15.1	15.1	-0.00
Bostjan Nachbar	50	51	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.20	4	4	0	14.7	16.6	-1.95	14.6	15.6	-0.91
Sean Williams	41	40	0.25	0.25	-0.00	0.04	7	1	6	15.7	15.5	0.15	15.4	14.8	0.67
Marcus Williams	6	8	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.08	1	7	-6	20.3	15.2	5.08	12.5	15.3	-2.80
DeSagana Diop	17	16	0.06	0.44	-0.37	0.15	-3	11	-14	15.3	15.6	-0.34	13.6	15.4	-1.73
Darrell Armstrong	7	6	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	0.01	-4	12	-16	13.7	15.7	-2.01	19.3	14.8	4.56
Trenton Hassell	18	18	-0.27	0.77	-1.03	-0.00	-9	17	-26	18.4	14.9	3.48	14.6	15.2	-0.56

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.57,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.53,0.45,0.47,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.36,0.31,0.31,0.3,0.22,0.23,0.31,0.33,0.33,0.42,0.42,0.48,0.45,0.56,0.63,0.68,0.66,0.78,0.79,0.8,0.91,0.96,0.99,0.96,0.95,0.99,1,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 99, SAC 105	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.5,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.58,0.44,0.44,0.39,0.33,0.27,0.33,0.29,0.23,0.3,0.33,0.36,0.35,0.45,0.41,0.48,0.6,0.68,0.62,0.66,0.86,0.76,0.88,0.94,0.95,0.94,0.99,0.98,0.94,0.98,1	94.8%
NOP 88, MIA 107	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.59,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.4,0.4,0.47,0.44,0.4,0.39,0.42,0.33,0.33,0.23,0.26,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.45,0.52,0.59,0.7,0.74,0.75,0.7,0.82,0.86,0.92,0.97,0.96,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.0%
SEA 96, LAL 108	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.55,0.59,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.61,0.62,0.64,0.66,0.62,0.64,0.64,0.53,0.44,0.42,0.39,0.36,0.31,0.29,0.28,0.3,0.27,0.29,0.37,0.33,0.42,0.41,0.45,0.55,0.52,0.63,0.52,0.72,0.81,0.87,0.91,0.83,0.94,0.97,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1	93.6%