inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
New Orleans Pelicans 88 Excitement5.2 [811] MVPLeBron James (MIA): +17.1%
Miami Heat 107 Comeback3.8 [653] LVPJrue Holiday (NOP): -14.5%


New Orleans Pelicans
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Brian Roberts0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.050.050.01567%0.0900.00580%-0.00
Eric Gordon0.090,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.070.02-0.001356%0.0900.001100%0.01
Greg Stiemsma0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.00-0.0000%0.0000.0010%-0.01
Darius Miller0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.020.000.021100%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jeff Withey0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Alexis Ajinca-0.010,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.02-0.010.02267%-0.0100.002100%0.00
Anthony Davis-0.010,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.02-0.021858%0.125-0.132100%0.01
Al-Farouq Aminu-0.030,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.01-0.000.01550%-0.011-0.0220%-0.03
Tyreke Evans-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.01-0.020.021150%0.002-0.054100%0.01
Jason Smith-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.05-0.02-0.001136%-0.041-0.0300%0.00
Anthony Morrow-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.01-0.01540%-0.033-0.0400%0.00
Jrue Holiday-0.150,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15-0.11-0.04-0.00633%-0.054-0.1000%0.00

Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
LeBron James0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.170.170.150.060.042268%0.273-0.103100%0.02
Chris Bosh0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.160.160.080.080.00763%0.1600.005100%0.04
Chris Andersen0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.110.140.010.04788%0.1100.00333%-0.01
Ray Allen0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.020.02-0.04765%0.152-0.073100%0.02
James Jones0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.020.000.02275%0.0000.0000%0.00
Joel Anthony00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Norris Cole0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.02-0.010.01756%0.011-0.02250%-0.01
Udonis Haslem0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.02-0.000.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Roger Mason Jr.0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.030.00-0.0120%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Dwyane Wade0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.040.04-0.030.051563%0.064-0.10580%0.00
Rashard Lewis0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.04-0.01-0.01520%-0.0500.0000%0.00
Michael Beasley0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.09-0.01-0.02312%-0.032-0.05250%-0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game23.33.428.815.725.71.831.0129.7
league avg24.72.329.616.026.92.333.4136.7
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIA +31.8%
MIA +14.1%
NOP -0.2%
MIA +3.6%
MIA +0.7%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsNOPMIANBANOPMIANBA
this game15.516.515.198.9117.6105.2
season15.515.6105.6109.7
opponent15.815.3105.1108.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
NOP13.716.017.015.315.5
MIA18.215.314.318.116.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Pelicans
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Darius Miller780.02-0.520.54-0.073-222510.915.9-5.0816.716.40.33
Jeff Withey660.00-0.500.50-0.093-222512.015.8-3.8019.716.23.44
Alexis Ajinca2527-0.05-0.450.410.10-5-14914.815.8-1.0319.215.33.89
Greg Stiemsma2729-0.16-0.340.19-0.07-3-161316.315.21.0914.817.2-2.38
Brian Roberts3134-0.16-0.340.18-0.10-2-171515.615.50.0615.616.9-1.28
Anthony Morrow2225-0.17-0.330.17-0.170-191915.515.6-0.1117.616.01.58
Eric Gordon5354-0.23-0.270.050.21-15-4-1115.415.8-0.4517.115.51.62
Jason Smith4440-0.23-0.270.040.01-8-11315.615.50.1515.117.5-2.41
Al-Farouq Aminu5959-0.29-0.21-0.080.00-10-9-115.815.00.8616.217.0-0.80
Jrue Holiday5857-0.34-0.16-0.180.16-17-2-1515.515.6-0.0616.915.61.28
Tyreke Evans3940-0.35-0.15-0.200.15-17-2-1515.815.30.5514.518.0-3.48
Anthony Davis7476-0.560.06-0.610.15-245-2916.013.52.4916.914.12.85

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Chris Bosh63620.59-0.090.69-0.2629-103917.015.31.6315.615.30.35
Dwyane Wade63610.500.000.50-0.1522-32517.015.31.6316.313.92.35
Norris Cole49490.460.040.43-0.041721517.015.81.1915.016.1-1.11
LeBron James67670.360.140.22-0.201901916.017.7-1.7615.615.40.17
Chris Andersen44440.340.160.18-0.101541115.117.7-2.5916.115.01.18
Rashard Lewis31310.240.26-0.010.01811-317.615.81.8115.215.7-0.53
Ray Allen56550.170.33-0.17-0.10910-116.117.1-1.0315.316.0-0.75
Roger Mason Jr.32300.090.41-0.310.21-423-2715.716.9-1.1815.515.6-0.11
James Jones660.000.50-0.500.09-322-2519.716.23.4412.015.8-3.80
Joel Anthony540.000.50-0.500.03-120-2118.016.41.6411.515.7-4.23
Michael Beasley2625-0.050.55-0.600.24-1029-3915.516.8-1.3316.215.30.86
Udonis Haslem1311-0.210.71-0.93-0.04-625-3117.016.40.6415.015.6-0.62


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.59,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.4,0.4,0.47,0.44,0.4,0.39,0.42,0.33,0.33,0.23,0.26,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.45,0.52,0.59,0.7,0.74,0.75,0.7,0.82,0.86,0.92,0.97,0.96,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
SAC 80, HOU 890.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.59,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.44,0.51,0.45,0.46,0.4,0.35,0.36,0.31,0.29,0.36,0.39,0.33,0.23,0.34,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.48,0.55,0.52,0.63,0.67,0.71,0.81,0.78,0.88,0.95,0.99,0.97,0.98,0.98,1,1,0.98,1,195.4%
GSW 80, CLE 970.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.61,0.61,0.6,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.53,0.49,0.44,0.44,0.35,0.27,0.36,0.39,0.31,0.33,0.33,0.38,0.4,0.36,0.36,0.42,0.42,0.52,0.62,0.73,0.74,0.75,0.7,0.9,0.96,0.9,0.92,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,194.5%
ATL 117, NJN 1250.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.57,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.53,0.45,0.47,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.36,0.31,0.31,0.3,0.22,0.23,0.31,0.33,0.33,0.42,0.42,0.48,0.45,0.56,0.63,0.68,0.66,0.78,0.79,0.8,0.91,0.96,0.99,0.96,0.95,0.99,1,0.99,194.0%