NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	91		Excitement	6.2 [583]		MVP	Derrick Favors (UTA): +18.6%
Utah Jazz	103		Comeback	2.7 [707]		LVP	Ray McCallum (SAC): -10.2%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ben McLemore	0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.04	0.06	0.01	12	50%	0.09	0	0.00	8	75%	-0.00
Reggie Evans	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.04	0.04	0.00	4	67%	0.08	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Carl Landry	0.05	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	11	57%	0.06	1	-0.01	6	67%	-0.01
Derrick Williams	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.05	0.02	0.05	11	54%	0.02	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.06
Omri Casspi	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,-0.03,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.01	9	73%	0.18	5	-0.17	4	75%	0.00
Ryan Hollins	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sim Bhullar	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Thompson	-0.03	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	13	43%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Andre Miller	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.07	0.01	-0.01	6	33%	0.02	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Ray McCallum	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.07	-0.03	-0.00	7	21%	-0.06	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Derrick Favors	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.10	0.09	0.00	13	69%	0.21	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Hood	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.07	0.08	0.01	14	65%	0.21	3	-0.08	3	100%	0.02
Chris Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.04	0.08	-0.01	4	55%	0.13	0	0.00	3	100%	0.03
Joe Ingles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.05	0.03	7	71%	0.10	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Dante Exum	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.02	0.03	-0.05	10	60%	0.15	4	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Gordon Hayward	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Trevor Booker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	6	37%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.03
Jeremy Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.02	0	100%	0.03	1	-0.04	4	100%	0.01
Jack Cooley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rudy Gobert	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.01	-0.02	0.03	7	55%	-0.02	1	-0.02	8	50%	-0.04
Trey Burke	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.01,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	9	58%	0.10	5	-0.17	1	0%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.0	1.8	31.1	15.4	27.4	2.3	30.5	131.6
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +46.7%

UTA +4.1%

UTA +12.2%

SAC -13.4%

UTA +0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	UTA	NBA	SAC	UTA	NBA
this game	15.9	16.5	15.1	102.2	115.7	104.2
season	14.9	16.2		103.7	103.8
opponent	15.3	14.8		103.7	107.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	15.0	15.1	15.7	18.0	15.9
UTA	18.6	14.9	17.0	15.6	16.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Reggie Evans	29	27	0.10	-0.60	0.71	-0.04	5	-17	22	14.0	16.8	-2.85	17.7	15.9	1.82
Sim Bhullar	2	3	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-12	12	20.5	15.8	4.72	12.0	16.6	-4.63
Ryan Hollins	1	1	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-14	16	21.0	15.8	5.17	17.0	16.5	0.53
Derrick Williams	53	51	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	-0.09	-2	-10	8	15.8	16.0	-0.24	17.4	15.3	2.11
Andre Miller	46	47	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.25	2	-14	16	15.5	16.3	-0.71	16.2	16.8	-0.59
Ben McLemore	70	71	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.07	-5	-7	2	15.5	17.3	-1.75	16.6	15.8	0.80
Omri Casspi	60	62	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.13	-8	-4	-4	15.6	16.4	-0.73	15.8	18.1	-2.30
Carl Landry	64	64	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.02	-16	4	-20	16.1	15.3	0.79	16.4	16.6	-0.18
Ray McCallum	62	60	-0.59	0.09	-0.69	0.02	-21	9	-30	16.6	14.3	2.23	16.5	16.4	0.09
Jason Thompson	58	59	-0.60	0.10	-0.71	-0.10	-17	5	-22	16.7	14.4	2.30	16.1	17.2	-1.05

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Trevor Booker	51	52	0.51	-0.01	0.53	0.07	15	-3	18	16.8	16.0	0.78	16.2	15.5	0.64
Dante Exum	58	58	0.45	0.05	0.41	0.07	13	-1	14	16.4	16.5	-0.07	17.0	13.8	3.24
Joe Ingles	42	40	0.44	0.06	0.39	0.12	11	1	10	16.0	16.9	-0.94	15.5	16.2	-0.70
Derrick Favors	42	41	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.15	9	3	6	17.3	15.7	1.59	16.0	15.8	0.12
Rodney Hood	62	62	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.05	8	4	4	15.6	18.5	-2.88	16.4	14.8	1.59
Chris Johnson	33	33	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.11	2	10	-8	17.5	15.9	1.66	14.4	16.8	-2.42
Rudy Gobert	54	54	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.04	4	8	-4	16.8	16.0	0.73	16.4	15.2	1.18
Trey Burke	39	41	0.16	0.34	-0.19	0.07	3	9	-6	16.8	16.2	0.53	14.8	16.8	-1.96
Jack Cooley	9	9	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	11	-10	15.2	16.6	-1.39	17.6	15.7	1.86
Jeremy Evans	18	19	-0.03	0.53	-0.55	0.03	-2	14	-16	14.0	17.1	-3.10	14.1	16.4	-2.33
Gordon Hayward	37	36	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.05	-4	16	-20	17.0	16.1	0.86	15.7	16.0	-0.37

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.53,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.38,0.42,0.44,0.35,0.37,0.34,0.36,0.39,0.31,0.3,0.33,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.48,0.52,0.62,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.4,0.48,0.58,0.66,0.57,0.67,0.88,0.96,0.99,1,0.98,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 96, MIN 107	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.45,0.4,0.43,0.47,0.4,0.4,0.47,0.43,0.44,0.36,0.38,0.47,0.46,0.42,0.32,0.34,0.26,0.3,0.3,0.27,0.31,0.4,0.45,0.55,0.56,0.65,0.56,0.55,0.63,0.56,0.48,0.54,0.62,0.57,0.76,0.81,0.92,0.89,0.87,0.75,0.93,0.99,0.96,1	93.3%
CHI 84, SEA 98	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.45,0.41,0.47,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.44,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.42,0.39,0.37,0.27,0.26,0.23,0.25,0.14,0.2,0.21,0.34,0.27,0.35,0.52,0.58,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.62,0.62,0.48,0.71,0.9,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	92.9%
WAS 70, POR 87	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.4,0.41,0.47,0.55,0.62,0.62,0.6,0.54,0.56,0.49,0.38,0.42,0.42,0.35,0.34,0.24,0.28,0.27,0.33,0.37,0.35,0.31,0.42,0.39,0.45,0.58,0.68,0.69,0.66,0.56,0.52,0.54,0.7,0.71,0.76,0.88,0.92,0.96,0.95,1,1,1,1,1	92.8%