NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	84		Excitement	6.2 [586]		MVP	Rashard Lewis (SEA): +25.4%
Seattle SuperSonics	98		Comeback	6.8 [380]		LVP	Kirk Hinrich (CHI): -13.4%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Luol Deng	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.09,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.12	0.03	0.10	10	73%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Chris Duhon	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.01	-0.00	6	67%	0.08	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Othella Harrington	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.00	1	67%	0.03	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Darius Songaila	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	5	60%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jannero Pargo	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.07	0.00	-0.07	2	0%	0.00	2	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ben Gordon	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.02	-0.00	15	37%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Piatkowski	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Sweetney	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.07	0.02	-0.02	15	41%	0.01	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Andres Nocioni	-0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.06	0.01	-0.02	13	43%	0.04	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Tyson Chandler	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	0.01	2	37%	-0.04	2	-0.05	4	25%	-0.05
Kirk Hinrich	-0.13	0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.12	-0.02	-0.01	15	34%	-0.09	3	-0.04	2	0%	-0.04

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rashard Lewis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25	0.25	0.10	0.11	-0.05	21	57%	0.29	1	-0.03	5	40%	-0.05
Ray Allen	0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.11	0.10	0.03	19	63%	0.23	2	-0.05	5	100%	0.03
Vladimir Radmanovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	-0.01	0.08	-0.06	8	35%	0.12	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Nick Collison	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.03	0.06	-0.00	7	57%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mateen Cleaves	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.06	-0.02	0.04	4	90%	0.01	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.00
Damien Wilkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.04	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Johan Petro	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	4	50%	-0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Vitaly Potapenko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	4	50%	0.03	2	-0.09	2	50%	-0.01
Luke Ridnour	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	0.00	9	45%	-0.01	3	-0.08	4	75%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	0.8	29.0	15.8	26.2	0.7	27.3	125.1
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SEA +61.0%

SEA +10.6%

CHI -4.6%

CHI -13.9%

CHI -3.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	SEA	NBA	CHI	SEA	NBA
this game	16.4	15.9	15.6	94.4	110.1	104.4
season	14.4	15.0		102.6	108.9
opponent	15.8	16.1		112.2	102.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	17.0	17.2	18.2	13.8	16.4
SEA	15.7	17.1	16.1	15.0	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Darius Songaila	25	24	0.10	-0.60	0.71	-0.07	6	-20	26	17.9	15.8	2.09	19.2	14.7	4.47
Othella Harrington	8	9	0.09	-0.59	0.67	-0.06	5	-19	24	15.5	16.5	-1.01	14.2	16.1	-1.92
Eric Piatkowski	6	7	0.06	-0.56	0.62	0.00	2	-16	18	18.7	16.3	2.41	13.0	16.2	-3.20
Jannero Pargo	13	14	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	-0.04	1	-15	16	9.8	17.5	-7.69	19.1	15.4	3.71
Kirk Hinrich	63	66	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.07	-6	-8	2	16.1	17.1	-0.99	16.8	13.5	3.27
Ben Gordon	49	48	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	0.13	-14	0	-14	17.3	15.4	1.89	15.7	16.2	-0.56
Tyson Chandler	46	47	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	0.18	-17	3	-20	16.3	16.5	-0.23	14.5	17.6	-3.13
Luol Deng	38	37	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.19	-5	-9	4	15.7	17.0	-1.28	15.1	16.6	-1.48
Chris Duhon	56	53	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	-0.09	-13	-1	-12	17.1	15.2	1.86	14.4	18.2	-3.83
Andres Nocioni	64	65	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.13	-13	-1	-12	16.0	17.4	-1.42	16.6	14.2	2.38
Michael Sweetney	77	75	-0.57	0.07	-0.65	-0.10	-16	2	-18	16.9	13.2	3.66	16.1	15.1	1.04

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ray Allen	80	80	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.06	16	-2	18	15.7	18.4	-2.78	16.4	16.9	-0.53
Mateen Cleaves	32	33	0.50	0.00	0.49	0.09	14	0	14	14.8	16.6	-1.77	14.2	17.7	-3.45
Vitaly Potapenko	37	38	0.45	0.05	0.41	0.10	12	2	10	15.7	16.1	-0.41	15.2	17.3	-2.15
Vladimir Radmanovic	43	43	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.13	9	5	4	15.5	16.4	-0.93	14.5	18.2	-3.73
Rashard Lewis	75	76	0.27	0.23	0.04	-0.05	11	3	8	16.3	13.8	2.56	16.2	17.7	-1.49
Damien Wilkins	25	23	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.17	1	13	-12	15.6	16.1	-0.53	17.0	16.2	0.79
Johan Petro	44	43	0.13	0.37	-0.23	-0.04	6	8	-2	15.7	16.1	-0.38	17.9	15.0	2.89
Nick Collison	54	54	0.02	0.48	-0.46	-0.01	1	13	-12	16.6	14.9	1.79	17.6	14.5	3.09
Luke Ridnour	55	55	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.00	0	14	-14	16.6	14.8	1.81	17.9	14.1	3.77

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.45,0.41,0.47,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.44,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.42,0.39,0.37,0.27,0.26,0.23,0.25,0.14,0.2,0.21,0.34,0.27,0.35,0.52,0.58,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.62,0.62,0.48,0.71,0.9,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 98, ORL 112	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.5,0.5,0.46,0.37,0.39,0.39,0.45,0.38,0.4,0.5,0.44,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.3,0.32,0.31,0.26,0.18,0.23,0.2,0.2,0.21,0.18,0.22,0.3,0.36,0.48,0.48,0.55,0.41,0.44,0.48,0.5,0.52,0.62,0.76,0.92,0.94,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	93.7%
MEM 84, UTA 105	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.4,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.43,0.48,0.53,0.44,0.4,0.44,0.42,0.37,0.31,0.29,0.39,0.25,0.2,0.3,0.21,0.31,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.38,0.41,0.41,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.58,0.6,0.66,0.76,0.88,0.94,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	93.1%
SAC 91, UTA 103	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.53,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.38,0.42,0.44,0.35,0.37,0.34,0.36,0.39,0.31,0.3,0.33,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.48,0.52,0.62,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.4,0.48,0.58,0.66,0.57,0.67,0.88,0.96,0.99,1,0.98,0.99,1,1,1	92.9%