NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	84		Excitement	5.7 [640]		MVP	Karl Malone (UTA): +18.3%
Utah Jazz	105		Comeback	4.0 [723]		LVP	Earl Watson (MEM): -17.5%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Cezary Trybanski	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	0.00	0.03	3	71%	0.00	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Mike Batiste	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.03	8	53%	0.04	2	-0.06	1	100%	0.00
Gordan Giricek	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.01	-0.04	-0.00	13	57%	0.04	2	-0.07	4	50%	-0.03
Shane Battier	-0.06	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	6	29%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Lorenzen Wright	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.16,-0.17,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.13	0.01	-0.03	13	47%	0.01	5	-0.09	8	75%	-0.01
Pau Gasol	-0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.11	-0.04	-0.05	14	44%	-0.01	4	-0.09	4	50%	0.00
Drew Gooden	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.14	-0.05	-0.02	11	12%	-0.17	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Earl Watson	-0.17	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.1,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.15	-0.07	-0.04	15	47%	0.05	7	-0.22	4	50%	-0.01

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Karl Malone	0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.07,0.09,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.14,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.12	0.06	-0.00	21	67%	0.23	2	-0.05	4	75%	-0.00
Greg Ostertag	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.05	-0.01	0.02	7	67%	0.03	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Mark Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.02	0.00	7	57%	0.08	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Carlos Arroyo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrei Kirilenko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.02	0.00	0.05	10	54%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Calbert Cheaney	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	5	70%	0.05	4	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
DeShawn Stevenson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	6	37%	-0.06	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.03
Tony Massenburg	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	10	42%	-0.06	1	-0.01	6	83%	0.02
Scott Padgett	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	7	50%	0.01	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
John Stockton	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.06	-0.01	0.02	11	42%	-0.05	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	1.8	26.2	16.4	24.5	2.6	31.0	127.8
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +29.3%

MEM -0.0%

UTA +2.6%

UTA +16.3%

UTA +1.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	UTA	NBA	MEM	UTA	NBA
this game	15.6	15.1	15.5	89.4	111.7	101.6
season	15.3	16.3		101.8	103.1
opponent	15.3	15.2		101.1	105.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	16.2	14.6	16.6	15.0	15.6
UTA	14.5	17.5	14.7	13.8	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Cezary Trybanski	4	5	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-21	21	14.0	15.6	-1.64	10.8	15.3	-4.50
Lorenzen Wright	80	79	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	0.18	-13	-8	-5	15.9	13.6	2.35	15.7	11.7	3.96
Gordan Giricek	75	74	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	0.17	-13	-8	-5	15.8	14.8	0.92	15.8	12.4	3.32
Mike Batiste	28	29	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.13	-6	-15	9	14.6	16.0	-1.38	14.7	15.2	-0.59
Shane Battier	81	82	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	0.11	-16	-5	-11	15.1	18.3	-3.17	14.6	18.0	-3.37
Earl Watson	79	80	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	0.19	-22	1	-23	15.6	15.2	0.45	14.4	18.7	-4.29
Drew Gooden	47	46	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.12	-12	-9	-3	15.9	15.2	0.68	15.8	14.4	1.45
Pau Gasol	76	75	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	0.18	-23	2	-25	15.6	15.3	0.37	14.8	15.9	-1.11

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Karl Malone	77	78	0.61	-0.11	0.73	-0.06	23	-2	25	14.4	18.2	-3.80	15.7	14.9	0.84
Andrei Kirilenko	58	58	0.42	0.08	0.33	-0.11	18	3	15	16.1	13.4	2.71	15.9	15.1	0.84
Mark Jackson	31	31	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.21	4	17	-13	15.4	14.9	0.53	16.0	15.4	0.63
Tony Massenburg	49	48	0.33	0.17	0.16	-0.17	17	4	13	14.9	15.2	-0.30	14.5	16.7	-2.28
Calbert Cheaney	38	40	0.27	0.23	0.04	-0.14	14	7	7	15.1	15.1	-0.02	14.9	16.0	-1.09
Greg Ostertag	43	43	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.05	6	15	-9	14.9	15.2	-0.29	16.8	14.5	2.24
John Stockton	56	56	0.17	0.33	-0.16	-0.30	16	5	11	15.1	15.1	0.02	15.4	15.8	-0.45
DeShawn Stevenson	49	47	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.07	2	19	-17	15.1	15.1	-0.01	15.3	15.9	-0.60
Scott Padgett	62	62	0.01	0.49	-0.48	-0.11	4	17	-13	15.2	14.8	0.33	15.7	15.2	0.49
Carlos Arroyo	7	7	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	20	-19	13.4	15.2	-1.77	15.1	15.6	-0.47

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.4,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.43,0.48,0.53,0.44,0.4,0.44,0.42,0.37,0.31,0.29,0.39,0.25,0.2,0.3,0.21,0.31,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.38,0.41,0.41,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.58,0.6,0.66,0.76,0.88,0.94,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 102, PHX 110	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.5,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.38,0.4,0.33,0.33,0.37,0.34,0.37,0.23,0.23,0.33,0.33,0.32,0.34,0.42,0.45,0.36,0.29,0.41,0.38,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.58,0.66,0.71,0.76,0.77,0.87,0.88,0.95,0.97,0.99,1,1,1	94.4%
NYK 78, GSW 92	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.42,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.46,0.49,0.56,0.51,0.42,0.37,0.35,0.37,0.31,0.36,0.27,0.36,0.33,0.35,0.28,0.27,0.27,0.3,0.42,0.47,0.44,0.52,0.52,0.6,0.5,0.66,0.79,0.8,0.85,0.94,0.88,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	93.8%
NYK 83, POR 95	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.35,0.4,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.33,0.35,0.31,0.35,0.34,0.29,0.34,0.27,0.25,0.22,0.26,0.31,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.59,0.63,0.6,0.58,0.57,0.66,0.76,0.82,0.79,0.89,0.97,1,0.99,1,1,1	93.6%