NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	103		Excitement	7.2 [401]		MVP	Jeremy Sochan (SAS): +24.4%
San Antonio Spurs	101		Comeback	2.0 [657]		LVP	Malaki Branham (SAS): -10.3%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jock Landale	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13	0.05	0.06	-0.02	8	69%	0.15	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Holiday	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.13	0.03	0.07	-0.03	6	57%	0.13	0	0.00	2	100%	0.03
Dillon Brooks	0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.01,0.01,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.02	0.10	0.00	11	64%	0.20	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Jabari Smith Jr.	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.04	0.03	-0.01	11	58%	0.10	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.03
Jeff Green	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.03	-0.00	5	57%	0.07	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Fred VanVleet	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.03	16	58%	0.08	2	-0.02	4	100%	0.03
Jalen Green	0.06	0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.16,-0.16,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06	-0.06	0.09	-0.03	16	43%	0.15	3	-0.09	5	80%	0.03
Amen Thompson	0.03	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	-0.00	0.01	2	100%	0.06	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Reggie Bullock Jr.	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.03	-0.00	3	33%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jae'Sean Tate	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jeremy Sochan	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,0,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.24	0.24	0.12	0.14	0.01	14	72%	0.29	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.02
Sandro Mamukelashvili	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.06	0.08	0.00	3	100%	0.14	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tre Jones	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12	0.12	0.14	0.00	0.02	15	75%	0.19	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.04
Victor Wembanyama	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.02,-0.04,0,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1	0.10	0.01	0.10	-0.00	12	52%	0.14	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
Blake Wesley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.05	0.03	0.00	7	62%	0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Devonte' Graham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dominick Barlow	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Julian Champagnie	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.02,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	0.01	-0.06	0.01	9	50%	-0.01	1	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Devin Vassell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.08	-0.08	-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	6	43%	-0.02	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.02
Zach Collins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	7	39%	-0.05	1	-0.04	4	75%	-0.01
Malaki Branham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.08	-0.03	-0.01	7	29%	-0.06	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.7	2.3	25.4	14.7	27.6	2.5	40.2	135.2
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +21.8%

HOU +8.6%

SAS -6.5%

HOU +11.6%

HOU +14.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	SAS	NBA	HOU	SAS	NBA
this game	14.9	16.1	14.5	110.8	108.6	113.9
season	14.2	13.9		113.2	108.6
opponent	14.3	14.6		115.2	112.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	14.0	16.4	14.4	14.9	14.9
SAS	16.0	14.9	16.9	16.4	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jock Landale	49	49	0.89	-0.39	1.29	0.42	16	-14	30	15.1	14.7	0.44	16.0	16.1	-0.16
Fred VanVleet	74	74	0.65	-0.15	0.81	0.48	6	-4	10	14.5	16.5	-2.03	16.6	14.0	2.58
Jalen Green	70	71	0.48	0.02	0.47	0.42	2	0	2	15.1	14.5	0.58	16.2	15.5	0.73
Jabari Smith Jr.	66	65	0.36	0.14	0.21	0.53	-6	8	-14	14.8	15.3	-0.49	15.3	17.7	-2.38
Dillon Brooks	54	56	0.25	0.25	0.01	0.20	2	0	2	15.5	14.1	1.44	16.9	14.7	2.24
Amen Thompson	44	42	0.15	0.35	-0.19	0.18	-1	3	-4	14.5	15.2	-0.70	17.2	15.1	2.07
Reggie Bullock Jr.	29	30	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.01	2	0	2	14.2	15.2	-1.03	15.3	16.4	-1.16
Aaron Holiday	26	24	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.05	-4	6	-10	14.7	15.0	-0.25	13.4	17.0	-3.61
Jae'Sean Tate	27	27	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.02	-3	5	-8	14.6	15.0	-0.40	15.0	16.5	-1.43
Jeff Green	28	29	-0.18	0.68	-0.87	-0.04	-5	7	-12	15.4	14.7	0.63	15.6	16.3	-0.73

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Devonte' Graham	8	7	0.08	-0.58	0.66	0.02	2	-4	6	18.6	15.8	2.81	14.9	14.9	-0.06
Julian Champagnie	70	70	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	-0.38	11	-13	24	15.1	19.0	-3.91	15.1	14.3	0.75
Sandro Mamukelashvili	23	21	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	-0.11	0	-2	2	16.5	15.9	0.62	15.2	14.8	0.42
Dominick Barlow	7	8	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	0.03	-5	3	-8	18.4	15.9	2.57	16.0	14.8	1.19
Blake Wesley	34	32	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.07	-5	3	-8	15.3	16.5	-1.15	14.8	15.0	-0.20
Zach Collins	30	32	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.02	-7	5	-12	16.2	16.0	0.17	14.2	15.3	-1.06
Tre Jones	60	61	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.34	3	-5	8	16.2	15.8	0.41	15.0	14.8	0.20
Jeremy Sochan	63	63	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.30	1	-3	4	15.6	17.0	-1.35	14.5	15.8	-1.31
Victor Wembanyama	61	60	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.45	5	-7	12	16.3	15.5	0.84	15.5	13.8	1.65
Devin Vassell	67	69	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.42	0	-2	2	16.2	15.7	0.45	14.9	15.1	-0.23
Malaki Branham	42	42	-0.61	0.11	-0.73	-0.17	-15	13	-28	16.9	15.4	1.46	14.7	15.1	-0.45

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.59,0.57,0.57,0.62,0.63,0.65,0.64,0.58,0.55,0.56,0.47,0.53,0.61,0.6,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.54,0.55,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.39,0.45,0.59,0.45,0.29,0.29,0.36,0.34,0.34,0.57,0.58,0.47,0.21,0.12,0.13,0.04,0.06,0.01,0.09,0
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 95, CLE 90	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.56,0.56,0.62,0.63,0.63,0.67,0.66,0.64,0.65,0.66,0.74,0.71,0.65,0.63,0.59,0.61,0.66,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.54,0.48,0.36,0.36,0.48,0.45,0.34,0.37,0.26,0.28,0.38,0.38,0.52,0.46,0.27,0.21,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.07,0.08,0	92.6%
UTA 82, HOU 74	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.59,0.6,0.59,0.59,0.61,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.65,0.66,0.69,0.68,0.62,0.56,0.53,0.56,0.57,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.63,0.62,0.63,0.58,0.48,0.39,0.42,0.45,0.41,0.37,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.43,0.33,0.37,0.21,0.16,0.1,0.11,0.04,0.05,0.01,0	92.3%
VAN 110, MIN 102	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.5,0.5,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.56,0.63,0.62,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.46,0.44,0.56,0.64,0.56,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.39,0.45,0.42,0.39,0.32,0.34,0.3,0.4,0.4,0.34,0.3,0.48,0.43,0.47,0.31,0.25,0.22,0.03,0.07,0,0,0	92.3%