inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Toronto Raptors 119 Excitement6.4 [540] MVPJamal Murray (DEN): +33.6%
Denver Nuggets 125 Comeback29.3 [317] LVPChristian Braun (DEN): -6.0%


Toronto Raptors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kelly Olynyk0.160,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.09,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.160.170.030.041377%0.181-0.02580%-0.00
RJ Barrett0.150,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.13,0.16,0.17,0.150.040.09-0.022058%0.224-0.085100%0.04
Jalen McDaniels0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.020.05-0.01957%0.111-0.02367%0.00
Jontay Porter0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.08-0.030.01978%0.092-0.0500%0.00
Ochai Agbaji0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.02-0.01-0.00753%0.0100.0010%-0.01
Gradey Dick0.000,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.10-0.050.051268%0.061-0.061100%0.00
Jordan Nwora0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.01-0.01736%0.0000.0000%0.00
Javon Freeman-Liberty-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.030.00-0.0320%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Bruce Brown-0.010,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.04-0.01-0.051443%0.022-0.032100%0.01

Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jamal Murray0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.17,0.23,0.23,0.3,0.37,0.35,0.34,0.340.340.120.22-0.001960%0.371-0.03540%-0.05
Michael Porter Jr.0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.18,0.180.180.100.090.021463%0.1800.00250%-0.00
Nikola Jokic0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.140.140.140.050.062660%0.172-0.036100%0.02
Aaron Gordon0,0,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.130.160.030.06990%0.151-0.02367%-0.00
Reggie Jackson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.020.06-0.01950%0.0900.0000%0.00
Peyton Watson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.020.040.01470%0.081-0.0220%-0.02
Zeke Nnaji0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.000.03-0.00250%0.0400.0000%0.00
Justin Holiday0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.020.00-0.0000%0.001-0.0200%0.00
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.080.02-0.01625%-0.012-0.0400%0.00
Christian Braun0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.02-0.04-0.00642%-0.041-0.0200%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game23.42.324.713.829.42.529.4125.6
league avg25.82.328.015.028.22.332.4135.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DEN +44.2%
TOR -10.1%
DEN +9.8%
DEN +6.6%
TOR -0.5%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsTORDENNBATORDENNBA
this game13.814.914.5120.2122.5113.9
season14.015.0111.3116.2
opponent14.614.7111.6117.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
TOR12.612.914.315.513.8
DEN13.515.913.317.214.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Javon Freeman-Liberty26290.14-0.640.780.053-91214.313.50.8012.515.8-3.30
Jordan Nwora3637-0.09-0.410.33-0.142-81013.414.0-0.5814.914.90.06
Kelly Olynyk5861-0.20-0.300.10-0.11-3-3013.614.0-0.5016.013.32.66
Jontay Porter4646-0.24-0.260.02-0.271-7814.313.30.9414.015.6-1.69
RJ Barrett7882-0.26-0.24-0.02-0.17-3-3013.016.5-3.4515.113.81.35
Gradey Dick7378-0.35-0.15-0.21-0.21-5-1-414.112.71.3914.715.5-0.81
Ochai Agbaji5760-0.44-0.06-0.38-0.20-82-1013.813.70.0315.414.11.38
Bruce Brown7976-0.510.01-0.53-0.28-82-1013.713.9-0.1815.114.11.03
Jalen McDaniels4241-0.550.05-0.59-0.28-93-1214.213.40.7914.515.1-0.66

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jamal Murray83820.59-0.090.680.1515-92414.616.3-1.7614.112.02.12
Nikola Jokic80780.56-0.060.610.1813-72015.114.11.0113.514.6-1.03
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope68630.50-0.000.500.3551415.813.02.7813.614.0-0.42
Christian Braun41430.430.070.370.179-31213.415.9-2.4514.713.11.58
Peyton Watson33330.280.220.060.1351414.115.3-1.1714.413.40.95
Aaron Gordon65610.210.29-0.080.24-17-815.414.01.3413.514.1-0.61
Michael Porter Jr.70660.040.46-0.430.09-28-1015.413.71.6513.214.8-1.59
Zeke Nnaji2019-0.010.51-0.530.13-511-1614.615.0-0.3514.813.51.28
Justin Holiday1820-0.020.52-0.530.04-28-1014.215.0-0.8712.414.1-1.70
Reggie Jackson3230-0.080.58-0.660.13-713-2014.415.1-0.7413.613.8-0.27


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.58,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.47,0.4,0.38,0.46,0.38,0.28,0.23,0.22,0.2,0.17,0.12,0.1,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.11,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.19,0.12,0.3,0.34,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.47,0.65,0.73,0.81,0.79,0.85,0.96,1
GameSimilarity Score
NOP 114, PHX 1180.5,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.57,0.61,0.61,0.55,0.55,0.47,0.4,0.43,0.38,0.35,0.36,0.31,0.27,0.21,0.2,0.24,0.26,0.18,0.13,0.15,0.14,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.02,0.03,0.09,0.1,0.13,0.19,0.28,0.3,0.16,0.25,0.21,0.32,0.47,0.41,0.61,0.61,0.72,0.67,0.96,191.4%
SAS 111, OKC 1190.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.5,0.44,0.45,0.41,0.37,0.45,0.51,0.44,0.43,0.4,0.47,0.36,0.29,0.28,0.21,0.17,0.12,0.14,0.13,0.1,0.09,0.11,0.18,0.2,0.22,0.22,0.13,0.22,0.16,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.19,0.34,0.34,0.47,0.32,0.47,0.76,0.61,0.76,0.64,0.89,0.73,190.4%
DEN 117, PHX 1320.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.51,0.53,0.43,0.43,0.45,0.35,0.29,0.23,0.16,0.17,0.21,0.14,0.17,0.14,0.11,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.06,0.07,0.12,0.08,0.17,0.19,0.09,0.1,0.14,0.26,0.33,0.32,0.22,0.3,0.34,0.29,0.26,0.26,0.6,0.82,0.9,0.99,1,1,190.2%