NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	116		Excitement	6.0 [600]		MVP	Jalen Johnson (ATL): +20.6%
New York Knicks	100		Comeback	1.0 [576]		LVP	Donte DiVincenzo (NYK): -25.9%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jalen Johnson	0.21	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.18	0.05	0.02	17	76%	0.22	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
De'Andre Hunter	0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.16	0.06	0.02	14	69%	0.20	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Dejounte Murray	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.13,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07	0.06	0.04	0.04	17	55%	0.09	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Trent Forrest	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.02	0.01	2	83%	0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Garrison Mathews	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	0.00	0.01	1	60%	0.01	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Saddiq Bey	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.04	0.00	0.05	15	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.01
Clint Capela	-0.01	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.01	11	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.01
Bogdan Bogdanovic	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.08	0.03	-0.02	6	36%	0.02	3	-0.05	2	100%	0.00
Bruno Fernando	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.11,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.14	-0.05	-0.03	4	50%	0.04	7	-0.21	0	0%	0.00

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Precious Achiuwa	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.14	0.02	0.04	8	88%	0.12	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Josh Hart	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,0.04,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	-0.01	0.07	-0.04	12	54%	0.18	3	-0.09	2	50%	-0.02
Jericho Sims	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.02	0.01	2	100%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Hartenstein	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	6	36%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Bojan Bogdanovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	-0.00	18	49%	0.02	2	-0.03	3	100%	0.01
Alec Burks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	0.03	14	38%	-0.06	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.03
Miles McBride	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	15	37%	-0.04	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Donte DiVincenzo	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.21,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26	-0.26	-0.09	-0.09	0.08	24	42%	-0.11	4	-0.15	2	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.4	2.4	26.5	15.3	25.5	2.7	31.3	127.1
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +41.7%

ATL +6.5%

ATL +5.8%

NYK -4.8%

ATL +0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	NYK	NBA	ATL	NYK	NBA
this game	14.8	15.4	14.5	120.8	105.3	113.9
season	14.2	15.6		115.7	116.8
opponent	14.4	14.3		113.0	118.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	12.7	15.9	14.4	16.5	14.8
NYK	15.6	15.4	13.9	17.0	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bogdan Bogdanovic	63	62	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.07	19	-3	22	14.4	15.5	-1.13	15.4	15.4	-0.05
Jalen Johnson	77	75	0.55	-0.05	0.61	-0.12	23	-7	30	14.7	14.9	-0.22	15.6	14.7	0.81
Clint Capela	53	52	0.34	0.16	0.17	-0.05	13	3	10	13.8	15.9	-2.06	15.4	15.4	-0.01
Trent Forrest	21	21	0.32	0.18	0.15	-0.09	14	2	12	16.6	14.3	2.37	15.7	15.3	0.36
De'Andre Hunter	48	49	0.26	0.24	0.02	-0.12	13	3	10	15.7	13.9	1.79	15.3	15.4	-0.09
Saddiq Bey	73	72	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.11	3	13	-10	14.3	16.3	-2.02	15.2	16.0	-0.75
Dejounte Murray	75	74	0.18	0.32	-0.15	0.12	2	14	-12	14.3	16.6	-2.37	15.3	15.7	-0.36
Bruno Fernando	43	43	0.16	0.34	-0.17	0.08	3	13	-10	15.9	13.8	2.06	15.4	15.4	0.01
Garrison Mathews	27	27	-0.14	0.64	-0.79	0.15	-10	26	-36	15.5	14.5	1.04	15.5	15.3	0.18

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Precious Achiuwa	48	50	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.07	3	-19	22	15.2	15.6	-0.45	13.1	16.6	-3.49
Jericho Sims	49	50	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.24	0	-16	16	15.6	15.1	0.50	15.2	14.3	0.90
Donte DiVincenzo	78	79	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	0.10	-12	-4	-8	15.2	16.3	-1.10	14.3	16.9	-2.64
Isaiah Hartenstein	43	42	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	0.18	-15	-1	-14	15.3	15.5	-0.24	14.3	15.1	-0.82
Miles McBride	90	92	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.17	-7	-9	2	15.4	15.0	0.41	14.8	13.0	1.85
Alec Burks	22	21	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	0.00	-13	-3	-10	16.0	15.2	0.79	16.2	14.4	1.82
Bojan Bogdanovic	59	59	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.10	-10	-6	-4	15.6	15.1	0.45	15.9	12.9	3.01
Josh Hart	86	87	-0.63	0.13	-0.76	0.13	-26	10	-36	15.3	16.0	-0.67	14.9	13.3	1.59

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.45,0.39,0.4,0.39,0.37,0.27,0.26,0.29,0.26,0.18,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.09,0.13,0.19,0.2,0.2,0.24,0.18,0.15,0.22,0.19,0.11,0.15,0.28,0.31,0.4,0.48,0.3,0.26,0.25,0.24,0.15,0.22,0.15,0.1,0.09,0.01,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
POR 92, IND 82	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.42,0.4,0.39,0.4,0.41,0.36,0.29,0.31,0.31,0.34,0.34,0.24,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.12,0.1,0.16,0.17,0.16,0.14,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.27,0.29,0.26,0.22,0.28,0.37,0.32,0.32,0.38,0.22,0.2,0.14,0.12,0.26,0.2,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0	93.2%
TOR 116, CHA 101	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.48,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.38,0.37,0.33,0.31,0.29,0.23,0.25,0.17,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.06,0.07,0.1,0.11,0.09,0.11,0.12,0.16,0.28,0.27,0.17,0.21,0.11,0.23,0.16,0.3,0.33,0.29,0.3,0.22,0.22,0.14,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	93.1%
PHI 97, BOS 93	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.35,0.33,0.33,0.24,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.1,0.16,0.21,0.18,0.22,0.24,0.18,0.13,0.15,0.08,0.11,0.22,0.19,0.18,0.26,0.25,0.38,0.3,0.25,0.17,0.27,0.08,0.15,0.22,0.14,0.03,0.06,0.09,0	93.0%