NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	97		Excitement	6.3 [591]		MVP	Allen Iverson (PHI): +10.3%
Boston Celtics	93		Comeback	1.0 [641]		LVP	Paul Pierce (BOS): -13.1%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Allen Iverson	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.1	-0.03	0.07	-0.06	28	54%	0.17	4	-0.06	14	79%	0.01
Josh Davis	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.02	8	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Rogers	-0.01	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	11	43%	0.01	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01
John Salmons	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	3	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andre Iguodala	-0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	0.01	-0.01	9	45%	0.00	2	-0.04	4	50%	-0.03
Samuel Dalembert	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	0.02	17	49%	-0.00	2	-0.04	3	67%	0.00
Marc Jackson	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	-0.02	-0.04	8	30%	-0.05	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Aaron McKie	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Korver	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	10	35%	-0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kendrick Perkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	0.01	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Raef LaFrentz	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.01	-0.04	0.01	11	58%	0.03	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Tony Allen	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.09	-0.00	-0.04	5	20%	-0.03	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Banks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.02	-0.01	1	25%	-0.01	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.00
Mark Blount	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.02	0.01	7	43%	0.01	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Al Jefferson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	7	48%	-0.04	1	-0.04	7	86%	0.04
Gary Payton	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.10	-0.00	-0.01	6	38%	-0.01	4	-0.09	1	100%	0.01
Ricky Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.11	-0.11	-0.04	-0.08	-0.01	20	54%	0.03	4	-0.15	10	80%	0.01
Paul Pierce	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.14,-0.09,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13	-0.13	-0.10	-0.01	0.02	20	51%	-0.04	5	-0.10	11	55%	-0.07

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.0	2.6	33.2	17.7	29.5	3.6	35.3	149.9
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +10.1%

BOS -2.7%

PHI +5.4%

PHI +35.9%

PHI +1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	BOS	NBA	PHI	BOS	NBA
this game	14.8	14.0	15.5	97.0	93.0	104.0
season	13.9	14.4		101.1	104.7
opponent	16.0	15.8		104.1	101.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	13.0	16.5	13.7	16.2	14.8
BOS	15.2	12.3	14.0	14.4	14.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andre Iguodala	68	69	0.81	-0.31	1.12	0.17	22	-18	40	14.6	15.3	-0.66	14.6	12.5	2.06
Samuel Dalembert	81	81	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.41	2	2	0	14.1	17.8	-3.72	13.8	14.9	-1.14
Allen Iverson	93	93	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.24	7	-3	10	14.3	22.4	-8.17	14.0	13.9	0.12
Rodney Rogers	54	56	0.26	0.24	0.01	0.26	0	4	-4	14.8	14.9	-0.07	13.2	14.9	-1.72
Marc Jackson	31	31	0.20	0.29	-0.09	0.12	3	1	2	16.2	14.2	1.98	15.5	13.3	2.24
Kyle Korver	63	65	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.14	2	2	0	14.5	15.4	-0.91	14.7	12.6	2.06
Aaron McKie	56	53	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.27	-5	9	-14	15.5	13.9	1.60	13.0	15.0	-1.98
Josh Davis	34	32	0.07	0.43	-0.36	-0.02	3	1	2	15.3	14.6	0.75	14.3	13.8	0.55
John Salmons	20	20	-0.09	0.59	-0.67	0.32	-14	18	-32	17.3	14.2	3.09	11.8	14.5	-2.65

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marcus Banks	23	22	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.16	4	-8	12	14.6	13.8	0.77	17.8	14.0	3.83
Tony Allen	26	24	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.10	-1	-3	2	14.8	13.7	1.08	15.4	14.6	0.77
Al Jefferson	24	25	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	-0.03	-4	0	-4	15.2	13.6	1.68	17.5	13.9	3.53
Mark Blount	79	79	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.39	6	-10	16	13.6	15.4	-1.85	14.0	18.0	-3.95
Kendrick Perkins	24	23	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.04	-12	8	-20	15.0	13.6	1.41	17.3	14.1	3.21
Ricky Davis	85	86	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.41	2	-6	8	13.6	16.2	-2.62	15.2	12.6	2.54
Raef LaFrentz	72	72	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.35	-1	-3	2	13.6	14.9	-1.23	14.2	16.4	-2.12
Gary Payton	77	78	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.23	-8	4	-12	13.8	14.6	-0.77	14.0	17.8	-3.83
Paul Pierce	90	91	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	-0.29	-6	2	-8	14.1	12.8	1.30	14.2	21.4	-7.27

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.35,0.33,0.33,0.24,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.1,0.16,0.21,0.18,0.22,0.24,0.18,0.13,0.15,0.08,0.11,0.22,0.19,0.18,0.26,0.25,0.38,0.3,0.25,0.17,0.27,0.08,0.15,0.22,0.14,0.03,0.06,0.09,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 108, NYK 103	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.46,0.43,0.45,0.39,0.37,0.3,0.25,0.19,0.16,0.18,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.15,0.13,0.14,0.16,0.17,0.16,0.12,0.26,0.25,0.26,0.26,0.33,0.24,0.23,0.17,0.2,0.1,0.19,0.28,0.24,0.05,0	92.6%
PHI 97, CHI 85	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.43,0.36,0.35,0.33,0.26,0.25,0.23,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.17,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.1,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.12,0.06,0.07,0.12,0.11,0.15,0.11,0.08,0.11,0.18,0.3,0.26,0.15,0.29,0.32,0.14,0.12,0.13,0.07,0.06,0.02,0,0	92.5%
IND 99, GSW 89	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.39,0.4,0.35,0.3,0.31,0.27,0.26,0.19,0.17,0.14,0.11,0.13,0.1,0.12,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.08,0.07,0.12,0.16,0.14,0.2,0.11,0.19,0.18,0.17,0.16,0.18,0.08,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.13,0.12,0.18,0.15,0.13,0.1,0.05,0.11,0.09,0	92.3%