NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	99		Excitement	5.0 [839]		MVP	Fred Jones (IND): +13.2%
Golden State Warriors	89		Comeback	1.1 [597]		LVP	Jason Richardson (GSW): -7.3%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Fred Jones	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.02	0.05	-0.06	8	52%	0.15	1	-0.02	5	80%	0.00
Austin Croshere	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.05	0.04	-0.00	14	57%	0.12	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Stephen Jackson	0.09	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.09,0.09	0.00	0.08	-0.01	23	53%	0.17	4	-0.08	5	40%	-0.04
Jeff Foster	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.02	-0.01	1	100%	0.06	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
David Harrison	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.00	4	75%	0.04	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Sarunas Jasikevicius	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,0	0.05	-0.05	0.01	5	75%	0.03	2	-0.03	6	100%	0.03
Danny Granger	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,0	0.03	-0.01	0.03	8	65%	0.07	2	-0.07	4	100%	0.01
Eddie Gill	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Johnson	-0.04	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.07	0.00	-0.03	10	35%	-0.02	1	-0.02	6	50%	-0.03

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mike Dunleavy	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.07	0.07	0.09	0.02	0.04	12	73%	0.12	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.00
Andris Biedrins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	2	100%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Baron Davis	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.02	0.02	15	47%	0.01	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Monta Ellis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ike Diogu	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.03	-0.01	10	62%	0.08	4	-0.09	6	67%	-0.00
Calbert Cheaney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zarko Cabarkapa	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	0.01	1	100%	0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Troy Murphy	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	11	33%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Derek Fisher	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.15	0.04	-0.07	8	23%	-0.02	3	-0.02	6	83%	0.03
Jason Richardson	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,-0.01,0.02,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	14	47%	-0.03	2	-0.04	8	50%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.4	2.7	36.4	18.7	28.3	3.5	38.4	155.4
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +43.5%

IND +1.8%

IND +3.9%

GSW -3.5%

IND +4.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	GSW	NBA	IND	GSW	NBA
this game	16.2	13.9	15.6	101.0	95.7	104.4
season	16.0	14.8		102.3	102.9
opponent	15.5	15.5		104.0	100.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	15.4	15.2	17.2	17.4	16.2
GSW	14.6	13.0	13.4	14.5	13.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Stephen Jackson	84	76	0.54	-0.04	0.57	0.04	17	-7	24	16.4	15.0	1.44	14.0	13.4	0.62
Danny Granger	71	66	0.38	0.12	0.27	0.06	11	-1	12	16.3	16.1	0.12	14.2	13.1	1.00
Fred Jones	43	46	0.36	0.14	0.21	0.12	8	2	6	16.8	15.8	1.03	14.5	13.3	1.22
Jeff Foster	62	60	0.34	0.16	0.17	0.16	6	4	2	15.4	17.7	-2.35	13.5	14.6	-1.11
Austin Croshere	71	68	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.23	3	7	-4	17.0	14.2	2.83	14.1	13.2	0.90
Sarunas Jasikevicius	50	50	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.27	1	9	-8	16.9	15.5	1.36	13.3	14.5	-1.21
Anthony Johnson	76	69	0.23	0.27	-0.03	0.12	4	6	-2	15.2	19.9	-4.74	13.7	14.4	-0.75
David Harrison	29	27	0.08	0.42	-0.34	-0.04	4	6	-2	17.0	15.9	1.14	14.3	13.7	0.61
Eddie Gill	4	3	-0.05	0.55	-0.59	0.07	-4	14	-18	10.7	16.5	-5.72	7.3	14.1	-6.74

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Monta Ellis	11	12	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	-0.04	0	-10	10	13.3	13.9	-0.67	12.7	16.7	-4.07
Zarko Cabarkapa	13	13	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.00	-5	-5	0	13.8	13.9	-0.02	14.4	16.5	-2.13
Calbert Cheaney	9	9	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	0.14	-11	1	-12	15.0	13.7	1.26	15.4	16.3	-0.87
Troy Murphy	51	54	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	-0.06	-5	-5	0	13.7	14.0	-0.34	16.4	16.0	0.47
Ike Diogu	74	79	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.25	1	-11	12	13.5	15.3	-1.83	16.1	16.9	-0.88
Andris Biedrins	19	19	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	0.05	-11	1	-12	15.3	13.5	1.83	16.9	16.1	0.88
Jason Richardson	61	66	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.26	-1	-9	8	14.0	13.6	0.41	16.9	14.8	2.11
Baron Davis	75	80	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.25	-3	-7	4	14.0	13.1	0.93	16.6	14.7	1.85
Derek Fisher	66	68	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.23	-5	-5	0	13.6	14.6	-0.98	15.9	16.9	-0.96
Mike Dunleavy	86	90	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.14	-10	0	-10	13.9	13.7	0.16	16.3	15.0	1.34

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.39,0.4,0.35,0.3,0.31,0.27,0.26,0.19,0.17,0.14,0.11,0.13,0.1,0.12,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.08,0.07,0.12,0.16,0.14,0.2,0.11,0.19,0.18,0.17,0.16,0.18,0.08,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.13,0.12,0.18,0.15,0.13,0.1,0.05,0.11,0.09,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 103, UTA 101	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.44,0.42,0.38,0.35,0.29,0.25,0.23,0.24,0.23,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.17,0.18,0.15,0.16,0.2,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.13,0.14,0.13,0.12,0.11,0.15,0.22,0.18,0.1,0.05,0.07,0.14,0.15,0.21,0.16,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.06,0.01,0	94.8%
NJN 101, DEN 92	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.46,0.48,0.42,0.38,0.31,0.35,0.36,0.31,0.29,0.22,0.19,0.13,0.1,0.14,0.17,0.1,0.12,0.13,0.12,0.09,0.14,0.12,0.11,0.1,0.22,0.15,0.16,0.18,0.19,0.19,0.08,0.11,0.1,0.22,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.14,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.14,0.07,0.04,0,0	94.7%
MIN 116, MEM 110	0.5,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.38,0.39,0.34,0.38,0.32,0.29,0.25,0.22,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.1,0.09,0.07,0.1,0.14,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.12,0.11,0.07,0.1,0.15,0.14,0.13,0.15,0.13,0.15,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.09,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0	94.3%