NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	103		Excitement	6.1 [603]		MVP	Joe Ingles (UTA): +36.9%
Utah Jazz	101		Comeback	1.0 [652]		LVP	Rodney Hood (UTA): -14.1%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rudy Gay	0.36	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0.36	0.07	0.33	0.04	17	60%	0.41	2	-0.04	6	83%	0.02
DeMarcus Cousins	0.15	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15	0.06	0.05	-0.03	21	57%	0.22	4	-0.08	21	67%	-0.03
Omri Casspi	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.01	0.00	6	77%	0.09	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Willie Cauley-Stein	0.07	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.05	0.02	-0.00	6	64%	0.07	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Marco Belinelli	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	6	61%	0.06	3	-0.06	6	83%	0.01
Ben McLemore	0.00	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	67%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Darren Collison	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.06	0.01	-0.03	5	25%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.02
Kosta Koufos	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Rajon Rondo	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1	-0.11	-0.00	-0.02	9	30%	-0.05	3	-0.05	2	100%	0.01

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Joe Ingles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.37	0.37	0.03	0.32	-0.02	6	62%	0.39	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Trey Lyles	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05	0.05	0.09	-0.01	0.03	13	63%	0.07	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.04
Trevor Booker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	3	67%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Withey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	1	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Tibor Pleiss	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Raul Neto	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	0.01	9	59%	0.04	3	-0.06	4	25%	-0.03
Chris Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rudy Gobert	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	3	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trey Burke	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	0.01	15	50%	0.03	2	-0.07	4	75%	-0.00
Gordon Hayward	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1	-0.10	-0.06	-0.02	0.02	17	42%	-0.05	2	-0.05	16	81%	0.00
Rodney Hood	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.14	-0.14	-0.04	-0.06	0.04	14	48%	-0.04	4	-0.10	3	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.6	2.6	36.2	15.4	25.6	1.8	37.6	144.8
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +32.1%

SAC +6.7%

SAC +14.1%

SAC +0.3%

UTA -3.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	UTA	NBA	SAC	UTA	NBA
this game	13.2	16.4	14.9	105.1	104.1	105.1
season	13.9	16.3		104.8	104.6
opponent	15.0	14.6		102.8	107.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	11.2	12.1	13.5	16.1	13.2
UTA	21.0	14.1	15.3	15.9	16.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marco Belinelli	41	41	0.49	0.01	0.49	0.40	3	-1	4	12.6	13.6	-1.05	16.9	16.0	0.94
Rajon Rondo	72	72	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.34	5	-3	8	13.4	12.5	0.94	15.9	17.7	-1.83
Rudy Gay	81	79	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.36	4	-2	6	13.2	13.1	0.09	15.9	18.2	-2.29
DeMarcus Cousins	82	82	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.36	3	-1	4	13.0	14.4	-1.41	16.0	18.5	-2.57
Darren Collison	48	48	0.20	0.30	-0.11	0.28	-3	5	-8	13.5	12.9	0.64	15.5	17.2	-1.62
Omri Casspi	55	53	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.31	-5	7	-12	12.9	13.6	-0.65	16.4	16.3	0.12
Ben McLemore	36	37	0.14	0.36	-0.21	0.03	4	-2	6	12.0	13.9	-1.93	17.1	15.9	1.12
Kosta Koufos	29	28	0.06	0.44	-0.39	0.14	-3	5	-8	13.8	12.9	0.90	17.6	15.9	1.75
Willie Cauley-Stein	46	45	0.03	0.47	-0.44	-0.03	2	0	2	14.3	12.2	2.05	17.6	15.3	2.23

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Joe Ingles	37	37	0.33	-0.83	1.16	0.10	8	-10	18	14.6	17.5	-2.90	12.6	13.6	-0.96
Trey Burke	61	63	0.16	-0.66	0.82	-0.14	10	-12	22	16.3	16.5	-0.22	13.8	12.0	1.81
Tibor Pleiss	2	2	0.00	-0.50	0.51	0.00	0	-2	2	2.5	16.7	-14.15	11.5	13.2	-1.73
Jeff Withey	6	8	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.00	-3	1	-4	14.2	16.5	-2.34	13.0	13.2	-0.21
Trevor Booker	35	34	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.05	-4	2	-6	17.8	15.5	2.30	11.9	13.9	-1.96
Raul Neto	43	44	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	0.04	-10	8	-18	16.1	16.6	-0.48	11.7	14.4	-2.74
Rudy Gobert	59	59	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.37	1	-3	4	16.8	15.7	1.16	13.5	12.8	0.71
Rodney Hood	56	57	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.31	-4	2	-6	17.8	14.3	3.50	14.2	11.9	2.30
Gordon Hayward	78	78	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	-0.39	-3	1	-4	15.6	19.7	-4.13	13.0	13.8	-0.76
Chris Johnson	28	28	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	-0.41	-3	1	-4	18.5	15.5	3.06	13.5	13.1	0.38
Trey Lyles	80	80	-0.75	0.25	-1.00	-0.69	-2	0	-2	15.9	18.4	-2.49	13.6	11.6	2.01

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.44,0.42,0.38,0.35,0.29,0.25,0.23,0.24,0.23,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.17,0.18,0.15,0.16,0.2,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.13,0.14,0.13,0.12,0.11,0.15,0.22,0.18,0.1,0.05,0.07,0.14,0.15,0.21,0.16,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.06,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
VAN 106, SAS 101	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.38,0.37,0.35,0.38,0.33,0.33,0.31,0.27,0.23,0.24,0.18,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.16,0.17,0.16,0.18,0.12,0.16,0.17,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.11,0.15,0.19,0.13,0.16,0.25,0.1,0.05,0.12,0.11,0.12,0.17,0.35,0.14,0.09,0.07,0.05,0,0	95.2%
BOS 103, BKN 94	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.52,0.51,0.47,0.41,0.34,0.33,0.35,0.32,0.29,0.22,0.24,0.24,0.2,0.17,0.12,0.14,0.21,0.18,0.15,0.17,0.12,0.14,0.19,0.2,0.17,0.13,0.12,0.16,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.13,0.1,0.15,0.1,0.14,0.1,0.13,0.06,0.09,0.03,0.1,0.02,0,0	94.9%
CHI 95, CLE 85	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.41,0.44,0.4,0.34,0.31,0.3,0.27,0.24,0.2,0.19,0.2,0.16,0.21,0.22,0.23,0.19,0.14,0.18,0.14,0.12,0.22,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.12,0.14,0.1,0.16,0.15,0.26,0.18,0.15,0.13,0.1,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	94.8%