NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Vancouver Grizzlies	106		Excitement	5.1 [774]		MVP	Greg Anthony (VAN): +9.7%
San Antonio Spurs	101		Comeback	1.0 [364]		LVP	Vinny Del Negro (SAS): -14.9%

Vancouver Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Greg Anthony	0.10	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.1	0.09	0.01	0.01	9	89%	0.18	4	-0.09	9	89%	0.02
Blue Edwards	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05	-0.03	0.07	-0.02	12	46%	0.09	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Pete Chilcutt	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.06	0.01	0.02	3	100%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bryant Reeves	0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.02	0.06	-0.02	0.02	14	74%	0.13	4	-0.11	14	93%	0.03
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	0.01	0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.03	0.02	-0.03	17	49%	0.06	2	-0.04	5	80%	0.00
Aaron Williams	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Roy Rogers	-0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	7	44%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Lawrence Moten	-0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	8	37%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lee Mayberry	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	3	33%	0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Cory Alexander	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03	0.03	0.09	0.01	0.08	7	79%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Will Perdue	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.08	-0.00	0.05	7	86%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Greg Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	3	71%	0.03	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Vernon Maxwell	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.04	16	51%	-0.01	0	0.00	5	100%	0.02
Monty Williams	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	10	54%	0.02	3	-0.07	8	62%	-0.01
Dominique Wilkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.02	0.02	5	62%	0.01	3	-0.08	3	67%	-0.00
Avery Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.09	-0.01	-0.00	3	30%	-0.05	2	-0.05	4	75%	0.00
Carl Herrera	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.11	-0.03	-0.01	13	45%	-0.04	4	-0.10	5	40%	-0.04
Vinny Del Negro	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.05	-0.10	-0.00	13	50%	-0.02	3	-0.13	2	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.1	1.8	26.1	15.7	27.0	1.8	36.1	132.6
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

VAN +39.5%

VAN +4.5%

SAS -4.7%

VAN +11.4%

SAS -0.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	VAN	SAS	NBA	VAN	SAS	NBA
this game	15.9	16.6	15.6	120.5	113.5	104.4
season	16.3	16.8		97.9	100.8
opponent	15.4	15.5		109.4	109.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
VAN	16.0	15.4	17.0	15.4	15.9
SAS	18.3	16.6	15.1	16.6	16.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Vancouver Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lee Mayberry	44	44	0.58	-0.08	0.67	0.14	15	-10	25	14.1	17.8	-3.73	17.0	16.2	0.73
Bryant Reeves	75	76	0.57	-0.07	0.63	0.21	12	-7	19	14.8	22.3	-7.48	17.0	14.3	2.69
Greg Anthony	84	85	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.39	1	4	-3	16.0	14.2	1.76	16.7	14.0	2.73
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	56	57	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.01	14	-9	23	16.2	15.5	0.68	16.7	16.4	0.36
Roy Rogers	56	55	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.22	3	2	1	17.8	12.7	5.10	17.5	15.2	2.31
Blue Edwards	54	55	0.23	0.27	-0.03	0.41	-6	11	-17	15.2	17.1	-1.98	15.8	17.9	-2.16
Lawrence Moten	48	49	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	0.17	-6	11	-17	17.5	14.0	3.45	16.1	17.3	-1.21
Aaron Williams	2	3	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	0.02	-1	6	-7	9.0	16.1	-7.09	7.3	16.9	-9.60
Pete Chilcutt	21	21	-0.02	0.52	-0.55	0.18	-7	12	-19	16.9	15.6	1.28	16.0	16.8	-0.79

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dominique Wilkins	36	35	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	-0.20	4	-9	13	16.4	16.8	-0.37	17.3	15.1	2.20
Cory Alexander	28	29	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	-0.26	5	-10	15	18.2	15.9	2.29	14.4	16.7	-2.21
Monty Williams	58	58	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.25	2	-7	9	17.5	14.9	2.56	16.8	14.3	2.43
Greg Anderson	34	33	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.03	-8	3	-11	16.2	16.9	-0.70	16.2	15.8	0.45
Will Perdue	46	44	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.11	-7	2	-9	17.6	15.5	2.12	15.7	16.1	-0.36
Vernon Maxwell	64	63	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.22	-4	-1	-3	15.7	18.9	-3.22	15.1	18.0	-2.89
Vinny Del Negro	61	60	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.38	0	-5	5	16.2	17.4	-1.15	14.7	18.5	-3.71
Avery Johnson	61	59	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.09	-10	5	-15	15.9	18.2	-2.29	16.7	14.4	2.21
Carl Herrera	57	59	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.22	-7	2	-9	16.7	16.5	0.17	16.4	15.0	1.39

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.38,0.37,0.35,0.38,0.33,0.33,0.31,0.27,0.23,0.24,0.18,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.16,0.17,0.16,0.18,0.12,0.16,0.17,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.11,0.15,0.19,0.13,0.16,0.25,0.1,0.05,0.12,0.11,0.12,0.17,0.35,0.14,0.09,0.07,0.05,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 103, UTA 101	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.44,0.42,0.38,0.35,0.29,0.25,0.23,0.24,0.23,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.17,0.18,0.15,0.16,0.2,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.13,0.14,0.13,0.12,0.11,0.15,0.22,0.18,0.1,0.05,0.07,0.14,0.15,0.21,0.16,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.06,0.01,0	95.2%
SAS 99, PHI 85	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.4,0.35,0.41,0.37,0.34,0.24,0.27,0.22,0.2,0.15,0.13,0.16,0.12,0.1,0.14,0.12,0.14,0.11,0.07,0.05,0.09,0.12,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.09,0.12,0.06,0.05,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.19,0.13,0.03,0,0,0,0	94.3%
IND 99, GSW 89	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.39,0.4,0.35,0.3,0.31,0.27,0.26,0.19,0.17,0.14,0.11,0.13,0.1,0.12,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.08,0.07,0.12,0.16,0.14,0.2,0.11,0.19,0.18,0.17,0.16,0.18,0.08,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.13,0.12,0.18,0.15,0.13,0.1,0.05,0.11,0.09,0	94.2%