inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
San Antonio Spurs 99 Excitement4.0 [1019] MVPBrent Barry (SAS): +20.3%
Philadelphia 76ers 85 Comeback1.0 [1250] LVPSamuel Dalembert (PHI): -11.0%


San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Brent Barry0.200,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.20.240.000.041192%0.2000.00367%-0.00
Michael Finley0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.030.020.00567%0.071-0.022100%0.00
Tony Parker0.040,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04-0.010.02-0.02850%0.061-0.0100%0.00
Robert Horry0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.06-0.010.021060%0.0300.0000%0.00
Bruce Bowen0.020,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.03-0.01-0.00462%0.0200.0000%0.00
Beno Udrih0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.030.000.02560%0.0100.0000%0.00
Fabricio Oberto0.000,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.010.00-0.01542%0.0000.00250%-0.00
Eric Williams0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jacque Vaughn0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.020.000.021100%0.0000.0000%0.00
Manu Ginobili-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.030.00-0.021243%0.011-0.01475%-0.00
Francisco Elson-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.00-0.01217%-0.0300.00250%-0.01
Tim Duncan-0.070,0,0,0.03,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.120.00-0.041940%-0.014-0.05475%-0.01

Philadelphia 76ers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kyle Korver0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.060.000.021059%0.0500.002100%0.01
Andre Iguodala0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.04-0.010.021461%0.083-0.07580%0.00
Bobby Jones00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Lou Williams0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Rodney Carney0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.000.000.00050%-0.0000.00250%-0.01
Kevin Ollie0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.000.000.011100%0.011-0.0200%0.00
Joe Smith0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.03-0.010.001140%-0.041-0.01367%-0.00
Willie Green0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.03-0.000.021338%-0.0500.0000%0.00
Andre Miller0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.09-0.01-0.03841%0.004-0.061100%0.00
Steven Hunter0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.04-0.030.001436%-0.0700.0000%0.00
Samuel Dalembert0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.11-0.09-0.02-0.001632%-0.1100.00667%-0.02
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game22.31.831.215.724.01.830.6127.4
league avg28.72.429.915.926.52.434.0141.5
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
SAS +52.5%
PHI -3.0%
PHI -3.8%
SAS +2.3%
SAS +2.0%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsSASPHINBASASPHINBA
this game17.415.115.4111.296.6104.5
season16.215.5107.5101.7
opponent15.715.4105.298.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
SAS16.917.418.017.317.4
PHI16.614.714.714.615.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Tim Duncan67680.450.050.400.0115-11617.317.7-0.3815.513.81.66
Bruce Bowen56570.380.120.250.05113817.117.8-0.6815.813.91.95
Tony Parker62620.360.140.220.04113817.616.90.7815.614.01.61
Robert Horry42430.300.200.110.01104617.417.4-0.0714.216.0-1.77
Manu Ginobili46430.250.250.000.0768-217.417.4-0.0515.714.61.14
Brent Barry40400.210.29-0.070.0468-218.116.81.2814.415.7-1.26
Fabricio Oberto42400.200.30-0.100.11311-818.016.91.1516.214.22.00
Michael Finley36360.160.34-0.180.0159-417.017.6-0.6114.115.8-1.74
Beno Udrih27260.140.36-0.220.05311-816.917.6-0.7814.015.6-1.61
Francisco Elson19190.040.46-0.410.04014-1416.717.6-0.8314.815.2-0.38
Eric Williams430.000.50-0.500.00014-1416.717.4-0.6711.015.3-4.28
Jacque Vaughn430.000.50-0.500.00014-1416.717.4-0.6711.015.3-4.28

Philadelphia 76ers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Bobby Jones110.00-0.500.500.06-2-12108.015.2-7.227.017.5-10.51
Lou Williams110.00-0.500.500.06-2-12108.015.2-7.227.017.5-10.51
Kevin Ollie87-0.07-0.430.360.02-3-11817.514.92.6015.317.6-2.29
Rodney Carney76-0.08-0.420.350.07-5-9416.315.01.2513.517.7-4.17
Joe Smith4444-0.25-0.250.01-0.07-6-8214.016.2-2.2317.017.8-0.82
Willie Green6363-0.27-0.23-0.04-0.18-3-11815.215.00.2517.217.9-0.69
Steven Hunter5557-0.28-0.22-0.05-0.07-7-7015.514.51.0917.816.61.25
Kyle Korver5858-0.31-0.19-0.12-0.04-9-5-414.316.7-2.3717.517.20.36
Samuel Dalembert6364-0.34-0.16-0.17-0.13-7-7015.713.72.0317.517.10.38
Andre Iguodala7172-0.43-0.07-0.36-0.11-11-3-815.513.81.7017.815.62.16
Andre Miller6972-0.49-0.01-0.48-0.05-151-1615.115.3-0.2317.716.21.50


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.4,0.35,0.41,0.37,0.34,0.24,0.27,0.22,0.2,0.15,0.13,0.16,0.12,0.1,0.14,0.12,0.14,0.11,0.07,0.05,0.09,0.12,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.09,0.12,0.06,0.05,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.19,0.13,0.03,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
LAC 109, POR 980.5,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.41,0.37,0.36,0.34,0.31,0.26,0.27,0.24,0.25,0.26,0.26,0.23,0.17,0.18,0.2,0.15,0.12,0.13,0.06,0.07,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.14,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.07,0.11,0.09,0.08,0.15,0.13,0.03,0.06,0.01,0,095.7%
DAL 93, OKC 870.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.41,0.4,0.35,0.34,0.32,0.27,0.27,0.22,0.22,0.15,0.09,0.12,0.11,0.09,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.06,0.07,0.1,0.07,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.03,0.01,095.7%
SAC 105, LAC 1000.5,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.46,0.48,0.45,0.35,0.39,0.33,0.31,0.32,0.25,0.28,0.24,0.22,0.18,0.12,0.09,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.09,0.06,0.09,0.1,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,095.7%