NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	105		Excitement	3.2 [1156]		MVP	Mike Bibby (SAC): +10.2%
Los Angeles Clippers	100		Comeback	1.1 [264]		LVP	Corey Maggette (LAC): -14.8%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mike Bibby	0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.11	0.02	0.03	9	83%	0.11	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Francisco Garcia	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.04	0.01	-0.03	12	67%	0.13	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Brad Miller	0.07	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.09	0.00	0.02	7	75%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
John Salmons	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04	-0.00	0.01	-0.02	8	54%	0.08	2	-0.04	8	87%	0.02
Quincy Douby	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	0.00	0.01	2	75%	0.02	1	-0.00	4	75%	0.00
Metta World Peace	0.01	0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	15	44%	0.01	1	-0.00	4	100%	0.01
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	6	57%	0.01	1	-0.00	2	100%	-0.00
Kevin Martin	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	13	46%	-0.00	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
Justin Williams	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	7	41%	0.01	1	-0.02	3	33%	-0.02

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Quinton Ross	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06	0.06	0.09	0.01	0.04	6	70%	0.06	0	0.00	8	87%	0.02
Elton Brand	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.16	-0.01	0.13	14	72%	0.07	2	-0.05	12	92%	0.01
James Singleton	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cuttino Mobley	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.02	9	50%	0.00	1	-0.01	4	100%	0.02
Tim Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.02	13	48%	0.01	1	-0.03	1	0%	-0.00
Chris Kaman	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	8	37%	-0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Jason Hart	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.01	5	60%	0.01	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Sam Cassell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.10	0.00	-0.02	4	0%	-0.05	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Corey Maggette	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.10	-0.01	0.03	17	49%	-0.05	7	-0.10	9	78%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.1	1.5	29.6	16.6	25.3	2.4	41.4	143.9
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +40.4%

LAC -2.2%

LAC -1.8%

SAC +14.7%

LAC -1.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	LAC	NBA	SAC	LAC	NBA
this game	15.8	14.8	15.4	110.5	107.5	104.5
season	14.7	15.7		104.7	103.3
opponent	15.4	15.1		103.6	106.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	14.2	15.7	16.3	16.9	15.8
LAC	15.8	15.6	13.7	14.4	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Metta World Peace	80	80	0.47	0.03	0.43	0.23	8	-3	11	15.9	15.4	0.46	14.9	14.2	0.71
Kevin Martin	55	54	0.31	0.19	0.12	-0.01	11	-6	17	15.3	16.4	-1.10	14.9	14.7	0.16
Mike Bibby	44	43	0.31	0.19	0.11	-0.16	16	-11	27	14.7	16.7	-2.02	15.2	14.5	0.73
Brad Miller	46	46	0.28	0.22	0.06	-0.04	11	-6	17	15.8	15.7	0.11	15.2	14.5	0.71
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	39	39	0.26	0.24	0.03	-0.03	10	-5	15	15.7	15.9	-0.16	14.8	14.9	-0.08
Justin Williams	50	48	0.24	0.26	-0.03	0.33	-3	8	-11	15.8	15.8	-0.06	15.2	14.5	0.68
John Salmons	61	58	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.54	-11	16	-27	16.2	15.1	1.14	14.4	15.6	-1.17
Francisco Garcia	49	47	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.40	-6	11	-17	15.7	15.8	-0.11	14.5	15.2	-0.71
Quincy Douby	51	50	0.19	0.31	-0.11	0.52	-11	16	-27	16.7	14.7	2.02	14.5	15.2	-0.73

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
James Singleton	1	1	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-5	5	0.0	15.0	-15.00	4.0	15.9	-11.91
Quinton Ross	36	38	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.22	2	-7	9	14.9	14.8	0.08	15.0	16.3	-1.27
Sam Cassell	35	36	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.30	2	-7	9	15.2	14.6	0.63	17.2	14.9	2.35
Tim Thomas	55	55	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.40	5	-10	15	14.7	15.0	-0.32	16.2	15.2	0.93
Jason Hart	57	58	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.06	-7	2	-9	14.9	14.8	0.05	15.1	16.9	-1.81
Cuttino Mobley	75	76	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.28	-2	-3	1	14.5	16.2	-1.65	16.2	14.1	2.11
Chris Kaman	44	42	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	0.27	-22	17	-39	15.3	14.4	0.91	14.6	16.7	-2.10
Elton Brand	90	93	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.43	0	-5	5	15.0	11.0	3.97	16.0	5.0	11.02
Corey Maggette	72	76	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	-0.35	-3	-2	-1	14.8	15.0	-0.21	15.8	15.6	0.20

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.46,0.48,0.45,0.35,0.39,0.33,0.31,0.32,0.25,0.28,0.24,0.22,0.18,0.12,0.09,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.09,0.06,0.09,0.1,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 128, BOS 119	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.44,0.45,0.4,0.34,0.29,0.28,0.27,0.25,0.32,0.22,0.18,0.15,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.08,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0	96.9%
SAC 111, PHX 99	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.41,0.37,0.39,0.3,0.29,0.3,0.29,0.31,0.32,0.26,0.3,0.21,0.14,0.12,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.12,0.06,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.09,0.13,0.1,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0	96.4%
HOU 114, DEN 109	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.46,0.43,0.39,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.39,0.37,0.33,0.27,0.25,0.24,0.2,0.16,0.12,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.08,0.05,0.09,0.05,0.03,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.03,0.06,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.3%