NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	114		Excitement	2.9 [740]		MVP	Hakeem Olajuwon (HOU): +7.1%
Denver Nuggets	109		Comeback	1.0 [605]		LVP	Antonio McDyess (DEN): -8.2%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Hakeem Olajuwon	0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07	0.12	0.00	0.05	16	67%	0.07	0	0.00	7	86%	0.00
Othella Harrington	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.06	0.01	0.02	17	62%	0.07	2	-0.02	3	100%	0.00
Cuttino Mobley	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.01	0.02	-0.02	7	56%	0.05	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.03
Michael Dickerson	0.04	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.00	-0.01	8	64%	0.06	1	-0.02	6	67%	0.00
Sam Mack	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	0.00	0.01	3	73%	0.02	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.00
Scottie Pippen	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	12	43%	0.01	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Brent Price	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.00	-0.05	6	42%	0.01	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Bryce Drew	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Miller	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Charles Barkley	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05	-0.09	0.00	-0.05	17	39%	-0.02	2	-0.02	4	75%	0.00

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nick Van Exel	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.09	0.00	0.03	10	68%	0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Cory Alexander	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.11	0.00	0.11	9	90%	0.04	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Chauncey Billups	0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.11	0.00	0.12	16	69%	0.02	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Danny Fortson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	4	67%	0.00	1	-0.01	4	100%	0.01
Carl Herrera	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Johnny Taylor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.09	0.00	0.10	12	67%	-0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Eric Williams	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Keon Clark	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	3	50%	-0.00	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Bryant Stith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	6	56%	-0.02	2	-0.01	4	75%	0.00
Antonio McDyess	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.12	-0.00	-0.04	18	40%	-0.04	2	-0.04	7	43%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.5	2.3	25.0	15.8	24.3	2.7	41.2	133.8
league avg	26.9	3.0	42.0	16.0	26.3	2.2	45.7	163.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +17.4%

HOU +11.0%

HOU +16.7%

HOU +5.1%

DEN -0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	DEN	NBA	HOU	DEN	NBA
this game	16.9	14.4	15.8	123.9	118.5	99.6
season	16.0	15.5		103.1	100.7
opponent	15.6	15.6		107.6	100.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	17.4	15.1	17.4	17.7	16.9
DEN	18.6	16.9	13.9	9.7	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Scottie Pippen	73	74	0.35	0.15	0.21	0.35	0	5	-5	17.6	14.1	3.59	14.0	16.2	-2.19
Michael Dickerson	63	63	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.27	2	3	-1	17.9	14.7	3.18	14.3	14.7	-0.37
Charles Barkley	63	63	0.32	0.18	0.15	0.24	3	2	1	17.4	15.9	1.47	13.8	15.8	-1.98
Cuttino Mobley	45	44	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.01	9	-4	13	17.8	16.0	1.84	15.3	13.6	1.67
Othella Harrington	41	42	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.05	7	-2	9	16.0	17.7	-1.72	15.8	13.2	2.59
Anthony Miller	26	24	0.24	0.26	-0.03	-0.03	9	-4	13	14.7	17.8	-3.08	17.0	13.5	3.57
Brent Price	47	48	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.35	-4	9	-13	16.0	17.8	-1.84	13.6	15.3	-1.67
Hakeem Olajuwon	54	55	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.45	-9	14	-23	18.1	15.1	3.02	12.9	16.6	-3.76
Sam Mack	29	29	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.08	3	2	1	14.7	17.9	-3.18	14.7	14.3	0.37
Bryce Drew	19	18	0.15	0.35	-0.21	-0.00	5	0	5	14.1	17.6	-3.59	16.2	14.0	2.19

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Carl Herrera	3	3	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	0.08	-4	-1	-3	24.7	14.1	10.61	9.3	17.2	-7.82
Eric Williams	7	7	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	0.06	-6	1	-7	19.4	14.0	5.44	28.0	16.0	12.01
Johnny Taylor	61	61	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.46	10	-15	25	13.1	16.9	-3.77	15.2	20.2	-5.01
Keon Clark	36	35	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.27	3	-8	11	14.9	14.1	0.85	16.7	17.0	-0.26
Bryant Stith	53	53	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.50	9	-14	23	13.0	16.4	-3.40	16.0	18.1	-2.04
Nick Van Exel	47	48	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.06	-7	2	-9	16.7	12.0	4.70	16.4	17.4	-1.02
Cory Alexander	46	45	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.21	-2	-3	1	13.3	15.5	-2.28	17.2	16.6	0.63
Danny Fortson	54	55	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	0.27	-22	17	-39	15.2	13.3	1.94	18.0	15.2	2.82
Antonio McDyess	80	80	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.49	3	-8	11	14.3	14.8	-0.50	16.8	17.7	-0.88
Chauncey Billups	73	73	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	-0.17	-9	4	-13	14.1	15.7	-1.62	17.7	14.0	3.66

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.45,0.46,0.43,0.39,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.39,0.37,0.33,0.27,0.25,0.24,0.2,0.16,0.12,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.08,0.05,0.09,0.05,0.03,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.03,0.06,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 113, GSW 97	0.5,0.51,0.43,0.48,0.48,0.41,0.4,0.39,0.38,0.31,0.35,0.33,0.29,0.3,0.28,0.22,0.18,0.17,0.1,0.06,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.09,0.05,0.09,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.08,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.3%
DAL 110, HOU 98	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.39,0.38,0.37,0.33,0.33,0.24,0.3,0.26,0.24,0.15,0.14,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	97.1%
ATL 112, DEN 88	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.4,0.41,0.39,0.35,0.33,0.37,0.38,0.33,0.24,0.26,0.24,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.0%