NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	112		Excitement	2.0 [1233]		MVP	Mookie Blaylock (ATL): +7.7%
Denver Nuggets	88		Comeback	1.0 [1226]		LVP	Tony Battie (DEN): -8.4%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mookie Blaylock	0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	-0.03	0.01	-0.09	13	46%	0.08	2	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alan Henderson	0.07	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.15	0.00	0.07	11	92%	0.10	2	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Christian Laettner	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.12	0.00	0.05	9	78%	0.06	0	0.00	5	100%	0.01
Steven Smith	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.06	0.00	0.01	9	69%	0.05	1	-0.00	8	87%	0.01
Chris Crawford	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	6	56%	0.00	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Brian Oliver	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	5	58%	0.00	1	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Anthony Miller	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.06	0.00	-0.06	2	17%	0.00	1	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Greg Anderson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	3	37%	0.00	1	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Tyrone Corbin	-0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	9	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.01
Drew Barry	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.06	0.00	-0.06	5	20%	-0.01	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dikembe Mutombo	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	5	58%	0.00	3	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Chucky Brown	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bryant Stith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	67%	0.03	1	-0.00	1	100%	0.00
Eric Washington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	-0.02	6	57%	0.02	1	0.00	2	100%	0.00
George Zidek	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.03	0.00	0.03	3	75%	0.00	0	0.00	6	83%	0.00
Priest Lauderdale	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	100%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Goldwire	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.05	0.00	-0.04	20	48%	0.01	3	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Dean Garrett	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.00	5	60%	-0.01	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
LaPhonso Ellis	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.09	0.00	-0.06	17	39%	-0.02	2	-0.01	4	100%	0.01
Joe Wolf	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kiwane Garris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	0.03	2	83%	-0.00	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Danny Fortson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	0.02	4	40%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Johnny Newman	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	0.00	-0.01	11	32%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tony Battie	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.11	0.00	-0.03	10	30%	-0.03	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.8	2.5	21.4	15.6	24.0	1.7	25.6	120.6
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +38.7%

ATL +0.8%

DEN -2.0%

ATL +11.8%

ATL +0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	DEN	NBA	ATL	DEN	NBA
this game	15.3	16.0	15.6	121.7	95.7	102.5
season	16.1	16.2		105.3	96.7
opponent	15.2	16.0		109.5	101.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	12.8	17.6	14.9	16.2	15.3
DEN	16.0	17.6	16.4	14.5	16.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tyrone Corbin	59	58	0.50	-0.00	0.51	-0.38	30	-6	36	15.2	15.4	-0.24	16.8	14.8	2.01
Mookie Blaylock	68	66	0.39	0.11	0.28	-0.17	19	5	14	16.0	13.2	2.85	17.0	13.5	3.48
Steven Smith	57	56	0.35	0.15	0.20	-0.21	19	5	14	15.1	15.6	-0.53	15.9	16.3	-0.40
Alan Henderson	52	52	0.30	0.20	0.10	-0.23	18	6	12	14.2	16.7	-2.48	16.2	15.8	0.46
Christian Laettner	36	35	0.29	0.21	0.08	-0.35	22	2	20	17.0	14.2	2.79	16.6	15.7	0.92
Drew Barry	36	36	0.25	0.25	0.00	-0.04	10	14	-4	14.2	15.9	-1.72	15.2	16.6	-1.33
Dikembe Mutombo	47	48	0.22	0.28	-0.06	-0.13	12	12	0	14.7	15.8	-1.12	16.9	15.1	1.76
Chucky Brown	15	13	0.18	0.32	-0.13	-0.05	8	16	-8	16.7	15.0	1.67	18.4	15.6	2.74
Brian Oliver	26	28	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.03	-1	25	-26	15.0	15.4	-0.38	15.1	16.5	-1.38
Chris Crawford	30	32	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.15	-5	29	-34	15.6	15.1	0.54	14.7	16.7	-2.06
Greg Anderson	21	22	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	24	-24	14.9	15.4	-0.48	14.8	16.4	-1.60
Anthony Miller	13	14	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.35	-12	36	-48	15.8	15.2	0.67	10.7	17.0	-6.27

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
George Zidek	18	17	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.12	4	-28	32	14.0	16.5	-2.53	13.6	15.6	-1.99
Priest Lauderdale	14	13	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.35	12	-36	48	10.7	17.0	-6.27	15.8	15.2	0.67
Kiwane Garris	31	30	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	-0.32	7	-31	38	12.9	17.6	-4.72	15.3	15.2	0.09
Danny Fortson	30	31	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	0.23	-14	-10	-4	18.1	15.0	3.07	15.9	15.0	0.95
Joe Wolf	11	13	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	0.08	-9	-15	6	18.8	15.7	3.16	16.8	15.0	1.74
Dean Garrett	46	46	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	0.19	-13	-11	-2	16.0	16.1	-0.07	14.8	15.7	-0.85
Bryant Stith	37	36	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	0.21	-15	-9	-6	17.7	14.9	2.75	16.4	14.5	1.93
Tony Battie	45	45	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	0.28	-19	-5	-14	16.4	15.7	0.76	14.5	16.0	-1.53
Eric Washington	46	47	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	0.10	-13	-11	-2	15.6	16.5	-0.89	15.7	14.8	0.92
Johnny Newman	47	48	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	0.25	-19	-5	-14	16.8	15.3	1.50	15.2	15.3	-0.09
LaPhonso Ellis	60	59	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	0.28	-22	-2	-20	16.1	16.0	0.10	14.7	16.3	-1.56
Anthony Goldwire	75	75	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	0.17	-19	-5	-14	16.3	14.7	1.63	15.3	14.9	0.41

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.4,0.41,0.39,0.35,0.33,0.37,0.38,0.33,0.24,0.26,0.24,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 113, MIL 90	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.44,0.32,0.34,0.36,0.37,0.33,0.29,0.27,0.23,0.18,0.2,0.18,0.16,0.11,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.8%
NYK 94, GSW 70	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.45,0.45,0.38,0.39,0.35,0.29,0.31,0.35,0.31,0.32,0.26,0.22,0.2,0.15,0.11,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.6%
SAC 124, NYK 86	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.46,0.41,0.38,0.35,0.36,0.35,0.35,0.31,0.27,0.2,0.19,0.22,0.16,0.11,0.12,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.5%