NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	124		Excitement	1.7 [1302]		MVP	Derrick Williams (SAC): +9.1%
New York Knicks	86		Comeback	1.0 [971]		LVP	Lance Thomas (NYK): -5.9%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Derrick Williams	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.08	0.00	-0.01	12	65%	0.09	1	-0.00	2	0%	-0.00
DeMarcus Cousins	0.07	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.10	0.00	0.03	10	71%	0.11	3	-0.04	11	100%	0.02
Ben McLemore	0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.15	0.00	0.09	12	65%	0.05	0	0.00	7	86%	-0.00
Nik Stauskas	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.08	0.00	0.03	8	68%	0.05	1	0.00	6	100%	0.02
Rudy Gay	0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.14	0.00	0.11	15	71%	0.05	2	-0.02	5	80%	0.00
Omri Casspi	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.05	0.00	0.05	10	64%	0.00	1	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Carl Landry	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	25%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Ryan Hollins	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	1	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andre Miller	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	1	0%	-0.01	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Thompson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.07	0.00	-0.06	6	33%	-0.01	2	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ray McCallum	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.06	0.00	-0.03	7	37%	-0.01	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.00

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Cole Aldrich	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.05	0.00	0.03	6	67%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lou Amundson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	4	50%	0.01	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	0.00	0.03	10	59%	0.01	1	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Travis Wear	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.03	0.00	0.03	3	62%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Shane Larkin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	0.00	0.02	9	59%	-0.01	2	-0.00	4	50%	0.01
Quincy Acy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.10	0.00	-0.09	5	17%	-0.01	2	0.00	2	100%	-0.00
Andrea Bargnani	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	4	30%	-0.02	1	0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Alexey Shved	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	0.00	11	48%	-0.01	3	-0.02	9	78%	0.01
Cleanthony Early	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.08	0.00	-0.04	6	29%	-0.02	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Tim Hardaway Jr.	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	0.00	7	44%	-0.03	2	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Langston Galloway	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	0.00	0.01	8	33%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Lance Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	0.00	-0.01	9	29%	-0.04	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	31.3	2.8	32.0	16.8	29.4	2.7	28.3	143.3
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +36.3%

SAC +11.6%

SAC +0.9%

NYK -0.9%

SAC +2.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	NYK	NBA	SAC	NYK	NBA
this game	12.8	15.3	15.1	119.2	85.1	104.2
season	14.9	16.1		103.7	98.5
opponent	15.0	14.8		108.3	107.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	12.4	12.2	13.2	13.3	12.8
NYK	17.0	17.0	12.4	15.0	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Derrick Williams	62	60	0.36	0.14	0.21	-0.14	17	21	-4	13.2	12.4	0.80	15.2	15.4	-0.16
Omri Casspi	42	41	0.33	0.17	0.16	-0.40	25	13	12	13.2	12.6	0.55	16.1	14.8	1.31
Jason Thompson	58	60	0.33	0.17	0.16	-0.73	36	2	34	12.9	12.7	0.21	15.8	14.5	1.28
DeMarcus Cousins	64	60	0.32	0.18	0.13	-0.24	19	19	0	12.6	13.3	-0.71	14.9	15.8	-0.85
Andre Miller	40	43	0.30	0.20	0.10	-0.28	20	18	2	13.8	12.2	1.65	15.6	15.1	0.45
Ben McLemore	51	50	0.27	0.23	0.03	-0.47	25	13	12	12.2	13.5	-1.30	15.5	15.1	0.44
Nik Stauskas	55	53	0.23	0.27	-0.04	-0.06	10	28	-18	13.6	12.0	1.58	14.8	15.9	-1.10
Ray McCallum	64	58	0.20	0.30	-0.10	-0.33	18	20	-2	12.2	13.8	-1.65	15.1	15.6	-0.45
Rudy Gay	60	58	0.18	0.32	-0.15	-0.29	16	22	-6	12.5	13.3	-0.83	15.0	15.7	-0.62
Carl Landry	12	11	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	36	-34	12.5	12.9	-0.38	15.0	15.3	-0.33
Ryan Hollins	12	11	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	36	-34	12.5	12.9	-0.38	15.0	15.3	-0.33

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Travis Wear	20	21	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.12	-4	-34	30	14.6	15.5	-0.81	12.0	13.1	-1.11
Shane Larkin	58	63	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	-0.02	-3	-35	32	14.1	17.0	-2.93	12.7	13.1	-0.47
Quincy Acy	40	39	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.37	-17	-21	4	15.6	15.1	0.46	13.1	12.7	0.38
Cole Aldrich	42	47	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.06	-7	-31	24	13.9	16.3	-2.38	12.9	12.8	0.10
Tim Hardaway Jr.	34	34	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.77	-34	-4	-30	16.2	14.8	1.41	12.0	13.3	-1.29
Andrea Bargnani	41	41	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.56	-27	-11	-16	15.4	15.2	0.24	11.9	13.5	-1.62
Jason Smith	44	46	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.32	3	-41	44	15.1	15.5	-0.41	14.2	11.8	2.36
Lance Thomas	45	47	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.15	-3	-35	32	14.6	15.9	-1.34	13.3	12.4	0.88
Alexey Shved	67	68	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.22	-1	-37	36	15.1	15.7	-0.62	14.0	10.6	3.40
Lou Amundson	26	26	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.50	-26	-12	-14	17.7	14.5	3.17	12.2	13.1	-0.91
Cleanthony Early	40	40	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	0.65	-31	-7	-24	16.1	14.8	1.33	11.6	13.6	-2.01
Langston Galloway	48	48	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	0.76	-40	2	-42	16.5	14.2	2.33	12.7	13.0	-0.32

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.46,0.41,0.38,0.35,0.36,0.35,0.35,0.31,0.27,0.2,0.19,0.22,0.16,0.11,0.12,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 94, GSW 70	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.45,0.45,0.38,0.39,0.35,0.29,0.31,0.35,0.31,0.32,0.26,0.22,0.2,0.15,0.11,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.9%
ORL 115, CHI 68	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.44,0.38,0.37,0.35,0.39,0.34,0.3,0.2,0.24,0.15,0.16,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.8%
BOS 117, MIA 87	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.41,0.4,0.39,0.41,0.39,0.35,0.31,0.22,0.19,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.1,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.8%