NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	115		Excitement	1.8 [781]		MVP	B.J. Armstrong (ORL): +4.5%
Chicago Bulls	68		Comeback	1.0 [671]		LVP	Randy Brown (CHI): -12.9%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
B.J. Armstrong	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.00	0.00	-0.04	6	75%	0.05	3	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dominique Wilkins	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.00	0.00	-0.04	13	61%	0.05	3	-0.01	5	40%	-0.01
Anfernee Hardaway	0.03	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.00	0.00	-0.03	15	63%	0.09	4	-0.06	8	87%	0.00
Darrell Armstrong	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.10	0.00	0.06	5	107%	0.05	2	-0.02	4	100%	-0.00
Derek Strong	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.07	0.00	0.06	4	90%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Dan Schayes	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Miles Simon	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ike Austin	-0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	7	47%	0.01	1	-0.01	3	67%	-0.00
Michael Doleac	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.03	0.00	0.04	8	58%	-0.01	0	0.00	3	100%	0.00
Horace Grant	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	0.00	0.03	5	57%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	100%	0.00
Matt Harpring	-0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.01	7	57%	-0.00	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kornel David	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	5	46%	0.00	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Bill Wennington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.03	0.00	0.02	8	56%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	-0.00
Rusty LaRue	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	3	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Corey Benjamin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	1	25%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Keith Booth	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.03	0.00	0.03	9	55%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Charles R. Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.05	0.00	-0.04	5	50%	0.02	3	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Cory Carr	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.11	0.00	-0.10	3	0%	-0.00	3	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dickey Simpkins	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	0.00	-0.03	4	56%	0.01	2	-0.04	8	12%	-0.03
Mark Bryant	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	9	35%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Toni Kukoc	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	0.04	12	50%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Brent Barry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.11	0.00	-0.05	9	11%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Randy Brown	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.22	-0.00	-0.09	9	22%	-0.05	7	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.1	2.3	27.1	14.8	28.1	2.3	22.6	119.4
league avg	26.9	3.0	42.0	16.0	26.3	2.2	45.7	163.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +33.3%

ORL +7.9%

ORL +2.8%

ORL +4.6%

ORL +1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	CHI	NBA	ORL	CHI	NBA
this game	14.7	17.2	15.8	126.4	75.6	99.6
season	16.1	16.7		98.0	90.6
opponent	15.4	15.6		101.1	95.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ORL	14.7	12.1	15.1	16.6	14.7
CHI	17.4	20.6	15.5	15.4	17.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Anfernee Hardaway	59	58	0.42	0.08	0.33	-0.58	34	13	21	14.0	15.9	-1.87	17.8	16.1	1.68
Horace Grant	54	54	0.36	0.14	0.21	-0.64	34	13	21	14.4	15.0	-0.53	17.4	16.9	0.53
Darrell Armstrong	52	52	0.29	0.21	0.08	-0.62	31	16	15	13.1	16.7	-3.65	18.1	15.9	2.22
Matt Harpring	54	56	0.29	0.21	0.08	-0.68	33	14	19	14.5	14.8	-0.30	18.0	15.9	2.13
B.J. Armstrong	44	44	0.29	0.21	0.08	-0.36	22	25	-3	16.0	13.4	2.64	16.3	18.0	-1.68
Ike Austin	43	44	0.29	0.21	0.07	-0.56	29	18	11	13.0	16.1	-3.10	19.1	15.4	3.70
Michael Doleac	39	38	0.21	0.29	-0.07	-0.23	15	32	-17	16.1	13.6	2.48	15.6	18.3	-2.68
Dominique Wilkins	45	42	0.21	0.29	-0.08	-0.26	16	31	-15	16.0	13.3	2.65	15.8	18.4	-2.52
Derek Strong	37	36	0.14	0.36	-0.21	-0.24	13	34	-21	15.0	14.4	0.53	16.9	17.4	-0.53
Dan Schayes	14	13	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.12	4	43	-39	15.4	14.5	0.91	14.9	17.6	-2.64
Miles Simon	14	13	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.12	4	43	-39	15.4	14.5	0.91	14.9	17.6	-2.64

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rusty LaRue	22	23	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.20	-7	-40	33	15.4	17.8	-2.40	16.6	14.0	2.61
Corey Benjamin	4	4	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.00	0	-47	47	15.7	17.2	-1.49	18.5	14.5	4.02
Cory Carr	20	19	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	0.14	-5	-42	37	13.9	18.1	-4.15	14.0	14.8	-0.83
Keith Booth	31	31	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	0.20	-7	-40	33	15.6	18.0	-2.39	15.3	14.3	0.91
Bill Wennington	30	30	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	0.09	-9	-38	29	16.4	17.5	-1.12	14.8	14.6	0.26
Dickey Simpkins	56	56	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	0.73	-33	-14	-19	17.8	16.2	1.61	13.7	16.2	-2.50
Charles R. Jones	37	36	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	0.14	-14	-33	19	16.0	18.0	-2.00	15.8	13.9	1.85
Kornel David	47	47	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	0.40	-23	-24	1	15.7	18.8	-3.09	14.9	14.4	0.57
Brent Barry	53	55	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	0.72	-34	-13	-21	18.3	15.6	2.73	14.3	15.2	-0.89
Toni Kukoc	51	52	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	0.56	-32	-15	-17	18.1	15.9	2.21	14.7	14.5	0.21
Mark Bryant	58	60	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	0.58	-34	-13	-21	18.6	14.6	4.06	14.8	14.5	0.32
Randy Brown	41	42	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	0.64	-37	-10	-27	18.8	15.8	3.03	13.2	15.9	-2.77

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.44,0.38,0.37,0.35,0.39,0.34,0.3,0.2,0.24,0.15,0.16,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 106, DEN 82	0.5,0.51,0.53,0.52,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.38,0.38,0.39,0.37,0.34,0.29,0.25,0.21,0.15,0.13,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.8%
SAC 124, NYK 86	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.46,0.41,0.38,0.35,0.36,0.35,0.35,0.31,0.27,0.2,0.19,0.22,0.16,0.11,0.12,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.8%
HOU 120, CLE 88	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.4,0.35,0.34,0.31,0.35,0.35,0.31,0.32,0.26,0.22,0.19,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.5%