NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	106		Excitement	1.8 [1306]		MVP	Carlos Boozer (UTA): +7.6%
Denver Nuggets	82		Comeback	1.2 [500]		LVP	Carmelo Anthony (DEN): -11.1%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Carlos Boozer	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.16	0.00	0.08	19	71%	0.08	1	-0.00	4	100%	0.01
Mehmet Okur	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.01	0.01	-0.03	6	67%	0.06	1	0.00	6	67%	0.01
Howard Eisley	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.00	-0.01	8	62%	0.04	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jarron Collins	0.02	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	3	67%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matt Harpring	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	5	67%	0.02	2	-0.01	2	50%	0.00
Raja Bell	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	8	53%	0.02	1	-0.01	3	67%	-0.00
Kris Humphries	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kirk Snyder	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	0%	0.00
Curtis Borchardt	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gordan Giricek	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	4	64%	0.00	2	-0.00	3	67%	0.00
Andrei Kirilenko	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.12	0.00	-0.11	13	40%	-0.02	1	-0.00	14	64%	-0.02
Keith McLeod	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.09	0.00	-0.06	8	33%	-0.01	2	-0.01	2	100%	0.01

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rodney White	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.06	-0.00	0.04	8	72%	0.02	1	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Kenyon Martin	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.04	14	44%	0.01	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.00
DerMarr Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.03	0.00	0.03	3	75%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Greg Buckner	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	2	67%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Bryon Russell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	3	58%	0.00	1	-0.02	6	50%	-0.00
Francisco Elson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0.02	3	67%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Earl Boykins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.01	0.00	0.05	12	57%	-0.02	1	-0.01	6	83%	-0.01
Marcus Camby	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.12	0.00	-0.08	6	25%	-0.02	2	-0.02	4	50%	-0.00
Andre Miller	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.11	0.00	-0.06	7	43%	-0.01	5	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Carmelo Anthony	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.26	0.00	-0.15	20	17%	-0.09	2	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	2.4	26.5	16.3	28.5	2.5	29.2	129.5
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +27.9%

UTA +6.7%

UTA +6.0%

UTA +9.3%

UTA +0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	DEN	NBA	UTA	DEN	NBA
this game	17.6	14.2	15.5	117.8	90.1	104.0
season	16.7	14.8		102.3	103.8
opponent	15.6	15.1		102.3	106.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	15.7	17.4	17.0	20.8	17.6
DEN	15.0	16.0	11.8	14.5	14.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Raja Bell	54	54	0.47	0.03	0.44	-0.50	33	-9	42	17.5	17.7	-0.16	15.5	12.4	3.14
Andrei Kirilenko	67	68	0.40	0.10	0.30	-0.45	29	-5	34	17.5	17.9	-0.42	15.4	10.9	4.45
Matt Harpring	51	51	0.33	0.17	0.16	-0.31	22	2	20	18.1	16.9	1.15	14.6	13.8	0.83
Howard Eisley	47	47	0.33	0.17	0.16	-0.20	18	6	12	18.4	16.7	1.64	14.9	13.5	1.44
Carlos Boozer	64	63	0.32	0.18	0.15	-0.35	23	1	22	17.7	17.5	0.19	14.3	14.0	0.30
Jarron Collins	33	34	0.27	0.23	0.03	-0.23	17	7	10	15.7	18.7	-3.00	14.8	13.9	0.88
Mehmet Okur	39	40	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.30	-4	28	-32	17.9	17.4	0.57	13.1	15.1	-2.04
Keith McLeod	43	44	0.17	0.33	-0.16	-0.01	6	18	-12	16.7	18.4	-1.64	13.5	14.9	-1.44
Gordan Giricek	28	28	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.00	1	23	-22	16.9	17.9	-1.03	13.2	14.7	-1.43
Kris Humphries	6	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.23	-8	32	-40	20.0	17.4	2.57	9.5	14.6	-5.08
Kirk Snyder	8	9	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.29	-10	34	-44	20.5	17.3	3.18	9.7	14.7	-5.08
Curtis Borchardt	10	11	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.21	-7	31	-38	19.0	17.4	1.57	10.1	14.8	-4.72

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
DerMarr Johnson	14	14	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.12	4	-28	32	11.6	14.7	-3.16	19.6	17.2	2.33
Bryon Russell	27	24	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	-0.44	14	-38	52	11.9	15.2	-3.35	18.7	17.2	1.45
Greg Buckner	30	29	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.06	-2	-22	20	15.6	13.6	1.98	17.7	17.5	0.18
Rodney White	44	42	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.10	-3	-21	18	12.3	16.1	-3.77	17.4	17.8	-0.41
Francisco Elson	43	43	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	0.19	-15	-9	-6	13.7	14.7	-1.08	18.7	16.6	2.15
Andre Miller	58	58	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	0.26	-20	-4	-16	15.1	12.8	2.33	17.2	18.4	-1.25
Marcus Camby	46	46	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	0.15	-17	-7	-10	14.6	13.9	0.70	16.1	19.2	-3.05
Kenyon Martin	66	67	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	0.42	-28	4	-32	15.5	10.9	4.64	17.6	17.6	0.05
Earl Boykins	72	72	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	0.26	-23	-1	-22	13.9	15.6	-1.76	17.8	16.9	0.89
Carmelo Anthony	55	55	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	0.45	-30	6	-36	15.1	12.9	2.24	17.3	18.0	-0.70

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.53,0.52,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.38,0.38,0.39,0.37,0.34,0.29,0.25,0.21,0.15,0.13,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 115, CHI 68	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.44,0.38,0.37,0.35,0.39,0.34,0.3,0.2,0.24,0.15,0.16,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.8%
HOU 120, BOS 94	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.43,0.41,0.37,0.35,0.29,0.25,0.18,0.2,0.17,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.7%
HOU 119, CHI 89	0.5,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.44,0.38,0.34,0.35,0.33,0.31,0.34,0.26,0.24,0.24,0.2,0.14,0.12,0.08,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.7%