NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	120		Excitement	2.0 [1237]		MVP	Clyde Drexler (HOU): +6.2%
Boston Celtics	94		Comeback	1.2 [545]		LVP	Antoine Walker (BOS): -8.9%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Clyde Drexler	0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.08	0.00	0.02	9	75%	0.06	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
Charles Barkley	0.05	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.12	0.00	0.07	9	90%	0.07	2	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Matt Bullard	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.00	0.01	6	67%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matt Maloney	0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.14	0.00	0.11	8	95%	0.04	1	-0.01	3	100%	0.00
Hakeem Olajuwon	0.02	0,0,0.02,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.07	16	50%	0.03	3	-0.01	2	50%	-0.00
Othella Harrington	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.09	0.00	-0.10	4	25%	0.01	1	0.00	4	25%	0.00
Kevin Willis	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.04	10	55%	0.02	3	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Elmer Bennett	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	3	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Randy Livingston	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.01	4	71%	-0.01	2	0.00	6	100%	0.00
Tracy Moore	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.00	7	56%	-0.00	2	-0.02	2	50%	0.00
Mario Elie	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.01	0.03	4	100%	0.02	4	-0.05	2	100%	0.00

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Frank Brickowski	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	1	100%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brett Szabo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	3	37%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Dee Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.04	0.00	0.04	10	55%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Todd Day	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	5	57%	-0.00	2	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Marty Conlon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	5	42%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Dino Radja	0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.05	-0.01	0.04	13	64%	0.03	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Rick Fox	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	11	41%	-0.02	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Minor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.02	0.00	0.04	8	50%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	0.00	-0.03	7	29%	-0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Dana Barros	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	0.00	0.02	13	47%	-0.04	2	-0.03	4	75%	-0.00
Antoine Walker	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	-0.01	-0.00	15	36%	-0.08	1	-0.01	3	67%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.0	1.8	22.5	14.8	23.5	2.4	28.3	115.3
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +44.9%

HOU +0.3%

HOU +7.4%

BOS -3.8%

HOU +1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	BOS	NBA	HOU	BOS	NBA
this game	15.2	14.8	15.6	125.0	97.9	104.4
season	15.5	14.8		107.2	101.8
opponent	14.7	15.4		109.5	103.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	16.6	15.8	13.2	15.6	15.2
BOS	14.7	14.9	15.6	13.8	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Charles Barkley	58	59	0.35	0.15	0.19	-0.18	18	8	10	16.0	14.1	1.83	15.2	14.0	1.19
Clyde Drexler	48	48	0.35	0.15	0.19	-0.36	24	2	22	14.8	15.7	-0.85	15.2	14.3	0.85
Mario Elie	48	48	0.35	0.15	0.19	-0.36	24	2	22	14.8	15.7	-0.85	15.2	14.3	0.85
Kevin Willis	54	54	0.32	0.18	0.14	-0.03	12	14	-2	15.3	15.1	0.21	14.6	15.0	-0.43
Hakeem Olajuwon	57	56	0.31	0.19	0.12	-0.28	20	6	14	15.4	15.1	0.32	14.8	14.7	0.02
Matt Maloney	53	52	0.28	0.22	0.05	-0.28	19	7	12	15.2	15.3	-0.16	15.3	14.1	1.15
Randy Livingston	43	44	0.22	0.28	-0.05	0.02	7	19	-12	15.3	15.2	0.16	14.1	15.3	-1.15
Matt Bullard	34	34	0.15	0.35	-0.19	0.01	5	21	-16	18.0	13.7	4.23	14.4	14.9	-0.49
Tracy Moore	48	48	0.15	0.35	-0.19	0.10	2	24	-22	15.7	14.8	0.85	14.3	15.2	-0.85
Othella Harrington	23	23	0.02	0.48	-0.45	-0.04	2	24	-22	12.9	16.0	-3.12	14.0	15.0	-1.00
Elmer Bennett	14	14	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	29	-32	10.1	16.1	-6.05	14.1	14.9	-0.81

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brett Szabo	17	17	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.09	-3	-23	20	14.5	14.8	-0.28	11.7	16.0	-4.29
Marty Conlon	36	35	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.06	2	-28	30	14.7	14.8	-0.15	12.9	16.6	-3.61
Greg Minor	45	47	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	-0.18	4	-30	34	14.6	14.9	-0.26	13.5	16.9	-3.39
Todd Day	43	44	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	0.11	-12	-14	2	14.6	14.9	-0.37	14.8	15.6	-0.74
Frank Brickowski	18	17	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	0.11	-12	-14	2	15.4	14.6	0.84	13.4	15.6	-2.29
Antoine Walker	50	49	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	0.15	-14	-12	-2	14.1	15.5	-1.42	18.3	12.1	6.18
Rick Fox	53	53	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	0.19	-17	-9	-8	14.9	14.5	0.41	15.8	14.5	1.36
Dee Brown	61	61	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.12	-15	-11	-4	14.9	14.6	0.30	13.3	18.5	-5.20
Dino Radja	50	52	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	0.26	-20	-6	-14	14.9	14.6	0.33	17.1	13.1	4.01
Dana Barros	62	61	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	0.28	-22	-4	-18	15.2	14.0	1.13	15.8	14.3	1.50
Eric Williams	45	44	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	0.25	-21	-5	-16	14.6	14.9	-0.22	17.0	13.7	3.25

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.43,0.41,0.37,0.35,0.29,0.25,0.18,0.2,0.17,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 107, NJN 78	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.56,0.52,0.48,0.41,0.45,0.39,0.37,0.29,0.24,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.1,0.11,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	98.6%
MIL 104, IND 91	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.4,0.36,0.32,0.31,0.27,0.21,0.2,0.19,0.14,0.13,0.07,0.08,0.06,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.9%
MIN 117, PHX 86	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.52,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.39,0.39,0.33,0.33,0.27,0.24,0.25,0.16,0.15,0.11,0.14,0.1,0.07,0.11,0.08,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.8%