NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	107		Excitement	1.9 [1289]		MVP	Richard Jefferson (MIL): +12.7%
New Jersey Nets	78		Comeback	1.3 [489]		LVP	Devin Harris (NJN): -8.5%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Richard Jefferson	0.13	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.24	0.00	0.12	12	85%	0.14	1	-0.01	10	90%	0.01
Charlie Villanueva	0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.05	0.00	-0.03	16	57%	0.08	2	-0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Joe Alexander	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.00	-0.01	11	59%	0.05	2	0.00	5	40%	-0.01
Damon Jones	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	1	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Keith Bogans	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Malik Allen	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luke Ridnour	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	6	58%	-0.00	2	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Francisco Elson	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.03	3	67%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luc Mbah a Moute	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	9	43%	-0.01	1	0.00	3	33%	0.00
Ramon Sessions	-0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	11	46%	-0.01	2	-0.00	6	83%	0.01
Dan Gadzuric	-0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0.01	1	100%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Charlie Bell	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.07	-0.00	-0.05	9	28%	-0.02	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Josh Boone	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	1	100%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Douglas-Roberts	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.04	-0.00	0.03	11	58%	0.01	1	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Sean Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	2	60%	0.00	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Maurice Ager	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	6	50%	-0.00	1	-0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Ryan Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	0.01	6	43%	-0.01	1	0.00	2	100%	-0.00
Jarvis Hayes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	6	33%	-0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Yi Jianlian	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.03	0.00	0.04	5	69%	0.02	2	-0.03	6	83%	-0.00
Brook Lopez	0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	6	50%	0.00	2	-0.03	8	50%	-0.03
Trenton Hassell	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.07	-0.00	-0.04	3	0%	-0.03	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Keyon Dooling	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	-0.01	-0.03	2	33%	-0.00	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Vince Carter	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.09	-0.00	-0.02	11	35%	-0.05	2	-0.03	4	75%	-0.00
Devin Harris	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.09	0.00	-0.00	11	36%	-0.06	2	-0.03	6	67%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.9	2.4	28.6	15.3	26.6	2.6	28.2	130.6
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL +26.9%

MIL +7.2%

MIL +0.1%

MIL +13.7%

MIL +2.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	NJN	NBA	MIL	NJN	NBA
this game	14.9	14.6	15.5	110.3	79.6	106.4
season	15.0	16.0		104.9	106.5
opponent	15.5	15.6		108.9	105.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	14.8	15.4	14.3	15.2	14.9
NJN	14.6	12.9	15.7	15.5	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Charlie Villanueva	61	61	0.47	0.03	0.43	-0.44	31	-2	33	14.9	15.0	-0.10	15.2	13.6	1.62
Richard Jefferson	62	64	0.42	0.08	0.34	-0.46	30	-1	31	14.0	16.5	-2.51	14.2	15.3	-1.01
Francisco Elson	34	36	0.35	0.15	0.20	-0.27	21	8	13	15.1	14.8	0.28	14.9	14.5	0.41
Charlie Bell	69	68	0.34	0.16	0.17	-0.25	20	9	11	15.0	14.8	0.16	14.0	16.1	-2.11
Ramon Sessions	58	58	0.29	0.21	0.08	-0.30	20	9	11	14.6	15.4	-0.83	14.3	15.0	-0.76
Joe Alexander	55	56	0.20	0.30	-0.11	0.08	4	25	-21	15.7	14.0	1.65	14.0	15.4	-1.36
Luke Ridnour	48	49	0.19	0.31	-0.11	0.02	6	23	-17	15.5	14.4	1.07	15.1	14.1	1.00
Luc Mbah a Moute	32	34	0.16	0.34	-0.18	-0.01	6	23	-17	15.6	14.6	1.02	15.2	14.3	0.92
Keith Bogans	9	9	0.09	0.41	-0.32	-0.06	5	24	-19	16.3	14.8	1.54	14.4	14.6	-0.17
Damon Jones	12	12	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	28	-27	12.8	15.2	-2.40	16.0	14.4	1.59
Malik Allen	18	17	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	33	-37	14.4	15.1	-0.67	16.1	14.3	1.83
Dan Gadzuric	27	26	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	-0.15	5	24	-19	15.1	14.9	0.19	14.0	14.8	-0.82

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sean Williams	12	12	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-28	27	16.0	14.4	1.59	12.8	15.2	-2.40
Maurice Ager	31	32	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.06	2	-31	33	15.8	14.0	1.76	15.3	14.8	0.51
Trenton Hassell	30	31	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	0.21	-9	-20	11	14.6	14.6	-0.00	15.4	14.7	0.61
Josh Boone	33	33	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.05	-3	-26	23	14.5	14.7	-0.18	16.3	14.2	2.07
Chris Douglas-Roberts	50	49	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.05	-4	-25	21	15.3	13.9	1.47	15.2	14.6	0.58
Keyon Dooling	28	26	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.12	-12	-17	5	15.6	14.2	1.41	16.8	14.3	2.55
Ryan Anderson	62	64	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.09	-11	-18	7	14.0	15.7	-1.68	14.4	15.9	-1.52
Yi Jianlian	39	37	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.02	-8	-21	13	15.4	14.1	1.26	15.2	14.8	0.41
Devin Harris	54	55	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	0.29	-19	-10	-9	13.6	15.8	-2.12	14.9	15.0	-0.19
Brook Lopez	53	52	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	0.37	-25	-4	-21	14.4	14.9	-0.53	14.6	15.4	-0.82
Vince Carter	56	55	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	0.41	-27	-2	-25	13.7	15.7	-1.99	14.1	16.1	-2.00
Jarvis Hayes	42	39	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	0.42	-28	-1	-27	14.8	14.5	0.28	14.7	15.1	-0.45

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.56,0.52,0.48,0.41,0.45,0.39,0.37,0.29,0.24,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.1,0.11,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 120, BOS 94	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.43,0.41,0.37,0.35,0.29,0.25,0.18,0.2,0.17,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	98.6%
MIN 117, PHX 86	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.52,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.39,0.39,0.33,0.33,0.27,0.24,0.25,0.16,0.15,0.11,0.14,0.1,0.07,0.11,0.08,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.5%
DAL 122, CHA 84	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.56,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.37,0.34,0.32,0.2,0.13,0.12,0.11,0.08,0.09,0.04,0.07,0.08,0.09,0.06,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.5%