NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	122		Excitement	2.1 [1283]		MVP	Harrison Barnes (DAL): +6.6%
Charlotte Hornets	84		Comeback	1.4 [593]		LVP	Malik Monk (CHA): -4.2%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Harrison Barnes	0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.00	-0.02	14	52%	0.07	0	0.00	5	100%	0.01
Dennis Smith Jr.	0.06	0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.10	-0.00	0.03	10	75%	0.07	2	-0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Wesley Matthews	0.04	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.06	0.00	0.02	7	61%	0.04	0	0.00	4	100%	0.00
Dirk Nowitzki	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.05	0.00	0.01	4	75%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
J.J. Barea	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.00	-0.01	5	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luka Doncic	0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	-0.01	16	53%	0.04	2	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Devin Harris	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	0.00	0.01	4	62%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dwight Powell	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.14	0.00	0.13	6	100%	0.01	1	0.00	3	100%	0.00
DeAndre Jordan	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	0.00	0.03	7	57%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Brunson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.06	0.00	-0.06	6	17%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Maxi Kleber	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.06	0.00	0.06	3	133%	0.00	2	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Salah Mejri	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	5	20%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dorian Finney-Smith	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.06	0.00	-0.06	8	44%	0.01	3	-0.01	0	0%	0.00

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	4	60%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Nicolas Batum	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	6	67%	0.02	2	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Devonte' Graham	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.10	0.00	-0.11	13	36%	0.04	3	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Marvin Williams	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.04	0.00	0.03	9	56%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
J.P. Macura	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	8	25%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bismack Biyombo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.07	0.00	0.07	5	71%	-0.00	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.00
Tony Parker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dwayne Bacon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.06	0.00	-0.05	3	67%	0.00	4	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Frank Kaminsky	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	-0.00	-0.02	6	36%	-0.03	1	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Miles Bridges	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.07	0.00	-0.04	9	35%	-0.03	2	-0.00	5	80%	-0.00
Willy Hernangomez	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	8	37%	-0.03	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kemba Walker	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	-0.00	-0.02	14	34%	-0.03	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Malik Monk	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.5	2.4	24.5	14.5	29.5	2.4	28.3	125.0
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +38.0%

CHA -0.7%

DAL +9.0%

DAL +4.1%

CHA -0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	CHA	NBA	DAL	CHA	NBA
this game	14.3	14.3	14.3	122.0	83.2	109.3
season	14.7	14.6		108.5	110.4
opponent	14.3	14.1		111.6	109.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	13.8	17.3	12.5	14.5	14.3
CHA	16.2	17.0	11.9	13.2	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
J.J. Barea	24	25	0.44	0.06	0.38	-0.27	24	14	10	14.7	14.2	0.54	18.6	12.9	5.69
Dwight Powell	47	49	0.33	0.17	0.15	-0.35	23	15	8	14.8	13.9	0.88	14.6	14.0	0.57
Devin Harris	24	25	0.32	0.18	0.14	-0.21	18	20	-2	15.2	14.1	1.20	16.7	13.5	3.19
Dorian Finney-Smith	42	45	0.28	0.22	0.07	-0.42	24	14	10	14.9	14.0	0.89	14.6	14.1	0.55
Dirk Nowitzki	12	13	0.28	0.22	0.06	-0.16	15	23	-8	16.2	14.1	2.17	17.1	13.9	3.17
Luka Doncic	58	56	0.22	0.28	-0.07	-0.19	14	24	-10	14.0	14.9	-0.89	14.1	14.6	-0.55
Harrison Barnes	62	62	0.22	0.28	-0.07	-0.19	14	24	-10	13.9	15.1	-1.19	14.2	14.5	-0.24
Wesley Matthews	55	54	0.18	0.32	-0.14	-0.23	14	24	-10	14.0	14.7	-0.72	14.1	14.6	-0.56
DeAndre Jordan	53	52	0.17	0.33	-0.15	-0.27	15	23	-8	13.9	14.8	-0.88	14.0	14.6	-0.57
Dennis Smith Jr.	50	50	0.06	0.44	-0.38	-0.09	5	33	-28	14.0	14.6	-0.60	12.8	15.8	-3.04
Jalen Brunson	26	26	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.26	9	29	-20	14.5	14.3	0.27	13.2	14.7	-1.57
Maxi Kleber	26	26	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.26	9	29	-20	14.5	14.3	0.27	13.2	14.7	-1.57
Salah Mejri	21	22	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.18	6	32	-26	14.1	14.4	-0.25	12.2	14.9	-2.67

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
J.P. Macura	31	30	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.20	-7	-31	24	12.8	15.0	-2.23	14.4	14.3	0.09
Bismack Biyombo	35	34	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	-0.18	6	-44	50	11.5	15.8	-4.33	13.8	14.6	-0.83
Dwayne Bacon	37	35	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	0.28	-11	-27	16	13.7	14.7	-0.97	13.7	14.7	-0.92
Miles Bridges	53	52	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.02	-5	-33	28	13.4	15.4	-1.98	14.7	14.0	0.73
Willy Hernangomez	36	37	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.24	-14	-24	10	14.8	14.0	0.76	15.1	13.9	1.26
Marvin Williams	46	47	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	0.14	-11	-27	16	14.7	14.0	0.78	15.2	13.6	1.61
Devonte' Graham	68	69	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.76	-34	-4	-30	15.1	12.7	2.41	14.1	14.9	-0.86
Kemba Walker	55	56	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	0.23	-16	-22	6	15.0	13.5	1.42	14.2	14.5	-0.29
Tony Parker	11	10	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.15	-14	-24	10	17.4	13.9	3.42	17.0	14.0	2.96
Malik Monk	10	10	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.12	-13	-25	12	14.6	14.3	0.31	16.5	14.1	2.40
Frank Kaminsky	34	33	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	0.30	-20	-18	-2	14.5	14.2	0.32	15.0	14.0	0.94
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	27	26	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.44	-26	-12	-14	16.8	13.4	3.36	13.3	14.7	-1.34
Nicolas Batum	62	61	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	0.36	-25	-13	-12	14.0	14.7	-0.70	13.2	16.1	-2.85

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.56,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.37,0.34,0.32,0.2,0.13,0.12,0.11,0.08,0.09,0.04,0.07,0.08,0.09,0.06,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 107, NJN 78	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.56,0.52,0.48,0.41,0.45,0.39,0.37,0.29,0.24,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.1,0.11,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.5%
SAS 119, PHI 68	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.5,0.55,0.47,0.39,0.37,0.37,0.32,0.25,0.2,0.18,0.14,0.12,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.3%
SAC 125, ORL 101	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.49,0.47,0.41,0.33,0.33,0.25,0.23,0.16,0.17,0.13,0.14,0.12,0.13,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.3%