NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

San Antonio Spurs	119		Excitement	1.5 [1313]		MVP	Tony Parker (SAS): +5.4%
Philadelphia 76ers	68		Comeback	1.4 [1239]		LVP	Jahlil Okafor (PHI): -10.9%

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tony Parker	0.05	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.07	0.01	0.03	8	67%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
David West	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.06	0.00	0.02	3	100%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Boris Diaw	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	-0.00	0.00	3	117%	0.05	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
LaMarcus Aldridge	0.02	0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.19	0.00	0.17	15	76%	0.02	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Matt Bonner	0.02	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.07	-0.00	0.04	6	75%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rasual Butler	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	0.00	0.01	6	58%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Patty Mills	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.02	3	67%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ray McCallum	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.03	2	75%	-0.00	1	-0.00	4	100%	-0.00
Boban Marjanovic	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.12	0.00	0.13	10	82%	-0.00	2	-0.00	2	100%	-0.00
Kyle Anderson	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	0.00	0.03	4	54%	-0.00	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.00
Jonathon Simmons	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	13	41%	0.01	1	-0.01	8	75%	0.00
Danny Green	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	3	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Robert Covington	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.05	0.00	0.04	8	72%	0.03	2	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Jerami Grant	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	3	62%	0.01	1	-0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Nik Stauskas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.04	0.00	0.03	10	59%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
JaKarr Sampson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	3	56%	-0.00	1	0.00	3	33%	-0.00
Hollis Thompson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	6	25%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nerlens Noel	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.05	0.00	0.07	9	65%	-0.00	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Richaun Holmes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.11	-0.00	-0.08	5	20%	-0.01	3	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Canaan	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.09	0.00	-0.06	6	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Wroten	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.10	0.00	-0.04	5	14%	-0.05	1	-0.00	4	50%	0.00
TJ McConnell	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.08	-0.00	-0.03	6	17%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jahlil Okafor	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.14	-0.00	-0.04	14	29%	-0.09	2	-0.02	6	67%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.0	2.5	25.2	15.6	31.3	2.4	27.6	129.6
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +33.1%

SAS +5.3%

SAS +6.0%

SAS +6.5%

PHI -0.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAS	PHI	NBA	SAS	PHI	NBA
this game	16.8	15.6	14.9	135.2	75.6	105.1
season	15.7	14.8		109.0	97.7
opponent	14.2	14.7		108.0	97.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAS	14.6	17.2	18.0	17.8	16.8
PHI	13.7	16.3	15.5	17.3	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Boris Diaw	32	32	0.43	0.07	0.35	-0.51	32	19	13	14.5	18.1	-3.61	15.3	15.7	-0.46
Danny Green	37	38	0.33	0.17	0.17	-0.28	21	30	-9	15.6	17.7	-2.12	15.5	15.6	-0.13
Jonathon Simmons	44	44	0.29	0.21	0.08	-0.44	25	26	-1	17.4	16.2	1.14	15.2	15.9	-0.73
Patty Mills	22	23	0.29	0.21	0.08	-0.21	17	34	-17	15.5	17.2	-1.67	16.4	15.3	1.15
Kyle Anderson	53	55	0.28	0.22	0.05	-0.55	28	23	5	16.7	17.0	-0.34	16.5	14.1	2.44
David West	16	18	0.25	0.25	0.01	-0.36	21	30	-9	16.4	16.9	-0.44	13.9	16.0	-2.11
LaMarcus Aldridge	41	42	0.25	0.25	0.00	-0.42	23	28	-5	16.5	17.1	-0.58	15.5	15.7	-0.24
Tony Parker	31	32	0.21	0.29	-0.09	-0.35	19	32	-13	16.7	16.8	-0.08	14.7	16.1	-1.43
Rasual Butler	49	49	0.08	0.42	-0.34	-0.80	30	21	9	17.1	16.4	0.74	15.6	15.6	0.03
Matt Bonner	42	43	0.06	0.44	-0.37	-0.14	7	44	-37	17.8	15.9	1.94	16.2	15.0	1.16
Ray McCallum	43	43	0.02	0.48	-0.45	-0.65	23	28	-5	18.2	15.5	2.72	15.4	15.7	-0.35
Boban Marjanovic	30	31	0.01	0.49	-0.49	-0.26	9	42	-33	17.8	16.3	1.52	15.7	15.5	0.15

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
JaKarr Sampson	21	21	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.61	-21	-30	9	16.0	15.5	0.49	17.4	16.6	0.77
TJ McConnell	36	33	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.25	-13	-38	25	15.3	15.8	-0.50	16.5	17.0	-0.55
Jerami Grant	39	37	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	0.17	-11	-40	29	14.9	16.1	-1.16	17.6	16.2	1.47
Richaun Holmes	36	37	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	0.56	-25	-26	1	15.4	15.7	-0.22	17.6	16.2	1.38
Isaiah Canaan	52	50	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	0.46	-22	-29	7	16.3	14.6	1.73	17.0	16.5	0.52
Hollis Thompson	36	35	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	0.47	-24	-27	3	14.9	16.0	-1.10	16.5	17.0	-0.47
Nerlens Noel	49	44	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	0.49	-25	-26	1	15.3	15.9	-0.60	16.6	17.0	-0.32
Nik Stauskas	45	45	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	0.93	-43	-8	-35	14.5	16.6	-2.09	17.0	16.6	0.33
Robert Covington	58	57	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.30	-22	-29	7	16.1	14.6	1.58	17.0	16.5	0.48
Tony Wroten	27	28	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.30	-22	-29	7	14.6	16.0	-1.35	15.1	17.6	-2.53
Jahlil Okafor	51	53	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.44	-27	-24	-3	17.0	13.7	3.28	16.3	17.5	-1.19

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.5,0.55,0.47,0.39,0.37,0.37,0.32,0.25,0.2,0.18,0.14,0.12,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 116, DAL 90	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.48,0.43,0.37,0.39,0.35,0.29,0.22,0.22,0.16,0.14,0.1,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	98.2%
HOU 120, BOS 94	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.43,0.41,0.37,0.35,0.29,0.25,0.18,0.2,0.17,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.5%
DAL 122, CHA 84	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.56,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.37,0.34,0.32,0.2,0.13,0.12,0.11,0.08,0.09,0.04,0.07,0.08,0.09,0.06,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.3%