NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

San Antonio Spurs	116		Excitement	1.5 [1312]		MVP	Patty Mills (SAS): +5.3%
Dallas Mavericks	90		Comeback	1.1 [1149]		LVP	Dirk Nowitzki (DAL): -6.0%

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Patty Mills	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.15	0.00	0.09	8	84%	0.05	0	0.00	3	67%	0.00
Kawhi Leonard	0.04	0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.08	0.00	0.04	16	66%	0.06	2	-0.02	3	100%	-0.00
Jonathon Simmons	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	-0.01	4	67%	0.03	1	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Boris Diaw	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	0.00	0.00	4	62%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
David West	0.00	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	3	50%	0.02	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.00
Kyle Anderson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	5	38%	0.01	1	-0.01	3	100%	0.01
Rasual Butler	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	4	62%	0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matt Bonner	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.08	0.00	0.08	2	117%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Ray McCallum	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	0.00	0.03	4	62%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Parker	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	8	56%	-0.00	3	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Boban Marjanovic	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	0.00	0.01	3	70%	0.01	2	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
LaMarcus Aldridge	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.04	11	54%	0.00	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.01
Danny Green	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.00	0.00	0.03	8	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jeremy Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Justin Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.09	0.00	0.09	7	76%	0.00	1	-0.00	3	100%	0.00
Dwight Powell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.03	0.00	0.03	3	57%	-0.00	0	0.00	8	75%	-0.00
Jose Juan Barea	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	5	36%	-0.00	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
JaVale McGee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.04	0.00	0.05	5	80%	-0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Salah Mejri	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	37%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Wesley Matthews	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	5	40%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Zaza Pachulia	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.07	0.00	-0.03	4	33%	-0.03	2	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Charlie Villanueva	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	0.03	10	59%	-0.01	3	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Raymond Felton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.00	0.00	0.04	4	75%	-0.01	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Deron Williams	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	0.02	9	40%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	-0.00
Chandler Parsons	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.08	-0.00	-0.03	9	33%	-0.03	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dirk Nowitzki	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	0.05	8	56%	-0.04	2	-0.02	2	100%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.4	3.5	32.6	16.4	29.6	3.4	30.6	141.4
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +32.6%

SAS +6.3%

SAS +8.0%

SAS +2.6%

SAS +0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAS	DAL	NBA	SAS	DAL	NBA
this game	16.7	13.3	14.9	122.1	92.8	105.1
season	15.7	15.5		109.0	105.0
opponent	14.7	14.7		106.5	97.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAS	14.4	17.3	17.7	17.7	16.7
DAL	13.8	15.5	10.7	13.7	13.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kawhi Leonard	53	56	0.34	0.16	0.18	-0.36	24	2	22	16.4	17.2	-0.79	13.6	13.0	0.58
Jonathon Simmons	46	45	0.33	0.17	0.15	0.00	11	15	-4	16.4	17.0	-0.61	13.0	13.6	-0.66
Patty Mills	32	33	0.33	0.17	0.15	-0.11	15	11	4	14.6	17.8	-3.17	12.6	13.7	-1.02
LaMarcus Aldridge	56	58	0.31	0.19	0.12	-0.31	21	5	16	16.5	17.0	-0.46	13.2	13.5	-0.34
Boris Diaw	39	40	0.30	0.20	0.10	-0.05	12	14	-2	16.2	17.1	-0.88	12.4	13.9	-1.50
Danny Green	53	55	0.27	0.23	0.04	-0.32	20	6	14	16.8	16.6	0.23	13.9	12.5	1.47
Tony Parker	49	49	0.23	0.27	-0.04	-0.18	14	12	2	17.4	16.0	1.37	13.4	13.2	0.24
Boban Marjanovic	32	31	0.16	0.34	-0.19	-0.05	7	19	-12	17.5	16.3	1.21	14.2	12.9	1.30
Kyle Anderson	45	44	0.15	0.35	-0.19	0.04	4	22	-18	17.0	16.5	0.56	13.2	13.4	-0.27
David West	19	21	0.09	0.41	-0.33	-0.03	4	22	-18	15.1	17.1	-2.09	13.2	13.3	-0.09
Rasual Butler	29	30	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.18	-6	32	-38	17.2	16.5	0.64	12.8	13.6	-0.79
Matt Bonner	6	7	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.09	3	23	-20	21.2	16.4	4.74	13.9	13.3	0.59
Ray McCallum	16	16	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	25	-24	19.6	16.1	3.49	14.6	13.1	1.50

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jeremy Evans	13	13	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.06	-2	-24	22	14.9	13.1	1.86	18.2	16.5	1.74
Dwight Powell	27	26	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.24	8	-34	42	12.3	13.7	-1.35	17.5	16.4	1.07
JaVale McGee	16	16	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	0.01	-1	-25	24	13.4	13.3	0.08	17.3	16.6	0.70
Justin Anderson	36	35	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	-0.13	3	-29	32	13.2	13.4	-0.23	17.4	16.3	1.11
Salah Mejri	25	25	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	0.34	-18	-8	-10	14.6	12.9	1.68	17.2	16.5	0.70
Zaza Pachulia	38	38	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	0.13	-11	-15	4	13.7	13.0	0.70	16.5	16.9	-0.38
Charlie Villanueva	46	45	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.43	8	-34	42	12.7	13.8	-1.08	17.2	16.3	0.94
Wesley Matthews	47	46	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	0.40	-21	-5	-16	13.7	13.0	0.68	16.6	16.8	-0.23
Jose Juan Barea	35	34	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.15	-13	-13	0	13.2	13.4	-0.22	16.1	17.1	-1.04
Deron Williams	55	54	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	0.26	-18	-8	-10	13.2	13.5	-0.34	16.7	16.8	-0.05
Raymond Felton	43	42	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.17	-7	-19	12	12.7	13.8	-1.14	16.4	17.0	-0.66
Chandler Parsons	55	54	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	0.35	-25	-1	-24	13.2	13.4	-0.21	16.3	17.3	-1.00
Dirk Nowitzki	49	47	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	0.57	-33	7	-40	13.7	13.0	0.69	16.0	17.4	-1.35

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.48,0.43,0.37,0.39,0.35,0.29,0.22,0.22,0.16,0.14,0.1,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 119, PHI 68	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.5,0.55,0.47,0.39,0.37,0.37,0.32,0.25,0.2,0.18,0.14,0.12,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	98.2%
UTA 137, NYK 116	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.41,0.39,0.37,0.28,0.33,0.21,0.23,0.2,0.18,0.15,0.08,0.06,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.7%
LAC 99, POR 86	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.4,0.44,0.44,0.39,0.37,0.4,0.33,0.29,0.25,0.17,0.12,0.11,0.13,0.08,0.09,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.7%