NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	99		Excitement	1.7 [1305]		MVP	Cuttino Mobley (LAC): +8.1%
Portland Trail Blazers	86		Comeback	1.0 [881]		LVP	Jamaal Magloire (POR): -6.4%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Cuttino Mobley	0.08	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.00	-0.00	16	64%	0.09	3	-0.01	7	71%	0.01
Quinton Ross	0.08	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.10	0.00	0.02	11	65%	0.08	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Tim Thomas	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.11	0.00	0.04	7	87%	0.07	1	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Chris Kaman	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.03	0.02	-0.05	7	56%	0.07	3	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Jason Hart	0.04	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.06	0.00	0.03	7	78%	0.04	2	-0.01	4	100%	0.01
Elton Brand	0.03	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	12	66%	0.04	4	-0.01	8	87%	0.01
Sam Cassell	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Singleton	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Yaroslav Korolev	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Paul Davis	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Daniel Ewing	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brandon Roy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.14	0.00	0.10	14	70%	0.03	1	0.00	5	100%	0.01
Dan Dickau	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.06	0.00	0.06	1	120%	0.00	1	-0.00	3	100%	0.00
Luke Schenscher	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Raef LaFrentz	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.10	0.00	0.11	9	68%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	100%	0.00
Martell Webster	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	0.00	0.03	8	62%	0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Travis Outlaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0.01	10	43%	-0.02	0	0.00	10	90%	0.01
Fred Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	3	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sergio Rodriguez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	3	33%	-0.01	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jarrett Jack	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.07	0.00	-0.03	3	0%	-0.03	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
LaMarcus Aldridge	0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	0.00	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jamaal Magloire	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	0.00	-0.01	13	42%	-0.03	3	-0.03	5	60%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.9	2.6	32.0	15.0	25.3	2.7	28.2	130.8
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +43.5%

LAC +3.4%

POR -4.8%

LAC +6.3%

LAC +1.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	POR	NBA	LAC	POR	NBA
this game	17.6	16.1	15.4	117.9	98.9	104.5
season	15.7	16.7		103.3	103.1
opponent	15.4	15.4		108.3	103.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	15.2	17.6	19.1	18.5	17.6
POR	18.2	17.5	14.3	14.4	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Cuttino Mobley	76	78	0.47	0.03	0.45	-0.05	18	-5	23	17.4	20.1	-2.74	16.1	16.1	-0.05
Quinton Ross	64	66	0.44	0.06	0.39	0.06	13	0	13	17.5	18.0	-0.53	16.5	14.8	1.72
Elton Brand	60	64	0.37	0.13	0.24	-0.18	19	-6	25	17.2	18.7	-1.43	16.2	15.6	0.68
Tim Thomas	52	52	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.08	10	3	7	17.8	17.4	0.43	15.4	17.1	-1.75
Jason Hart	69	71	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.04	10	3	7	17.7	17.3	0.46	16.2	15.6	0.62
Chris Kaman	68	70	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.13	5	8	-3	18.4	14.4	3.96	16.9	12.8	4.11
Sam Cassell	8	8	0.17	0.33	-0.17	-0.07	8	5	3	15.2	17.9	-2.64	17.2	15.9	1.30
Daniel Ewing	14	15	0.06	0.44	-0.39	0.23	-6	19	-25	19.3	17.3	1.97	15.7	16.2	-0.49
James Singleton	3	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	16	-19	17.0	17.7	-0.67	13.0	16.2	-3.22
Yaroslav Korolev	2	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	16	-19	19.0	17.6	1.39	5.0	16.3	-11.33
Paul Davis	4	5	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.17	-6	19	-25	13.2	17.9	-4.61	9.0	16.5	-7.50

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Luke Schenscher	6	5	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.15	5	-18	23	13.7	16.2	-2.58	16.2	17.7	-1.53
Dan Dickau	29	26	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	-0.16	5	-18	23	15.3	16.5	-1.19	17.6	17.7	-0.10
Raef LaFrentz	31	31	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.08	0	-13	13	14.9	16.7	-1.81	17.8	17.5	0.26
LaMarcus Aldridge	12	11	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	0.02	-4	-9	5	21.4	15.2	6.20	16.3	17.8	-1.58
Martell Webster	55	52	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.46	10	-23	33	16.1	16.0	0.06	18.3	16.6	1.69
Jarrett Jack	15	16	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	0.24	-15	2	-17	21.8	14.9	6.92	17.1	17.8	-0.64
Sergio Rodriguez	39	36	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.01	-10	-3	-7	15.1	16.9	-1.75	17.1	18.1	-0.98
Fred Jones	47	46	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.11	-9	-4	-5	15.6	16.6	-1.08	17.7	17.5	0.21
Travis Outlaw	63	62	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	0.02	-14	1	-15	15.3	18.2	-2.95	17.9	17.0	0.93
Brandon Roy	67	66	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	0.09	-18	5	-23	16.3	15.4	0.87	17.4	18.4	-0.95
Jamaal Magloire	71	69	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	0.00	-15	2	-17	16.4	14.7	1.62	17.8	17.1	0.62

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.4,0.44,0.44,0.39,0.37,0.4,0.33,0.29,0.25,0.17,0.12,0.11,0.13,0.08,0.09,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 117, MIA 87	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.41,0.4,0.39,0.41,0.39,0.35,0.31,0.22,0.19,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.1,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	98.2%
SAS 116, DAL 90	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.48,0.43,0.37,0.39,0.35,0.29,0.22,0.22,0.16,0.14,0.1,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.7%
PHX 108, POR 89	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.37,0.32,0.28,0.3,0.29,0.25,0.18,0.12,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	97.7%