NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	108		Excitement	1.9 [1296]		MVP	Jason Richardson (PHX): +11.3%
Portland Trail Blazers	89		Comeback	1.0 [746]		LVP	LaMarcus Aldridge (POR): -8.1%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Richardson	0.11	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.38	0.00	0.27	19	87%	0.11	0	0.00	10	80%	0.00
Amar'e Stoudemire	0.04	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.00	-0.03	14	54%	0.05	4	-0.01	9	44%	-0.03
Grant Hill	0.03	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.00	0.00	-0.03	5	80%	0.04	3	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Goran Dragic	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.07	0.00	0.04	6	71%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Leandro Barbosa	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.00	-0.03	6	50%	0.02	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jared Dudley	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	3	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lou Amundson	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.01	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Channing Frye	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.09	0.01	-0.07	7	25%	-0.00	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
Steve Nash	-0.01	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.06	0.00	-0.05	8	57%	0.02	5	-0.03	7	86%	-0.01
Jarron Collins	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jerryd Bayless	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	-0.00	0.02	10	61%	0.02	2	-0.01	3	67%	-0.00
Dante Cunningham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.06	0.00	0.06	3	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Patty Mills	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Ayres	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	1	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Travis Diener	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Camby	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	7	43%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Juwan Howard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	50%	-0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rudy Fernandez	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.08	0.00	0.10	8	75%	-0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Martell Webster	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	15	40%	-0.02	1	-0.02	5	20%	-0.01
Nicolas Batum	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	4	30%	-0.03	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Andre Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.12	0.00	-0.06	11	39%	-0.02	4	-0.03	6	50%	-0.02
LaMarcus Aldridge	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.04	-0.00	0.04	14	45%	-0.04	2	-0.04	10	70%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.7	2.4	32.5	15.7	28.2	2.6	34.0	143.1
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +32.6%

PHX +5.2%

PHX +3.2%

PHX +6.9%

PHX +2.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	POR	NBA	PHX	POR	NBA
this game	16.7	15.8	15.3	121.3	101.1	106.0
season	14.4	16.7		113.5	108.8
opponent	15.6	15.5		106.3	109.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	13.2	17.0	16.8	20.4	16.7
POR	16.2	15.0	18.4	13.9	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Amar'e Stoudemire	72	71	0.37	0.13	0.25	-0.21	20	-1	21	16.4	18.1	-1.73	16.3	13.9	2.40
Steve Nash	70	71	0.36	0.14	0.21	-0.20	19	0	19	16.2	18.5	-2.30	16.0	14.9	1.09
Channing Frye	58	59	0.35	0.15	0.21	0.03	11	8	3	16.8	16.6	0.21	14.6	18.2	-3.56
Jason Richardson	69	68	0.34	0.16	0.19	-0.10	15	4	11	15.9	19.5	-3.65	16.3	14.3	1.96
Grant Hill	57	56	0.29	0.21	0.08	-0.15	15	4	11	16.7	16.7	0.00	16.4	14.8	1.63
Jared Dudley	32	32	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.09	4	15	-11	16.7	16.7	-0.00	14.8	16.4	-1.63
Leandro Barbosa	20	20	0.16	0.34	-0.19	0.04	4	15	-11	19.5	15.9	3.65	14.3	16.3	-1.96
Goran Dragic	19	17	0.14	0.36	-0.21	0.14	0	19	-19	18.5	16.2	2.30	14.9	16.0	-1.09
Jarron Collins	32	30	0.14	0.36	-0.21	-0.09	8	11	-3	16.2	17.0	-0.83	17.8	14.8	2.96
Lou Amundson	16	16	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.16	-1	20	-21	19.0	16.2	2.78	14.4	16.1	-1.69

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Patty Mills	4	5	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-20	21	11.7	16.0	-4.26	19.0	16.6	2.42
Jeff Ayres	4	5	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-20	21	11.7	16.0	-4.26	19.0	16.6	2.42
Travis Diener	3	3	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-20	21	11.7	16.0	-4.30	21.3	16.6	4.78
Dante Cunningham	19	19	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.09	0	-19	19	13.9	16.3	-2.45	18.2	16.3	1.90
Nicolas Batum	20	20	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.24	-16	-3	-13	17.1	15.4	1.66	14.4	17.4	-2.99
Rudy Fernandez	39	39	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.09	-11	-8	-3	17.3	14.6	2.72	16.5	16.9	-0.46
LaMarcus Aldridge	61	62	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.12	-13	-6	-7	16.7	13.8	2.89	17.4	15.1	2.36
Martell Webster	68	69	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.18	-3	-16	13	15.4	17.1	-1.66	17.4	14.4	2.99
Juwan Howard	33	33	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.02	-10	-9	-1	14.7	16.5	-1.79	17.6	16.2	1.41
Andre Miller	76	76	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.00	-11	-8	-3	15.9	15.2	0.75	16.7	17.1	-0.42
Marcus Camby	59	59	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.13	-16	-3	-13	16.4	14.6	1.84	14.8	20.5	-5.70
Jerryd Bayless	54	55	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	0.08	-18	-1	-17	15.1	16.9	-1.83	16.5	17.0	-0.50

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.37,0.32,0.28,0.3,0.29,0.25,0.18,0.12,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 114, CHI 83	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.4,0.38,0.33,0.32,0.28,0.29,0.27,0.22,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	98.0%
HOU 108, LAC 90	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.41,0.42,0.38,0.31,0.32,0.3,0.26,0.22,0.2,0.16,0.14,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.9%
MIA 105, IND 90	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.41,0.42,0.34,0.3,0.28,0.25,0.21,0.22,0.19,0.19,0.13,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.9%