NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	125		Excitement	2.1 [1289]		MVP	John Salmons (SAC): +9.2%
Orlando Magic	101		Comeback	1.4 [589]		LVP	Al Harrington (ORL): -4.3%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
John Salmons	0.09	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.23	0.00	0.14	9	100%	0.09	0	0.00	3	100%	0.00
Marcus Thornton	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.00	-0.00	13	61%	0.10	2	-0.03	7	86%	0.00
Patrick Patterson	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.03	0.01	-0.03	8	65%	0.07	2	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Jimmer Fredette	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.00	-0.00	9	72%	0.06	2	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyreke Evans	0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.07	0.00	0.03	11	65%	0.06	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
DeMarcus Cousins	0.04	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	-0.00	-0.01	10	50%	0.04	0	0.00	6	83%	0.01
Isaiah Thomas	0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Toney Douglas	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.06	0.00	0.06	4	89%	0.00	1	-0.00	1	100%	0.00
Jason Thompson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	0.00	0.02	7	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	-0.00
Charles Hayes	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.06	0.00	-0.04	1	0%	0.00	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
James Johnson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	10	45%	-0.01	3	-0.02	2	0%	0.00

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
E'Twaun Moore	0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	0.00	0.01	8	69%	0.06	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Nicholson	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	0.00	0.02	6	57%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Maurice Harkless	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.07	0.00	0.06	7	75%	0.01	1	-0.00	2	50%	0.00
Tobias Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.15	-0.00	0.15	12	79%	0.02	2	-0.02	5	80%	0.00
Beno Udrih	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	9	56%	-0.00	4	-0.02	7	100%	0.02
Doron Lamb	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.02	4	42%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
DeQuan Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.08	0.00	-0.06	4	0%	-0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Kyle O'Quinn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.02	0.00	0.06	4	75%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Nikola Vucevic	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.08	0.00	-0.04	7	29%	-0.03	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Arron Afflalo	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.11	-0.00	-0.07	15	45%	0.00	6	-0.04	3	100%	0.01
Al Harrington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.07	-0.00	-0.03	7	19%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.9	1.8	27.0	15.7	28.2	1.8	28.2	129.5
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +44.3%

ORL -2.8%

SAC +2.3%

SAC +6.1%

SAC +0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	ORL	NBA	SAC	ORL	NBA
this game	13.9	14.2	15.4	120.2	100.0	104.1
season	15.0	15.5		104.7	100.3
opponent	15.3	15.2		107.7	109.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	14.8	13.4	13.2	14.4	13.9
ORL	14.6	14.9	15.1	12.2	14.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tyreke Evans	55	54	0.41	0.09	0.32	-0.26	23	1	22	14.1	13.8	0.32	15.1	13.1	2.05
Jimmer Fredette	61	60	0.40	0.10	0.29	0.01	13	11	2	13.8	14.1	-0.26	13.4	15.2	-1.83
Marcus Thornton	50	51	0.31	0.19	0.13	0.05	9	15	-6	13.5	14.4	-0.89	13.5	14.8	-1.23
DeMarcus Cousins	49	47	0.30	0.20	0.09	-0.20	17	7	10	14.9	13.1	1.77	14.9	13.6	1.30
Patrick Patterson	57	56	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.04	8	16	-8	13.9	13.9	0.01	13.4	15.1	-1.64
Jason Thompson	47	44	0.22	0.28	-0.06	-0.28	17	7	10	13.9	13.9	-0.01	15.2	13.4	1.77
Charles Hayes	55	55	0.21	0.29	-0.09	0.03	6	18	-12	13.1	14.9	-1.77	13.5	14.9	-1.43
John Salmons	46	43	0.19	0.31	-0.12	-0.25	15	9	6	14.7	13.4	1.31	15.7	13.0	2.64
James Johnson	45	43	0.09	0.41	-0.33	0.17	-3	27	-30	14.0	13.9	0.10	12.6	15.3	-2.79
Toney Douglas	26	25	0.08	0.42	-0.33	-0.15	8	16	-8	13.2	14.2	-0.95	13.5	14.4	-0.85
Isaiah Thomas	29	27	0.02	0.48	-0.46	-0.18	7	17	-10	14.1	13.9	0.18	15.8	13.6	2.21

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kyle O'Quinn	31	32	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.13	1	-25	26	11.9	15.1	-3.21	14.6	13.6	0.99
E'Twaun Moore	45	47	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	0.23	-12	-12	0	15.5	13.1	2.48	14.5	13.5	1.00
Andrew Nicholson	32	35	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	0.11	-8	-16	8	16.3	13.2	3.11	14.8	13.5	1.25
DeQuan Jones	32	31	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	0.18	-11	-13	2	13.8	14.3	-0.55	11.6	14.9	-3.32
Al Harrington	28	28	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	0.16	-12	-12	0	14.8	13.9	0.87	11.9	14.7	-2.85
Doron Lamb	31	32	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.15	-12	-12	0	13.8	14.3	-0.51	11.6	15.0	-3.44
Nikola Vucevic	42	44	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	0.18	-13	-11	-2	15.4	13.3	2.09	14.8	13.3	1.44
Maurice Harkless	55	58	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.03	-8	-16	8	14.4	13.8	0.57	15.3	12.2	3.13
Arron Afflalo	68	71	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.01	-12	-12	0	14.4	13.7	0.73	15.0	11.6	3.38
Tobias Harris	69	69	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	0.10	-16	-8	-8	13.2	16.3	-3.11	13.5	14.8	-1.25
Beno Udrih	72	73	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	0.08	-17	-7	-10	13.2	16.6	-3.36	13.5	15.0	-1.55

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.49,0.47,0.41,0.33,0.33,0.25,0.23,0.16,0.17,0.13,0.14,0.12,0.13,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 103, CHI 74	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.49,0.43,0.39,0.37,0.33,0.3,0.26,0.22,0.18,0.16,0.14,0.15,0.16,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.8%
HOU 120, BOS 94	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.43,0.41,0.37,0.35,0.29,0.25,0.18,0.2,0.17,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.5%
MIL 107, NJN 78	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.56,0.52,0.48,0.41,0.45,0.39,0.37,0.29,0.24,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.1,0.11,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.5%