NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Miami Heat	103		Excitement	1.9 [1299]		MVP	Quentin Richardson (MIA): +8.6%
Chicago Bulls	74		Comeback	1.2 [613]		LVP	Ronald Murray (CHI): -7.9%

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Quentin Richardson	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.04	0.00	-0.05	8	53%	0.09	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Jermaine O'Neal	0.06	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.14	-0.00	0.08	14	69%	0.08	1	-0.02	7	86%	0.01
Mario Chalmers	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.07	0.00	0.03	6	71%	0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Udonis Haslem	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.06	-0.00	0.03	9	61%	0.04	1	-0.02	5	80%	-0.00
Carlos Arroyo	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.06	10	45%	0.03	2	-0.00	2	100%	0.00
Dwyane Wade	0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	0.00	0.02	7	57%	0.01	1	-0.00	7	29%	-0.01
Jamaal Magloire	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	2	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Jones	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.05	0.00	0.05	4	75%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Daequan Cook	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dorell Wright	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	4	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Joel Anthony	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Beasley	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	0.00	0.02	15	48%	-0.02	2	-0.02	1	100%	-0.00

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Joakim Noah	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.04	5	33%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Hakim Warrick	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	8	56%	0.01	2	0.00	9	67%	-0.00
Taj Gibson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.04	-0.00	0.04	9	55%	0.00	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Joe Alexander	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Acie Law	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.01	4	37%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brad Miller	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	4	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Chris Richard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	-0.01	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jannero Pargo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.07	0.00	-0.05	8	19%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Rose	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.09	0.00	-0.06	16	33%	-0.03	1	-0.00	4	50%	-0.01
Kirk Hinrich	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.02	8	44%	-0.03	3	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
James Johnson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.10	-0.00	-0.04	9	33%	-0.03	3	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Ronald Murray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	0.00	0.02	8	31%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.1	2.8	31.0	19.7	25.3	2.7	29.4	138.0
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIA +37.9%

MIA +4.5%

MIA +3.5%

MIA +4.6%

CHI -0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIA	CHI	NBA	MIA	CHI	NBA
this game	17.5	14.5	15.3	114.4	82.2	106.0
season	16.2	14.7		104.4	101.9
opponent	15.7	15.4		103.9	102.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIA	14.3	16.9	20.1	19.5	17.5
CHI	14.5	14.4	14.2	14.8	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Udonis Haslem	46	46	0.44	0.06	0.37	-0.06	17	12	5	16.5	18.6	-2.11	14.8	14.1	0.69
Carlos Arroyo	68	69	0.38	0.12	0.25	-0.33	24	5	19	17.5	17.5	-0.05	14.1	15.9	-1.78
Jermaine O'Neal	46	46	0.34	0.16	0.18	-0.27	21	8	13	17.7	17.3	0.42	14.8	14.2	0.56
Dwyane Wade	56	56	0.32	0.18	0.14	-0.50	28	1	27	16.8	18.6	-1.83	14.2	15.0	-0.82
Mario Chalmers	46	46	0.30	0.20	0.11	0.01	10	19	-9	17.7	17.3	0.38	15.1	13.9	1.18
Quentin Richardson	48	48	0.28	0.22	0.07	-0.33	21	8	13	17.0	18.1	-1.14	14.5	14.5	-0.07
Dorell Wright	35	36	0.22	0.28	-0.07	-0.08	10	19	-9	17.8	17.3	0.47	14.0	14.8	-0.81
Joel Anthony	44	44	0.16	0.34	-0.18	-0.08	8	21	-13	17.3	17.7	-0.42	14.2	14.8	-0.56
Michael Beasley	37	38	0.06	0.44	-0.37	-0.35	14	15	-1	18.4	16.9	1.47	13.6	15.2	-1.57
Jamaal Magloire	7	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	31	-33	19.7	17.3	2.39	17.7	14.3	3.40
James Jones	10	9	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	33	-37	20.6	17.1	3.47	16.7	14.2	2.42
Daequan Cook	7	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	31	-33	19.7	17.3	2.39	17.7	14.3	3.40

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Joe Alexander	6	7	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-31	33	17.7	14.3	3.40	19.7	17.3	2.39
Acie Law	26	27	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	-0.19	4	-33	37	14.6	14.5	0.12	19.1	16.8	2.23
James Johnson	39	39	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	0.33	-15	-14	-1	13.2	15.5	-2.36	17.3	17.6	-0.31
Joakim Noah	17	19	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.24	-12	-17	5	15.4	14.3	1.14	17.5	17.5	-0.05
Hakim Warrick	33	33	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.13	0	-29	29	14.6	14.4	0.19	19.0	16.6	2.40
Jannero Pargo	33	34	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.11	-2	-27	25	15.4	14.0	1.38	18.8	16.7	2.01
Brad Miller	37	36	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	0.23	-14	-15	1	13.5	15.2	-1.66	17.8	17.3	0.54
Chris Richard	43	42	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.06	-8	-21	13	15.3	13.8	1.47	17.6	17.4	0.25
Ronald Murray	33	32	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.06	-8	-21	13	15.6	13.8	1.76	16.3	18.2	-1.81
Taj Gibson	57	56	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	0.46	-27	-2	-25	14.0	15.4	-1.38	16.7	18.8	-2.01
Kirk Hinrich	63	62	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	0.54	-32	3	-35	14.2	15.2	-0.99	16.9	18.9	-1.95
Derrick Rose	63	63	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	0.54	-33	4	-37	14.4	14.6	-0.20	16.8	19.1	-2.23

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.49,0.43,0.39,0.37,0.33,0.3,0.26,0.22,0.18,0.16,0.14,0.15,0.16,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 116, DET 88	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.48,0.47,0.46,0.39,0.4,0.36,0.31,0.25,0.22,0.19,0.16,0.09,0.12,0.11,0.12,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.05,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	98.0%
SAC 125, ORL 101	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.49,0.47,0.41,0.33,0.33,0.25,0.23,0.16,0.17,0.13,0.14,0.12,0.13,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.8%
NOP 115, PHX 91	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.39,0.31,0.37,0.32,0.26,0.22,0.17,0.16,0.11,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.6%