NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	116		Excitement	2.0 [1294]		MVP	LeBron James (CLE): +12.7%
Detroit Pistons	88		Comeback	1.1 [886]		LVP	Andre Drummond (DET): -9.5%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
LeBron James	0.13	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.09,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.11	0.00	-0.02	14	62%	0.13	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Kevin Love	0.09	0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.10	0.00	0.01	12	73%	0.11	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Channing Frye	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.07	0.00	-0.01	7	71%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Korver	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.06	0.00	0.02	4	100%	0.05	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Dwyane Wade	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	8	50%	0.03	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jae Crowder	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.11	0.00	0.09	11	64%	0.01	0	0.00	6	100%	0.01
Jeff Green	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.03	10	50%	0.02	2	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
John Holland	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	1	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cedi Osman	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	3	87%	-0.00	2	0.00	2	100%	-0.00
Jose Calderon	-0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.12	0.00	0.13	5	100%	0.01	1	-0.01	4	100%	0.00
JR Smith	-0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	5	30%	-0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Avery Bradley	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.03	9	50%	0.05	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Stanley Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	7	62%	0.02	2	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Tobias Harris	0,0,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.03	0.00	0.02	10	52%	0.02	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.00
Anthony Tolliver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.06	0.00	0.06	3	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Bullock	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.06	0.00	0.06	3	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Henry Ellenson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.03	0.00	0.03	5	60%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Moreland	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	4	75%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luke Kennard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	8	31%	-0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.04	-0.00	0.04	7	62%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Ish Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.06	0.00	-0.04	6	21%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Langston Galloway	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.04	8	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andre Drummond	0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.15	-0.00	-0.05	7	40%	-0.02	6	-0.07	6	33%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.9	0.3	26.9	14.7	23.3	2.4	23.2	117.8
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +31.8%

CLE +5.9%

CLE +0.3%

CLE +10.3%

CLE +1.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	DET	NBA	CLE	DET	NBA
this game	16.6	15.3	14.7	128.9	96.7	107.5
season	14.8	14.9		111.2	106.4
opponent	14.7	14.7		106.3	110.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	15.2	16.8	16.6	17.8	16.6
DET	14.2	16.0	16.1	15.0	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kyle Korver	33	33	0.39	0.11	0.28	-0.23	21	7	14	16.8	16.4	0.44	14.6	15.6	-0.98
Kevin Love	50	49	0.33	0.17	0.17	-0.55	30	-2	32	15.3	18.1	-2.85	16.1	14.3	1.82
Dwyane Wade	36	36	0.31	0.19	0.12	-0.07	13	15	-2	18.4	15.3	3.13	14.5	15.8	-1.31
Jeff Green	41	42	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.15	5	23	-18	17.9	15.5	2.41	14.4	16.0	-1.64
Channing Frye	41	41	0.29	0.21	0.09	0.15	5	23	-18	17.9	15.5	2.41	14.6	15.8	-1.28
JR Smith	51	54	0.28	0.22	0.06	-0.40	23	5	18	16.1	17.2	-1.13	15.2	15.4	-0.24
Jae Crowder	49	50	0.21	0.29	-0.09	-0.47	23	5	18	15.5	17.9	-2.41	15.8	14.6	1.28
LeBron James	51	51	0.20	0.30	-0.11	-0.42	21	7	14	15.8	17.6	-1.81	16.3	13.9	2.43
Jose Calderon	54	55	0.19	0.31	-0.12	-0.25	15	13	2	15.3	18.4	-3.13	15.8	14.5	1.31
Cedi Osman	25	26	0.01	0.49	-0.49	0.27	-9	37	-46	18.1	16.0	2.15	14.0	15.8	-1.77
John Holland	19	18	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.21	-7	35	-42	17.9	16.2	1.75	15.3	15.3	0.02

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Reggie Bullock	12	12	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.26	9	-37	46	15.2	15.3	-0.11	17.4	16.4	0.98
Henry Ellenson	22	22	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.32	11	-39	50	15.0	15.4	-0.41	17.8	16.2	1.60
Luke Kennard	31	30	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.15	5	-33	38	14.8	15.5	-0.69	17.7	16.0	1.75
Ish Smith	32	32	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.33	-17	-11	-6	14.6	15.6	-1.03	17.4	16.1	1.25
Avery Bradley	52	51	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	0.43	-21	-7	-14	16.0	14.3	1.72	15.5	17.9	-2.35
Andre Drummond	46	48	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.34	-19	-9	-10	16.2	14.3	1.84	16.0	17.3	-1.30
Eric Moreland	42	39	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.12	-4	-24	20	13.8	16.6	-2.79	17.8	15.6	2.12
Anthony Tolliver	24	24	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	0.34	-21	-7	-14	15.0	15.4	-0.36	17.0	16.4	0.65
Langston Galloway	39	39	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.10	-7	-21	14	14.3	16.0	-1.72	17.9	15.5	2.35
Reggie Jackson	47	46	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	0.26	-20	-8	-12	15.7	14.7	0.99	15.8	17.4	-1.60
Tobias Harris	53	53	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	0.42	-27	-1	-26	15.9	14.4	1.49	15.8	17.7	-1.93
Stanley Johnson	55	54	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	0.46	-29	1	-30	15.5	14.8	0.71	15.7	17.9	-2.25

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.48,0.47,0.46,0.39,0.4,0.36,0.31,0.25,0.22,0.19,0.16,0.09,0.12,0.11,0.12,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.05,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 103, CHI 74	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.49,0.43,0.39,0.37,0.33,0.3,0.26,0.22,0.18,0.16,0.14,0.15,0.16,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	98.0%
NOP 115, PHX 91	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.39,0.31,0.37,0.32,0.26,0.22,0.17,0.16,0.11,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.7%
HOU 120, BOS 94	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.43,0.41,0.37,0.35,0.29,0.25,0.18,0.2,0.17,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.6%