NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	117		Excitement	2.0 [1297]		MVP	Andrei Kirilenko (MIN): +7.1%
Phoenix Suns	86		Comeback	1.1 [663]		LVP	Wesley Johnson (PHX): -9.2%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andrei Kirilenko	0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.14	0.00	0.07	10	67%	0.07	1	-0.00	10	80%	0.01
Nikola Pekovic	0.03	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.05	0.00	0.01	7	61%	0.03	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.01
Chase Budinger	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	-0.01	9	50%	0.03	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.01
Dante Cunningham	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.13	0.00	0.11	11	75%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Jose Juan Barea	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.08	0.00	-0.10	7	36%	0.02	3	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Williams	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.03	2	50%	0.02	1	-0.00	4	100%	0.01
Greg Stiemsma	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	10	61%	0.03	3	-0.02	3	67%	-0.01
Alexey Shved	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.00	4	60%	0.00	1	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Mickael Gelabale	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Johnson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luke Ridnour	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	0.00	0.04	8	60%	0.02	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.01
Ricky Rubio	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	0.00	7	57%	0.01	4	-0.04	7	86%	0.00

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Michael Beasley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	0.00	0.02	9	61%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Luis Scola	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.04	0.00	0.04	13	57%	0.02	1	-0.01	4	75%	0.00
Markieff Morris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.03	0.00	0.04	6	58%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kendall Marshall	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	5	30%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Diante Garrett	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	6	33%	-0.01	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shannon Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.08	0.00	-0.06	8	25%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
PJ Tucker	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	0.00	0.03	11	46%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Goran Dragic	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.08	-0.00	-0.03	12	46%	-0.03	4	-0.02	4	50%	-0.01
Hamed Haddadi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	0.00	0.02	4	60%	-0.01	3	-0.05	2	0%	-0.02
Marcus Morris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.18	0.00	-0.12	9	12%	-0.03	2	-0.04	6	17%	-0.00
Wesley Johnson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.14	0.00	-0.05	12	26%	-0.06	3	-0.04	3	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.3	2.4	27.6	15.4	23.4	1.7	30.0	124.8
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +28.8%

MIN +10.7%

MIN +2.2%

MIN +9.7%

PHX -1.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	PHX	NBA	MIN	PHX	NBA
this game	14.2	13.9	15.4	113.6	84.3	104.1
season	15.6	15.2		101.3	99.7
opponent	15.1	14.9		106.3	103.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	12.7	12.9	14.5	17.1	14.2
PHX	14.5	13.8	13.8	13.5	13.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Luke Ridnour	63	62	0.36	0.14	0.23	-0.25	21	10	11	14.0	14.4	-0.35	14.8	12.5	2.28
Ricky Rubio	63	63	0.36	0.14	0.21	-0.23	20	11	9	13.4	15.3	-1.91	14.2	13.4	0.81
Dante Cunningham	62	63	0.26	0.24	0.01	-0.39	22	9	13	14.7	13.4	1.32	13.9	13.9	-0.06
Andrei Kirilenko	53	54	0.25	0.25	0.01	-0.10	12	19	-7	13.7	14.7	-1.08	14.8	12.9	1.84
Greg Stiemsma	73	70	0.25	0.25	0.00	-0.28	18	13	5	15.0	12.3	2.66	13.3	15.2	-1.95
Nikola Pekovic	30	32	0.25	0.25	0.00	-0.13	13	18	-5	12.3	15.0	-2.66	15.2	13.3	1.95
Chase Budinger	36	34	0.25	0.25	-0.01	-0.28	18	13	5	14.5	14.0	0.49	12.9	14.4	-1.46
Derrick Williams	33	32	0.24	0.26	-0.01	-0.02	9	22	-13	12.8	14.8	-2.01	14.2	13.8	0.36
Alexey Shved	30	30	0.14	0.36	-0.22	-0.07	7	24	-17	14.0	14.3	-0.31	13.1	14.2	-1.10
Jose Juan Barea	50	49	0.14	0.36	-0.22	-0.27	14	17	-3	15.4	13.0	2.40	12.9	14.9	-2.03
Mickael Gelabale	14	14	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	30	-29	15.4	14.0	1.36	12.9	14.1	-1.14
Chris Johnson	8	7	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	31	-31	15.7	14.1	1.70	13.0	14.0	-0.98

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Diante Garrett	21	22	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.01	-2	-29	27	12.2	14.4	-2.17	16.5	13.6	2.94
Shannon Brown	45	44	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	0.36	-18	-13	-5	13.0	14.6	-1.59	15.9	12.9	3.05
Kendall Marshall	39	38	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	0.38	-19	-12	-7	13.9	13.9	0.02	15.7	13.3	2.38
Luis Scola	56	57	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	0.02	-7	-24	17	14.4	13.4	0.99	14.6	13.7	0.84
Marcus Morris	45	45	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	0.30	-18	-13	-5	13.4	14.3	-0.84	15.4	13.2	2.16
Markieff Morris	43	45	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	0.06	-10	-21	11	14.5	13.5	1.04	13.8	14.5	-0.76
Hamed Haddadi	37	37	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	0.19	-15	-16	1	13.3	14.2	-0.92	12.6	15.1	-2.52
PJ Tucker	67	67	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	0.20	-16	-15	-1	14.0	13.7	0.34	13.4	15.6	-2.15
Michael Beasley	39	39	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	0.41	-24	-7	-17	14.1	13.8	0.35	14.1	14.3	-0.21
Wesley Johnson	48	49	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	0.09	-14	-17	3	14.7	13.2	1.54	12.4	15.8	-3.43
Goran Dragic	70	72	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	0.03	-12	-19	7	14.1	13.5	0.55	13.7	15.4	-1.77

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.52,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.39,0.39,0.33,0.33,0.27,0.24,0.25,0.16,0.15,0.11,0.14,0.1,0.07,0.11,0.08,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 104, IND 91	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.4,0.36,0.32,0.31,0.27,0.21,0.2,0.19,0.14,0.13,0.07,0.08,0.06,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	98.0%
HOU 120, BOS 94	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.43,0.41,0.37,0.35,0.29,0.25,0.18,0.2,0.17,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.8%
CHI 95, CHA 64	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.5,0.47,0.46,0.43,0.37,0.37,0.26,0.27,0.25,0.23,0.16,0.14,0.16,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.7%