NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	95		Excitement	2.1 [1040]		MVP	Luol Deng (CHI): +5.5%
Charlotte Bobcats	64		Comeback	1.0 [519]		LVP	Corey Maggette (CHA): -7.1%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Luol Deng	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	-0.01	0.00	-0.06	13	46%	0.06	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Joakim Noah	0.05	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.13	0.00	0.08	9	81%	0.05	1	-0.00	3	100%	-0.00
John Lucas III	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.01	8	61%	0.06	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Ronnie Brewer	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	-0.00	7	47%	0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Kyle Korver	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.00	-0.03	10	40%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Scalabrine	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	2	50%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
CJ Watson	-0.00	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.00	0.02	7	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Carlos Boozer	-0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	19	40%	-0.00	2	-0.01	2	0%	-0.01
Omer Asik	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.11	0.00	-0.10	4	21%	0.01	2	-0.02	6	17%	-0.00
Jimmy Butler	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.01	4	100%	0.00
Taj Gibson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.00	9	40%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.02

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bismack Biyombo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	5	62%	0.03	2	-0.02	3	67%	0.00
Cory Higgins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.06	0.00	-0.06	7	42%	0.01	3	-0.01	5	80%	0.00
DJ White	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	5	58%	0.01	2	-0.01	2	50%	0.00
DeSagana Diop	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	2	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	0%	0.00
Boris Diaw	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.00	9	44%	-0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Byron Mullens	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.08	0.00	-0.05	5	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyrus Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	5	20%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	0.01	8	53%	-0.02	3	-0.02	3	67%	-0.01
Reggie Williams	0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.07	0.00	-0.03	10	30%	-0.04	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matt Carroll	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kemba Walker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	0.01	11	35%	-0.05	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Corey Maggette	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.10	0.00	-0.03	7	29%	-0.03	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.1	1.8	29.2	15.4	23.5	2.5	29.6	124.1
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +36.6%

CHA -0.8%

CHI +8.8%

CHI +6.7%

CHA -1.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	CHA	NBA	CHI	CHA	NBA
this game	17.0	16.1	15.6	109.2	73.6	102.8
season	16.0	16.3		104.7	94.1
opponent	15.0	15.9		108.9	97.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	16.9	16.0	16.7	18.3	17.0
CHA	17.4	15.3	16.0	16.0	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Luol Deng	54	55	0.46	0.04	0.42	-0.33	27	4	23	17.3	16.4	0.85	16.4	15.7	0.73
Joakim Noah	55	56	0.40	0.10	0.30	-0.33	25	6	19	16.6	17.6	-1.01	16.3	15.9	0.43
CJ Watson	45	46	0.33	0.17	0.16	-0.31	22	9	13	16.8	17.1	-0.27	16.2	16.1	0.10
Carlos Boozer	41	41	0.32	0.18	0.15	-0.26	20	11	9	17.7	16.3	1.42	16.1	16.2	-0.05
Ronnie Brewer	39	40	0.31	0.19	0.11	-0.28	20	11	9	17.7	16.3	1.38	16.1	16.2	-0.05
Kyle Korver	48	47	0.19	0.31	-0.11	-0.13	11	20	-9	16.3	17.7	-1.38	16.2	16.1	0.05
Taj Gibson	36	38	0.18	0.32	-0.15	-0.12	10	21	-11	16.0	17.6	-1.63	16.2	16.1	0.02
John Lucas III	42	41	0.17	0.33	-0.16	-0.09	9	22	-13	17.1	16.8	0.27	16.1	16.2	-0.10
Omer Asik	30	28	0.10	0.40	-0.30	-0.05	5	26	-21	18.2	16.3	1.95	16.5	16.0	0.46
Jimmy Butler	33	32	0.04	0.46	-0.42	-0.08	4	27	-23	16.4	17.3	-0.85	15.7	16.4	-0.73
Brian Scalabrine	12	11	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	29	-27	15.7	17.1	-1.40	14.6	16.4	-1.73

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
DeSagana Diop	21	21	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.09	-3	-28	25	16.0	16.2	-0.26	18.3	16.5	1.82
Cory Higgins	31	29	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	0.19	-10	-21	11	15.5	16.5	-1.08	17.0	16.9	0.12
Tyrus Thomas	41	40	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	0.07	-6	-25	19	16.0	16.3	-0.37	17.5	16.5	1.01
Matt Carroll	17	17	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	0.08	-7	-24	17	15.2	16.4	-1.21	16.5	17.1	-0.60
Byron Mullens	23	23	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	0.12	-9	-22	13	15.5	16.4	-0.91	15.9	17.3	-1.42
Derrick Brown	37	37	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	0.15	-10	-21	11	16.0	16.3	-0.31	17.0	16.9	0.03
DJ White	35	34	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.15	-11	-20	9	16.3	16.1	0.18	15.9	17.7	-1.81
Corey Maggette	23	24	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	0.22	-16	-15	-1	17.2	15.8	1.39	17.0	16.9	0.12
Boris Diaw	48	48	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	0.23	-19	-12	-7	16.1	16.2	-0.01	17.4	16.4	0.94
Bismack Biyombo	54	54	-0.35	-0.14	-0.21	0.26	-21	-10	-11	16.2	16.1	0.14	16.7	17.4	-0.76
Reggie Williams	49	50	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	0.28	-22	-9	-13	16.6	15.6	0.97	17.2	16.6	0.53
Kemba Walker	56	58	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	0.22	-21	-10	-11	16.5	15.5	1.08	16.9	17.0	-0.12

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.5,0.47,0.46,0.43,0.37,0.37,0.26,0.27,0.25,0.23,0.16,0.14,0.16,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 104, IND 91	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.4,0.36,0.32,0.31,0.27,0.21,0.2,0.19,0.14,0.13,0.07,0.08,0.06,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	98.0%
HOU 92, CHA 62	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.45,0.4,0.34,0.31,0.33,0.27,0.3,0.23,0.17,0.14,0.16,0.12,0.1,0.09,0.07,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	98.0%
MEM 111, NYK 97	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.44,0.42,0.45,0.39,0.35,0.3,0.27,0.25,0.22,0.16,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.9%