NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	111		Excitement	2.2 [1246]		MVP	James Posey (MEM): +6.5%
New York Knicks	97		Comeback	1.0 [588]		LVP	Stephon Marbury (NYK): -13.6%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
James Posey	0.06	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.09	0.00	0.02	8	77%	0.08	1	-0.01	6	100%	0.02
Shane Battier	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.07	0.00	0.03	5	80%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bonzi Wells	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.06	12	46%	0.03	1	-0.00	4	75%	0.00
Jason Williams	0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.04	8	39%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Theron Smith	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Troy Bell	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Earl Watson	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	4	60%	0.01	2	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Bo Outlaw	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	0.00	0.02	6	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jake Tsakalidis	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	5	20%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stromile Swift	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	0.00	0.03	12	52%	-0.01	0	0.00	3	67%	0.00
Mike Miller	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.07	0.00	-0.03	8	62%	-0.00	5	-0.03	8	87%	0.01
Pau Gasol	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.07	0.00	-0.03	15	51%	-0.02	2	-0.02	15	87%	0.01

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kurt Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	0.00	0.02	5	60%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Moochie Norris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.03	0.00	0.03	6	62%	-0.00	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Michael Sweetney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	0.00	0.02	7	53%	-0.01	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Nazr Mohammed	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.00	0.02	10	54%	-0.00	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Shandon Anderson	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.01	5	79%	0.04	4	-0.07	4	100%	0.01
Othella Harrington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	0	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
DerMarr Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.08	-0.00	-0.05	6	37%	0.01	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.01
Vin Baker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.02	-0.00	0.05	6	60%	-0.04	2	-0.02	3	100%	-0.00
Anfernee Hardaway	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.11	0.00	-0.04	8	45%	-0.01	4	-0.05	4	75%	0.00
Stephon Marbury	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.11	-0.00	0.03	23	46%	-0.05	5	-0.09	4	75%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.0	2.4	32.3	0.2	27.3	1.7	29.2	119.2
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MEM +16.1%

MEM +8.1%

MEM +3.1%

MEM +22.4%

MEM +0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	NYK	NBA	MEM	NYK	NBA
this game	14.5	14.4	15.7	112.1	97.0	100.5
season	15.3	15.5		102.3	98.6
opponent	15.8	15.7		100.8	100.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	14.0	13.1	13.0	18.5	14.5
NYK	13.7	13.6	16.3	14.2	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Stromile Swift	66	67	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.11	10	4	6	14.6	14.4	0.24	13.7	15.8	-2.04
James Posey	56	54	0.31	0.19	0.11	-0.02	11	3	8	14.8	14.2	0.56	15.2	13.5	1.66
Mike Miller	63	62	0.27	0.23	0.03	0.18	3	11	-8	15.2	13.3	1.87	15.2	13.1	2.08
Pau Gasol	64	65	0.26	0.24	0.03	-0.03	10	4	6	14.0	15.5	-1.57	14.2	14.8	-0.63
Earl Watson	39	39	0.26	0.24	0.02	-0.06	11	3	8	15.0	14.2	0.83	15.2	13.9	1.33
Jason Williams	55	57	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.07	6	8	-2	13.9	15.2	-1.30	14.2	14.7	-0.49
Bo Outlaw	35	36	0.24	0.26	-0.03	0.00	8	6	2	15.5	14.0	1.49	15.6	13.8	1.77
Bonzi Wells	46	48	0.23	0.27	-0.03	0.03	7	7	0	14.1	14.9	-0.82	13.2	15.6	-2.41
Shane Battier	43	46	0.19	0.31	-0.11	0.10	3	11	-8	14.2	14.8	-0.56	13.5	15.2	-1.66
Jake Tsakalidis	28	27	0.10	0.40	-0.30	-0.05	5	9	-4	14.0	14.7	-0.78	15.8	13.9	1.86
Theron Smith	5	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.15	-5	19	-24	17.0	14.4	2.61	10.8	14.6	-3.81
Troy Bell	5	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	17	-20	17.0	14.4	2.61	9.5	14.6	-5.13

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Michael Sweetney	51	48	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.34	10	-24	34	13.9	15.0	-1.10	16.3	12.9	3.43
Moochie Norris	34	31	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	-0.25	6	-20	26	14.6	14.3	0.34	16.8	13.5	3.32
Kurt Thomas	35	36	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	0.07	-8	-6	-2	14.0	14.7	-0.69	13.9	14.9	-1.00
DerMarr Johnson	44	43	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.24	1	-15	16	14.5	14.3	0.18	15.2	14.0	1.21
Vin Baker	40	39	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.18	-1	-13	12	15.3	13.8	1.55	15.4	14.0	1.42
Othella Harrington	12	14	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	0.16	-14	0	-14	17.2	14.0	3.12	10.8	15.1	-4.36
Nazr Mohammed	62	61	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.12	-15	1	-16	14.0	15.1	-1.15	13.8	15.7	-1.84
Shandon Anderson	69	69	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	0.02	-12	-2	-10	14.0	15.4	-1.45	13.8	16.2	-2.40
Stephon Marbury	85	85	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	-0.05	-13	-1	-12	14.6	13.5	1.04	14.6	13.9	0.78
Anfernee Hardaway	68	69	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	0.26	-24	10	-34	14.5	14.2	0.25	13.7	16.5	-2.83

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.44,0.42,0.45,0.39,0.35,0.3,0.27,0.25,0.22,0.16,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 95, CHI 69	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.39,0.38,0.35,0.35,0.24,0.24,0.17,0.12,0.09,0.1,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	98.0%
CHI 95, CHA 64	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.5,0.47,0.46,0.43,0.37,0.37,0.26,0.27,0.25,0.23,0.16,0.14,0.16,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.9%
CLE 92, DEN 73	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.41,0.35,0.33,0.29,0.25,0.19,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.8%